Plaintive-Fourths — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

381

Trades

1,157

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-31 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-41

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$402	204	204	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	7	$185	196	38	+157	Up	$-16	05-09 17:59
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$162	88	88	+0	open	—	05-25 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$160	163	0	+163	Down	+$3	05-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$155	173	0	+173	Up	$-2	05-09 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$108	64	64	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$105	118	14	+104	Up	+$1	05-09 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	8	$101	103	71	+31	Up	+$13	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$101	105	0	+105	Up	+$0	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$68	73	11	+61	Up	+$1	05-09 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$66	47	47	+0	Down	+$26	05-09 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$60	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$54	38	38	+0	Up	$-6	05-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$51	29	29	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-13 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$50	48	34	+13	Up	+$9	05-09 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	9	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$46	56	9	+47	Down	$-29	05-09 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$44	23	23	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	05-10 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$39	31	31	+0	Down	+$13	05-08 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$36	35	34	+0	open	—	05-03 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$34	43	12	+30	Up	$-2	05-09 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	6	$33	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$32	47	35	+12	Down	$-6	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	05-09 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	05-09 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Down	+$3	05-10 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-10 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc40abe…
05-31 14:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7537d4…
05-31 14:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf31c97…
05-31 14:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xda87b6…
05-31 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x942591…
05-28 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x789bf3…
05-28 06:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a3871…
05-28 05:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x12ee9e…
05-28 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x058a74…
05-27 13:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6fbae0…
05-25 14:19:24	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0x625199…
05-25 14:14:19	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xed0a7a…
05-20 13:40:26	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x3a1b83…
05-13 17:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x4bd7cd…
05-13 17:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x668568…
05-13 17:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x87bc4e…
05-13 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc41966…
05-13 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7b7526…
05-13 17:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xe4eb5a…
05-13 17:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6bf3da…
05-13 17:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x22ebf2…
05-13 17:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6595c2…
05-13 17:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3a876c…
05-13 17:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x842693…
05-13 17:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x32b169…
05-13 17:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x9c1506…
05-13 17:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0f0720…
05-13 17:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x648203…
05-13 17:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x878491…
05-13 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xeaa073…
05-13 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfacde0…
05-13 17:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x820072…
05-13 16:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xea41a6…
05-13 16:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x11e155…
05-13 16:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x91ea84…
05-13 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x0205c8…
05-13 16:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x4f39aa…
05-13 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xb73c4e…
05-13 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x6f36f5…
05-13 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x441b81…
05-13 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x49b575…
05-13 16:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9995f…
05-13 16:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x73df66…
05-13 16:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x33fc1d…
05-13 16:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3fae7c…
05-13 16:46:57	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xaf5f0e…
05-13 16:46:40	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4b4d43…
05-13 16:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x104351…
05-13 16:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x44a0f0…
05-13 16:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x79ce9c…
05-13 16:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x22f81c…
05-13 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe5d4cd…
05-13 16:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbea97c…
05-13 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6910ee…
05-13 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x232e0c…
05-13 16:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x0934be…
05-13 16:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf3670f…
05-13 16:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0aedaa…
05-13 16:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x30973d…
05-13 16:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa49134…
05-11 16:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xa23e50…
05-11 16:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcb8470…
05-11 16:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9eb1ec…
05-11 16:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf6ed20…
05-11 16:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8feb51…
05-11 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe6c72b…
05-11 15:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3fc55f…
05-11 15:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x153e6d…
05-11 15:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8a50f8…
05-11 15:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfbb54d…
05-11 15:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4568e6…
05-11 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2f8574…
05-11 15:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb4c710…
05-11 15:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7cb027…
05-11 11:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x782aac…
05-11 11:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5f6443…
05-11 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf3ba6f…
05-11 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbcc03f…
05-11 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xab1e72…
05-11 11:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6c97ef…
05-11 11:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x798223…
05-11 11:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3199d6…
05-11 11:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x0bd57b…
05-11 11:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc66171…
05-11 11:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x921e2d…
05-11 11:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28069d…
05-11 11:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x11d96c…
05-11 11:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0933ad…
05-11 11:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xe67983…
05-11 11:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2549dc…
05-11 11:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcedae7…
05-11 11:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x606c7b…
05-11 11:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdbb02c…
05-11 11:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc18da2…
05-11 11:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4fc0a6…
05-11 11:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd1bb14…
05-11 11:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x760dd1…
05-11 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc02537…
05-11 11:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9540a5…
05-11 11:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x92b1e5…