Thunderous-Ruffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-08 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 96% -$1

Other

46% 97% -$10

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$15

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		+3	$2	100¢	$3	+$0	11-08 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	06-08 02:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-31 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	06-04 06:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-29 02:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-08 07:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	05-24 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-14 09:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-19 03:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-12 06:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-03 11:23
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	04-05 08:00
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-21 08:38
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-12 08:51
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-16 10:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-26 09:42
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-03 09:21
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-06 09:40
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 190 214	1	$89	90	+90	No	+$0	03-03 06:21
ethereum above 2500 on april 10	1	$89	90	+90	No	+$0	04-10 03:27
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	02-26 07:59
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-24 06:43
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-20 02:09
bitcoin above 66k on april 15	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	04-14 07:00
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-31 03:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-10 06:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$86	86	+86	Yes	+$0	04-28 06:33
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-12 10:41
bitcoin above 82k on january 5	1	$76	76	+76	Yes	+$0	01-04 02:51
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$76	76	+76	Yes	+$0	01-18 01:51
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	1	$74	74	+74	No	+$0	01-22 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 08:55:16	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd07fe0…
10-29 06:54:13	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x7fad10…
09-05 09:17:19	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9efcf8…
09-05 09:14:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x706578…
08-08 08:18:57	will wti dip to 30 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x07d672…
06-08 02:49:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x1ee37a…
06-04 06:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x75722c…
05-31 09:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x34bf1e…
05-29 02:25:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xddd3ee…
05-24 09:02:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1dc2f7…
05-19 03:23:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x898c90…
05-14 09:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xfe3656…
05-12 06:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xbfc403…
05-08 07:51:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf92102…
05-03 11:23:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x92448c…
04-28 06:33:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xf66186…
04-28 06:32:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0232a1…
04-28 06:32:34	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa41b2b…
04-24 06:43:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x13dfcf…
04-20 02:09:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xba5b03…
04-20 02:09:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x702ab5…
04-20 02:09:34	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13a735…
04-14 07:00:27	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xec3703…
04-14 07:00:13	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xccbac5…
04-14 07:00:01	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 10corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2b4d4…
04-10 03:27:01	ethereum above 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x74db41…
04-10 03:26:43	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ca5cf…
04-10 03:26:31	will a dozen eggs cost between 3pt754pt00 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74b198…
04-05 08:00:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4fe1c7…
03-31 03:10:33	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0ba4e6…
03-31 03:10:23	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 140 159	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x440b4c…
03-31 03:10:15	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb909c…
03-26 09:42:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8e0b24…
03-21 08:38:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x94c35d…
03-16 10:45:59	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x72ea2f…
03-12 08:51:37	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbf1928…
03-12 08:51:25	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd073c1…
03-06 09:40:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4bc1d1…
03-03 06:21:19	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 190 214	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x476d56…
03-03 06:20:43	bitcoin up or down on march 3	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xad1b63…
02-26 07:59:24	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe983cf…
02-10 06:41:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x976326…
02-10 06:41:19	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef0704…
02-10 06:41:11	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 10 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec6292…
02-10 06:41:03	lol tt lng 2026 02 11	LNG Esports	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcec9fe…
02-03 09:21:38	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xdde35a…
01-30 07:52:44	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0d88db…
01-30 07:35:18	nba tor orl 2026 01 30	Magic	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x16d619…
01-26 01:32:28	bitcoin above 96k on january 27	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xbcdd8f…
01-22 01:36:00	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x381993…
01-22 01:35:02	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca0c4d…
01-22 01:34:48	bitcoin above 96k on january 22	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xd5d645…
01-18 01:51:36	bitcoin above 90k on january 18	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x86aa89…
01-18 01:51:26	will 28 years later bone temple opening weekend box office be between 18pt5m and 21m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ee397…
01-18 01:51:18	highest temperature in london on january 18 8c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f92ad…
01-12 10:41:04	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8fc42e…
01-08 07:36:25	bitcoin above 82k on january 9	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x027da8…
01-08 07:36:13	bitcoin up or down on january 8	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaba7ad…
01-08 07:35:57	solana above 120 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf93ad1…
01-08 07:35:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb534ac…
01-04 02:51:17	bitcoin above 82k on january 5	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x2da772…