Incompatible-Bellows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-22 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$1

Other

36% 100% +$1

Politics

14% — —

Sports

12% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$164	165	+165	open	—	06-26 13:20
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$149	151	+151	open	—	06-27 02:04
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$101	102	+102	Yes	+$1	05-12 20:02
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	05-14 18:39
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$97	99	+99	open	—	05-26 13:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$95	96	+96	open	—	05-31 18:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$94	97	+97	open	—	05-19 12:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$93	94	+94	open	—	05-15 09:47
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$55	56	+56	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:26
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$44	44	+44	open	—	06-28 11:46
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	06-28 20:02
will googl reach 390 in june 2026	1	$23	24	+24	open	—	06-28 16:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	06-29 13:41
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	05-30 09:03
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	06-28 22:17
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-14 03:18
will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	2	$13	13	+13	open	—	07-21 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	06-01 02:11
will bnb dip to 600 in january	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-21 21:58
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-24 15:18
will bnb dip to 400 in march	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-26 00:07
will chainlink dip to 6 in january	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-06 04:31
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	07-21 23:04
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-08 04:23
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-15 10:31
will solana dip to 70 in january 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-10 13:38
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-17 06:34
Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-10 09:00
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-07 05:20
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-25 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 04:51:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c8807…
07-21 23:04:37	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2638d4…
07-21 20:08:01	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x40aed5…
07-20 14:08:58	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfff4d5…
07-16 21:37:19	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb57972…
07-16 14:15:20	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3766fb…
07-16 14:08:20	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x93c6c8…
06-29 13:41:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x45ed89…
06-28 22:17:25	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f0555…
06-28 20:02:44	Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x94b18b…
06-28 16:17:43	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xc0e0b1…
06-28 11:46:49	Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x8b3e81…
06-27 02:04:40	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0xc9b4f8…
06-26 13:20:34	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x07dda1…
06-01 02:11:16	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45176d…
05-31 18:33:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x0f93ef…
05-30 09:03:28	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3c30b0…
05-27 20:04:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0f6e47…
05-26 13:40:28	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x3d25cc…
05-19 12:08:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	97	96¢	$94	0x86c76b…
05-15 09:47:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0x0ff90f…
05-15 08:49:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb4253b…
05-14 18:39:33	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x142092…
05-13 02:16:21	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8ddbea…
05-12 20:02:44	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xae7380…
05-11 01:03:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x229ed8…
05-10 10:21:58	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x049f6e…
05-10 07:59:50	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5e6a1a…
05-10 02:45:44	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1ea6c6…
05-09 17:03:41	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46c1cc…
05-09 00:02:49	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb1947c…
05-06 14:12:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5cdbdf…
05-05 13:26:56	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x6c72cd…
04-29 14:40:06	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b8006…
04-29 13:55:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x832805…
04-28 09:12:34	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe4367…
04-24 18:38:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xf73200…
04-17 14:44:16	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x21ca98…
04-17 13:09:54	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a3e6…
04-17 09:08:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfecf62…
04-17 08:49:12	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x946ace…
04-17 06:34:18	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x925b68…
04-17 04:25:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc92817…
04-16 16:08:28	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x912560…
04-14 03:18:37	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcadcda…
04-11 12:01:39	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6e0f2d…
04-11 00:23:35	Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03c58b…
04-10 23:59:25	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x175d23…
04-10 22:53:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c933b…
04-10 16:41:39	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0653e4…
04-10 11:41:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf8ce08…
04-10 09:00:59	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x17e8a6…
04-08 23:09:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x10c415…
04-08 21:54:03	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3ff073…
04-07 11:08:25	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x91d298…
04-07 08:21:13	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5fb589…
04-07 06:15:15	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x456739…
04-07 05:20:59	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5af105…
04-06 07:47:29	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9cadc3…
04-06 00:18:41	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4d72da…
04-05 21:11:07	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfab5b9…
04-05 12:55:05	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d0145…
04-05 11:06:21	will the reserve bank of india decrease the policy repo rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5cff54…
03-30 10:38:58	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x81b85b…
03-30 01:16:18	meta above 640 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51f735…
03-29 01:38:50	will bnb dip to 500 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8cd30e…
03-27 20:28:11	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c82e0…
03-27 06:19:57	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x040347…
03-26 02:44:59	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4b141d…
03-26 00:07:17	will bnb dip to 400 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35e677…
03-25 16:33:15	will bnb dip to 400 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf67889…
03-25 03:56:17	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb9084b…
03-24 15:42:25	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa69afd…
03-24 05:11:19	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd2da24…
03-21 17:35:45	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x494488…
03-12 03:22:29	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f0d99…
03-12 01:06:59	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x568b0d…
03-10 21:50:45	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xfe90d7…
03-09 14:59:23	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c1a01…
03-08 13:37:27	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe346e7…
03-08 08:19:45	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26f969…
03-08 07:55:33	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc94273…
03-07 18:44:53	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54b5e5…
03-07 18:26:25	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7ac527…
03-05 21:46:45	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde3031…
03-05 20:28:41	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8e30b…
03-04 18:59:51	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1cc92f…
02-24 13:07:58	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8fbd82…
02-24 10:09:50	msft above 345 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x715481…
02-24 03:04:24	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4c0eb…
02-24 00:57:50	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2add16…
02-23 10:18:18	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x045842…
02-23 09:53:06	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6ffbba…
02-23 08:41:06	meta above 780 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0ea436…
02-23 03:14:42	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd926da…
02-22 02:24:24	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x45c6b3…
02-21 06:01:44	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7eecb3…
02-20 21:15:18	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xff135c…
02-08 02:40:07	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab2907…
02-03 18:26:12	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7df1e1…