Imperturbable-Crib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

125

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$296

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 05-27 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 47% -$33

Other

3% 20% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$26	21	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$6	10	6	+4	Up	-$2	05-21 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$6	109	0	+109	Up	-$6	05-20 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-20 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	05-19 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	05-18 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	05-19 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-20 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-17 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	05-19 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-19 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	05-17 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	05-17 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-17 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-18 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-17 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-17 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	05-17 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	-$5	05-19 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-18 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-17 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$4	5	3	+2	Down	+$0	05-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$4	302	0	+302	Up	-$2	05-17 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-27 15:37
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$3	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-25 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-20 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	-$1	05-20 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$3	205	0	+205	Up	-$3	05-20 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 17:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xde73e1…
05-27 17:26:52	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x936953…
05-27 16:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf2b291…
05-27 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x20c32f…
05-27 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5bdff6…
05-27 15:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9edcce…
05-27 15:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x52a2dc…
05-27 15:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb384f1…
05-27 15:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xac914e…
05-27 15:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf5626e…
05-27 15:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe32ce2…
05-26 03:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb603e6…
05-26 02:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3524ac…
05-26 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x26ffbd…
05-26 02:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8d9659…
05-26 02:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x60c2dc…
05-26 02:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x663331…
05-26 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x44b096…
05-26 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6dd0a9…
05-26 02:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc7a53d…
05-26 02:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa614f7…
05-26 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x85aa97…
05-26 02:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x44bcd0…
05-26 02:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9bed7d…
05-26 01:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8447f7…
05-26 01:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5e3d1a…
05-26 01:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x80bc2b…
05-26 01:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc712d6…
05-26 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xf10a6f…
05-26 01:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfc69ff…
05-26 01:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x51e7e5…
05-25 04:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x671fe7…
05-25 04:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x19442b…
05-25 03:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x229ef2…
05-25 03:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xadca20…
05-25 03:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe0f5f1…
05-25 03:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x970db9…
05-25 03:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb4f14d…
05-25 03:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82b4d0…
05-25 02:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x84fcfa…
05-25 02:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xfd729c…
05-25 02:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf21f82…
05-25 02:18:55	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x6b338b…
05-21 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x922096…
05-21 16:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa5aaca…
05-21 16:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa7a3a1…
05-21 16:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe23199…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ad322…
05-21 16:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8aa875…
05-21 15:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0691e2…
05-21 15:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x57e306…
05-21 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x220174…
05-21 15:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1151ed…
05-21 15:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x2d528a…
05-21 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x05b132…
05-21 15:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x945775…
05-21 15:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xce85bf…
05-21 15:13:40	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb8952b…
05-21 15:12:32	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xba3d1d…
05-21 14:46:32	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x335df3…
05-21 14:37:54	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc28569…
05-21 14:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x971d90…
05-21 14:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x365f3a…
05-21 14:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x88d56b…
05-21 13:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb0f664…
05-21 13:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x843276…
05-21 13:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4c4fd4…
05-21 13:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9b5af5…
05-21 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x319b68…
05-21 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x01a875…
05-20 05:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8ff294…
05-20 05:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xeb2db2…
05-20 05:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb252fc…
05-20 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcabe86…
05-20 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb596db…
05-20 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0de9f6…
05-20 05:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x122fa9…
05-20 04:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x265084…
05-20 04:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x25e5f8…
05-20 04:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0xe8c733…
05-20 04:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x526189…
05-20 04:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc8d07b…
05-20 04:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x6f2427…
05-20 04:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x852eab…
05-20 04:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4e28d8…
05-20 04:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa560f9…
05-20 04:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x15ab2a…
05-20 04:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x58d153…
05-20 04:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x2f2b18…
05-20 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc89a83…
05-20 04:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x04c05b…
05-20 04:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x289f7f…
05-20 04:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5269f1…
05-20 04:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xdcf142…
05-20 04:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e88e2…
05-20 04:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd29a55…
05-20 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x48a89f…
05-20 04:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf9eecd…
05-20 03:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc86cd5…
05-20 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x57bb58…