Joint-Response — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

7,516

Trades

45,060

lifetime

Volume

$318.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-25 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 61% -$5,711

Other

3% 33% -$2,835

Politics

3% 20% -$241

Tech

0% 50% +$101

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	3	$5.5K	4,250	4,250	+0	Yes	+$2,956	06-19 19:19
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$5.5K	3,284	3,284	+0	Yes	+$252	06-24 23:08
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	1	$2.8K	3,036	0	+3,036	No	-$2,799	06-24 23:09
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.9K	12,312	0	+12,312	No	-$1,875	06-20 14:45
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	2	$1.5K	1,456	1,456	+0	Yes	-$530	06-19 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	114	$1.2K	1,381	1,334	+47	Up	+$831	04-27 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	16	$1.2K	115,500	0	+115,500	Up	-$1,155	05-14 05:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	17	$1.0K	4,620	4,620	+0	No	-$252	06-17 18:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	5	$881	2,207	2,207	+0	No	-$460	06-25 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$760	667	667	+0	Up	+$560	04-29 08:25
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	7	$692	4,466	4,466	+0	No	-$451	06-25 09:34
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	1	$587	1,147	0	+1,147	Yes	+$560	06-09 06:09
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	2	$538	276	276	+0	open	—	06-25 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	14	$479	631	0	+631	Up	-$479	05-25 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	50	$475	829	0	+829	Down	+$119	05-22 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	43	$420	612	0	+612	Down	+$36	05-22 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	46	$375	709	67	+642	Up	-$30	05-26 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	39	$368	694	0	+694	Down	-$2	05-22 19:44
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	14	$341	3,900	0	+3,900	No	-$341	06-17 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	52	$335	505	47	+459	Up	-$92	05-26 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	20	$323	217	217	-0	Down	+$11	05-21 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	37	$321	550	0	+550	Down	-$87	05-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	32	$311	433	0	+433	Down	+$83	05-21 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	101	$304	2,785	0	+2,785	Down	-$304	06-03 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	42	$304	617	92	+526	Up	-$61	05-26 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	86	$302	3,381	0	+3,381	Down	-$302	06-03 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	100	$301	5,594	0	+5,594	Down	-$301	06-03 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	39	$295	315	106	+209	Down	-$7	05-26 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	39	$294	630	0	+630	Up	-$27	05-21 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	32	$286	529	0	+529	Up	+$7	05-23 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 15:36:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x053247…
06-25 15:36:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	2,106	10¢	$203	0x648390…
06-25 09:50:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	439	34¢	$148	0x3078de…
06-25 09:36:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	1,113	34¢	$378	0x15ab35…
06-25 09:34:58	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	4,466	3¢	$121	0x0884dc…
06-25 09:34:44	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	276	97¢	$268	0x3bcd05…
06-25 05:10:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	655	22¢	$144	0x8c914c…
06-25 04:52:32	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	159	65¢	$104	0xdd5b63…
06-24 23:09:23	Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	3,036	92¢	$2,799	0x37d756…
06-24 23:08:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,284	87¢	$2,852	0x6a3065…
06-24 16:20:07	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	276	98¢	$270	0xadeb8b…
06-22 21:54:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,284	79¢	$2,600	0x86bd16…
06-20 14:45:38	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,658	12¢	$1,304	0xf9debf…
06-20 14:45:38	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	22¢	$96	0x1a811f…
06-19 19:19:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	4,250	100¢	$4,246	0xad6f17…
06-19 07:09:07	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xdc2f85…
06-19 05:17:28	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,217	39¢	$475	0xe1c305…
06-19 05:16:22	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	1,456	32¢	$470	0xb5c4fc…
06-18 19:17:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd30c17…
06-17 20:59:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x21f678…
06-17 20:59:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x591849…
06-17 20:59:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x1d6b74…
06-17 20:59:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc10faf…
06-17 20:59:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x30560a…
06-17 20:59:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc31890…
06-17 20:59:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xfc2156…
06-17 20:59:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xf44d75…
06-17 20:59:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x39f970…
06-17 20:59:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x4a3e6a…
06-17 20:58:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x8d46e7…
06-17 20:58:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,925	9¢	$257	0x313728…
06-17 20:55:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x56b0ff…
06-17 20:55:26	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	698	9¢	$60	0x3235a1…
06-17 18:40:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,620	8¢	$375	0x5288ed…
06-17 18:28:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd4f9da…
06-17 18:24:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	15¢	$41	0xb04c83…
06-17 18:23:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0x27a712…
06-17 18:23:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0xf98629…
06-17 18:23:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0x886d00…
06-17 18:23:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0x705d83…
06-17 18:23:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0x423f25…
06-17 18:23:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	384	14¢	$55	0x069b8d…
06-17 18:23:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	178	14¢	$26	0x03e537…
06-17 18:23:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	311	14¢	$45	0xd65566…
06-17 18:23:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	480	15¢	$70	0x172f9e…
06-17 18:22:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$73	0xce4872…
06-17 18:22:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	15¢	$32	0xc0a26e…
06-17 18:22:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0xa1d73f…
06-17 18:22:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	14¢	$23	0xcb6294…
06-17 18:22:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xfc088f…
06-17 18:20:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,050	10¢	$108	0xb47cb6…
06-17 18:16:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x6a5fa3…
06-17 18:11:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x32ddc5…
06-17 18:11:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	4,014	13¢	$514	0x1b6fbd…
06-17 18:09:26	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x5fa3c3…
06-17 18:09:26	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	406	13¢	$52	0x44516b…
06-17 18:09:26	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x3a86e0…
06-17 16:38:26	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	1,006	36¢	$362	0xdd814c…
06-17 16:38:26	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	3,244	29¢	$927	0x2e31f3…
06-16 10:12:31	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt7b	No	BUY	245	7¢	$16	0x0ec735…
06-16 10:01:40	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	167	78¢	$130	0x374f0d…
06-16 09:41:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	1,456	69¢	$1,000	0x44549a…
06-09 06:09:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,147	51¢	$587	0x374ca4…
06-03 17:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xf9aac3…
06-03 17:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xce8138…
06-03 17:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xa63d39…
06-03 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf7a503…
06-03 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x98e85f…
06-03 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7c4cc7…
06-03 17:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x34a34b…
06-03 17:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x66778b…
06-03 17:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x125604…
06-03 17:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x05bc55…
06-03 17:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x1dde67…
06-03 17:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x73007d…
06-03 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xb1672e…
06-03 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x6b9a39…
06-03 17:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x85ca10…
06-03 17:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb73650…
06-03 17:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x01f02d…
06-03 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x90093a…
06-03 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x18f0c5…
06-03 17:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbeb45c…
06-03 17:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x25fefc…
06-03 17:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x48b2d4…
06-03 17:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x1bbf9d…
06-03 17:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x1691bf…
06-03 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf21a3a…
06-03 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3e7b5d…
06-03 17:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x7064c1…
06-03 17:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x453f00…
06-03 17:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xe0f141…
06-03 17:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xee3b71…
06-03 17:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x7f4916…
06-03 17:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x5f8646…
06-03 17:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x223de6…
06-03 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xebaa3a…
06-03 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xdd1325…
06-03 17:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xe5a511…
06-03 17:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xa78fb7…