Plaintive-Fourths — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

381

Trades

1,282

lifetime

Volume

$6.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-30 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% $-41

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$402	204	204	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	7	$185	196	38	+157	Up	$-16	05-09 17:59
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$162	88	88	+0	open	—	05-25 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$160	163	0	+163	Down	+$3	05-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$155	173	0	+173	Up	$-2	05-09 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$108	64	64	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$105	118	14	+104	Up	+$1	05-09 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	8	$101	103	71	+31	Up	+$13	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$101	105	0	+105	Up	+$0	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$68	73	11	+61	Up	+$1	05-09 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$66	47	47	+0	Down	+$26	05-09 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$60	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$54	38	38	+0	Up	$-6	05-09 18:59
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	4	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	06-14 18:32
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	3	$52	53	11	+42	open	—	06-15 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$51	29	29	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-13 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$50	48	34	+13	Up	+$9	05-09 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	9	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$46	56	9	+47	Down	$-29	05-09 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$44	23	23	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	05-10 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$39	31	31	+0	Down	+$13	05-08 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$36	35	34	+0	open	—	05-03 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$34	43	12	+30	Up	$-2	05-09 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	6	$33	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$32	47	35	+12	Down	$-6	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	05-09 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	05-09 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:52:26	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf6eacd…
06-30 16:45:25	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a6253…
06-30 16:43:07	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe17be7…
06-30 16:39:38	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xffe269…
06-30 16:37:52	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6444a3…
06-30 16:31:59	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x377843…
06-30 16:29:47	btc updown 5m 1782836700	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x52f792…
06-30 16:26:53	btc updown 5m 1782836700	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4bb26b…
06-30 09:47:22	btc updown 5m 1782812700	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xac3821…
06-30 09:40:49	btc updown 5m 1782812400	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x03ef1e…
06-30 09:35:29	btc updown 5m 1782812100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca608c…
06-30 09:34:20	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xc9a20b…
06-30 09:33:40	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x064a32…
06-30 09:32:07	btc updown 5m 1782811800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf6524d…
06-30 09:27:49	btc updown 5m 1782811500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x372528…
06-30 09:26:07	btc updown 5m 1782811500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x775227…
06-30 09:24:46	btc updown 5m 1782811200	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xb8bc4c…
06-30 09:23:41	btc updown 5m 1782811200	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe89c70…
06-30 09:18:37	btc updown 5m 1782810900	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x20d90b…
06-30 09:17:11	btc updown 5m 1782810900	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4ca999…
06-30 09:14:37	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x92ff25…
06-30 09:13:22	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf1fc03…
06-30 09:11:55	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8f6e71…
06-30 09:10:38	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7f791c…
06-30 09:07:40	btc updown 5m 1782810300	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xaf15c5…
06-30 09:07:26	btc updown 5m 1782810300	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x364cd4…
06-30 09:06:50	btc updown 5m 1782810300	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x181052…
06-30 09:01:13	btc updown 5m 1782810000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x14c627…
06-30 08:59:26	btc updown 5m 1782809700	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x821073…
06-30 08:57:35	btc updown 5m 1782809700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x153d9f…
06-30 08:57:20	btc updown 5m 1782809700	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x997d82…
06-30 08:57:13	btc updown 5m 1782809700	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x183325…
06-30 08:56:14	btc updown 5m 1782809700	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaa9f16…
06-30 08:53:07	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xfb6d77…
06-30 08:52:32	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x745105…
06-30 08:51:29	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa148a7…
06-30 08:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x53e489…
06-30 08:49:35	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe1df8b…
06-30 08:48:28	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa59684…
06-30 08:48:02	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xd8a8b3…
06-30 08:46:35	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x670bb8…
06-30 08:44:53	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x2a7598…
06-30 08:43:14	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x9ce52f…
06-30 08:41:14	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf8d6c1…
06-30 08:38:43	btc updown 5m 1782808500	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0c21ec…
06-30 08:38:35	btc updown 5m 1782808500	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7cc66c…
06-30 08:34:17	btc updown 5m 1782808200	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68cd7a…
06-30 08:29:50	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x65fde0…
06-30 08:28:11	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd9fb2c…
06-30 08:27:53	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xfa49ec…
06-30 08:26:38	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x57bf28…
06-30 08:22:49	btc updown 5m 1782807600	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf49e0d…
06-30 08:20:04	btc updown 5m 1782807300	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2e3dbe…
06-30 08:19:49	btc updown 5m 1782807300	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xac9477…
06-30 08:18:17	btc updown 5m 1782807300	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbf8383…
06-30 08:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782807000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x998a82…
06-30 08:09:37	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x7b76c7…
06-30 08:09:25	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xff7288…
06-30 08:08:47	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x2329d4…
06-30 08:08:04	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x86bfde…
06-30 08:06:35	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x72878e…
06-30 08:03:59	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3addcc…
06-30 07:57:52	btc updown 5m 1782806100	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd88c44…
06-30 07:56:44	btc updown 5m 1782806100	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xffd937…
06-30 07:54:13	btc updown 5m 1782805800	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x32bd93…
06-30 07:53:02	btc updown 5m 1782805800	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8198ba…
06-30 07:29:25	btc updown 5m 1782804300	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x901ca7…
06-30 07:24:26	btc updown 5m 1782804000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xabb9c3…
06-30 07:23:46	btc updown 5m 1782804000	Up	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x0e0244…
06-30 07:22:58	btc updown 5m 1782804000	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x967897…
06-30 07:19:25	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x80244f…
06-30 07:14:56	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x8d2d90…
06-30 07:12:19	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6af098…
06-30 07:03:41	btc updown 5m 1782802800	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xd74f39…
06-30 06:59:25	btc updown 5m 1782802500	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$7	0xc131e2…
06-30 06:58:59	btc updown 5m 1782802500	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfd81b4…
06-30 06:57:58	btc updown 5m 1782802500	Down	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xb6b1f3…
06-30 06:54:20	btc updown 5m 1782802200	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x976905…
06-30 06:53:16	btc updown 5m 1782802200	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe7676c…
06-30 06:52:56	btc updown 5m 1782802200	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcbff5a…
06-30 06:49:23	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x8c7ba0…
06-30 06:44:16	btc updown 5m 1782801600	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf45024…
06-30 06:39:16	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xb85743…
06-30 06:37:43	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xe5e101…
06-30 06:37:35	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4999a1…
06-30 06:37:26	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xe14006…
06-30 06:36:26	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcf6243…
06-30 06:27:35	btc updown 5m 1782800700	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc42ae5…
06-30 06:27:04	btc updown 5m 1782800700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0b0411…
06-30 06:17:31	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3d8dce…
06-30 06:17:04	btc updown 5m 1782800100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5c49a3…
06-30 06:13:49	btc updown 5m 1782799800	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5c0d72…
06-30 06:12:52	btc updown 5m 1782799800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x80de15…
06-30 06:12:43	btc updown 5m 1782799800	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2d4f11…
06-30 06:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782799800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xad59df…
06-30 06:09:29	btc updown 5m 1782799500	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xe138e1…
06-30 06:07:11	btc updown 5m 1782799500	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7c9206…
06-30 06:02:37	btc updown 5m 1782799200	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9a1faf…
06-30 05:59:28	btc updown 5m 1782798900	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5f03d4…
06-30 05:59:08	btc updown 5m 1782798900	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x6257ce…