Emotional-Cap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$470

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

3,785

Trades

7,357

lifetime

Volume

$42.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-04 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 73% -$108

Other

32% 24% -$269

Tech

2% 0% -$31

Politics

1% 0% -$61

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on july 8 2026	6	$1.3K	805	805	+0	Down	+$8	07-08 11:06
spy up or down on june 12 2026	10	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$12	06-12 14:32
spy up or down on july 20 2026	3	$992	800	800	+0	Down	-$16	07-20 04:10
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	10	$923	664	664	+0	No	-$31	06-02 08:08
spy up or down on july 24 2026	6	$801	582	582	+0	Up	+$3	07-24 14:52
spy up or down on july 15 2026	5	$635	520	520	+0	Up	-$4	07-15 15:07
wti up or down on june 30 2026	8	$526	620	620	+0	Down	-$8	06-30 08:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 30?	8	$445	240	220	+20	No	+$3	06-30 15:35
spy up or down on june 11 2026	6	$440	600	600	+0	Up	-$4	06-11 06:45
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	6	$436	395	395	+0	No	-$39	06-02 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	24	$429	400	299	+101	No	-$48	08-04 14:13
spy up or down on july 7 2026	10	$409	423	423	+0	Down	-$5	07-07 12:16
spy up or down on june 8 2026	6	$330	300	300	+0	Up	-$2	06-08 06:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$322	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 06:35
spy up or down on june 23 2026	2	$315	200	200	+0	Down	+$3	06-23 05:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	11	$310	313	313	+0	Yes	-$23	06-03 16:37
wti up or down on july 9 2026	2	$294	200	200	+0	Down	-$2	07-09 09:48
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	4	$284	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-04 08:33
spy up or down on june 4 2026	9	$280	211	211	+0	Up	-$1	06-04 09:01
spy up or down on july 13 2026	8	$269	500	500	+0	Down	-$61	07-13 14:17
wti up or down on june 9 2026	10	$247	333	333	+0	Down	$0	06-09 14:35
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$211	200	200	+0	Yes	-$61	07-13 14:16
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	4	$207	200	200	+0	Down	-$5	06-10 06:05
will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	5	$197	192	192	+0	Yes	-$5	06-04 11:28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	11	$192	200	100	+100	Yes	+$38	07-24 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$192	200	200	+0	No	-$4	06-27 09:55
will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	5	$166	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 05:21
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	2	$162	300	300	+0	Yes	-$30	07-23 09:25
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	4	$142	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	4	$137	132	32	+100	Yes	+$17	07-24 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 15:33:09	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x434f02…
08-04 15:21:45	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x21d65e…
08-04 15:15:45	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xa82379…
08-04 15:15:38	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x661c43…
08-04 14:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x69747b…
08-04 14:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0x3b5756…
08-04 14:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x65ae79…
08-04 14:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x44fb07…
08-04 14:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa26292…
08-04 14:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x4189bc…
08-04 13:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcee96c…
08-04 13:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xbd57ee…
08-04 12:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x55b522…
08-04 12:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x606807…
08-04 12:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0xd06fbd…
08-04 12:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xa2c56d…
08-04 12:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x46bbb4…
08-04 12:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xea5e53…
08-04 12:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xe32237…
08-04 12:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd6cd49…
08-04 12:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0xe5aea1…
08-04 11:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x1c3af8…
08-04 11:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbcc33f…
08-04 11:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	95	65¢	$62	0x3cd1db…
08-04 09:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x99b811…
08-04 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x8eadc7…
08-04 06:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	88	47¢	$41	0x4c410a…
08-04 06:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xde555c…
07-24 15:54:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0xe644c2…
07-24 15:54:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0xe4e01a…
07-24 15:54:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x019312…
07-24 15:54:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x8a9b75…
07-24 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	62	65¢	$40	0xe77941…
07-24 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xdafc75…
07-24 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xac885d…
07-24 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x9cd834…
07-24 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x786967…
07-24 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x1cc550…
07-24 14:52:51	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	82	57¢	$47	0x92ec88…
07-24 14:52:45	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc52202…
07-24 14:52:45	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5e7d14…
07-24 14:52:45	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0x487347…
07-24 12:18:18	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0x0b6b08…
07-24 12:18:12	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x7b8159…
07-24 08:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	96	86¢	$82	0xf6fbd2…
07-24 08:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x7860c2…
07-24 08:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	32	83¢	$27	0xec2c4b…
07-24 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x4333ca…
07-24 08:04:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x298cf6…
07-23 09:25:13	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0xfaf155…
07-23 07:18:21	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0xc9f738…
07-20 04:10:21	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	269	59¢	$159	0xf744fc…
07-20 04:10:18	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	531	62¢	$329	0xfdd1a6…
07-20 04:10:13	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	800	63¢	$504	0x91b654…
07-19 12:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xff59c0…
07-19 12:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8db151…
07-19 11:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce325b…
07-19 11:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe7f528…
07-19 10:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2b7c9c…
07-19 10:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbec8fc…
07-19 10:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x618744…
07-19 10:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb90ef5…
07-19 09:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf52e0b…
07-19 09:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0e295c…
07-19 08:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x02ef28…
07-19 08:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a50e0…
07-19 07:54:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x698064…
07-19 07:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x13921e…
07-19 07:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x34e74d…
07-19 07:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x24b434…
07-19 05:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd1c72f…
07-19 04:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x73ac81…
07-18 17:24:52	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x39d9c0…
07-18 17:24:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x9b3ab5…
07-18 05:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x98612d…
07-18 05:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x33a0d6…
07-18 05:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbfce5c…
07-18 04:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb43993…
07-18 04:54:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x848e8e…
07-18 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xdb0615…
07-18 03:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x383a68…
07-18 03:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	305	1¢	$3	0x0466af…
07-18 03:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x06254d…
07-18 03:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x855fb4…
07-17 20:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe95fc2…
07-17 20:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9e40df…
07-17 19:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7975e8…
07-17 19:37:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa830d3…
07-17 19:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfd6c3e…
07-17 19:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef228f…
07-17 19:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x43132e…
07-17 19:21:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x89bdc0…
07-17 19:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x491801…
07-17 19:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9e31b2…
07-17 18:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa52e01…
07-17 17:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbebfa3…
07-17 17:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0e5d1a…
07-17 17:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2fe56a…
07-17 17:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x805c42…
07-17 16:51:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9ca0eb…