Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

25.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$290

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-16

last 10-30 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 21% -$121

Other

16% 33% -$7

Tech

5% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+10	$2	18¢	$2	-$1	09-19 05:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	+27	$10	4¢	$1	-$9	10-30 18:53
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+40	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-21 17:44
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+34	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	10-07 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$38	32	32	+0	Up	+$26	10-30 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Up	-$25	09-23 15:13
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-07 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$20	509	0	+509	Up	-$20	10-30 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$15	126	0	+126	Down	-$15	10-30 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$12	60	0	+60	Down	-$12	10-30 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$12	57	0	+57	Down	-$12	09-23 15:19
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?	2	$11	150	0	+150	No	-$11	09-21 16:39
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	10-07 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	10-30 17:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	10-30 18:53
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$10	100	100	+0	No	-$8	10-01 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$9	15	0	+15	Down	-$9	09-23 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$9	32	0	+32	Down	-$9	10-30 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$9	45	0	+45	Down	-$9	10-30 17:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	10-30 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	10-30 18:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	10-30 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	10-30 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	10-30 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	-$5	10-30 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	10-30 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	10-30 17:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	09-21 16:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$4	16	0	+16	Down	-$4	10-30 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$3	17	0	+17	Up	-$3	10-30 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	-$3	09-23 15:05
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	09-19 05:36
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	09-16 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Down	-$2	10-19 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd8f1a7…
10-30 18:53:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x7f0eae…
10-30 18:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x630d8f…
10-30 18:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xaf970e…
10-30 18:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x0c1ae2…
10-30 18:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xee285a…
10-30 18:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x7e7af8…
10-30 18:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x6194f1…
10-30 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xca200c…
10-30 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xea8f1b…
10-30 18:17:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea2f1b…
10-30 18:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0a47af…
10-30 18:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x94e2d7…
10-30 18:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeacd0d…
10-30 18:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xabf028…
10-30 17:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2f5768…
10-30 17:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x85799f…
10-30 17:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcc4949…
10-30 17:46:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x20c949…
10-30 17:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	478	1¢	$5	0x66a9ba…
10-30 17:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xea3db5…
10-30 17:26:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8b35f7…
10-30 17:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xfdcd5e…
10-30 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x51cea9…
10-30 17:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xde2d9b…
10-30 17:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x9c758e…
10-30 17:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x575438…
10-30 17:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x732016…
10-19 18:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2d172c…
10-07 04:00:36	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x72481c…
10-07 03:57:24	Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x3a0d00…
10-01 23:36:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xfefdbb…
10-01 23:36:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xeb8519…
10-01 05:07:51	Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x77cf5e…
09-23 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xe355d6…
09-23 15:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x269cfb…
09-23 15:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x89e3d6…
09-23 15:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb3139e…
09-23 14:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7645fe…
09-23 14:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3045b1…
09-23 13:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x091b3f…
09-21 17:44:10	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xad209f…
09-21 17:44:09	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xe5c3fd…
09-21 17:44:09	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5cde73…
09-21 16:40:03	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xd529fb…
09-21 16:39:50	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xfee617…
09-21 16:39:08	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xc22bf9…
09-21 16:39:06	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x73ffb4…
09-21 16:26:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe954ba…
09-19 05:50:30	Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf253ed…
09-19 05:44:37	Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x892011…
09-19 05:36:27	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3de58a…
09-16 02:44:45	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x55209c…