Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-17 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

89% 50% +$11

Other

11% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	26	$142	192	192	+0	open	—	04-06 12:50
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	36	$108	104	104	+0	open	—	06-08 08:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	15	$102	97	84	+13	open	—	06-15 01:43
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	27	$90	293	195	+98	open	—	06-18 16:21
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	23	$78	52	42	+11	open	—	05-29 19:48
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	11	$73	39	56	-17	open	—	06-16 23:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$71	75	53	+22	open	—	06-18 04:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	25	$65	43	45	-2	open	—	07-06 12:04
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	21	$59	58	21	+37	open	—	07-12 00:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	24	$58	35	42	-7	open	—	07-05 09:11
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	9	$56	64	64	+0	open	—	03-23 11:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	15	$53	45	38	+7	open	—	05-27 11:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	11	$51	50	47	+2	open	—	06-20 14:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	11	$47	44	44	+0	open	—	05-29 15:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	15	$47	55	55	+0	open	—	06-13 09:48
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	15	$44	57	44	+14	open	—	07-07 11:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$42	88	90	-3	open	—	06-13 18:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	05-06 18:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$37	199	199	+0	open	—	04-07 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$36	26	26	-0	Yes	+$7	05-09 07:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	9	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-29 16:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	13	$35	33	33	+0	open	—	07-09 00:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$35	40	40	+0	open	—	04-03 15:43
israel closes its airspace by june 8	9	$34	35	35	+0	open	—	06-08 03:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	04-20 20:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	05-23 14:11
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	11	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	06-09 16:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	12	$32	66	60	+6	open	—	06-29 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$31	80	80	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 18:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	6	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	05-08 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 14:13:55	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x3fb44a…
07-16 20:27:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7e7066…
07-16 20:26:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x91673d…
07-16 20:26:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf57d1e…
07-16 15:40:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xada9c9…
07-16 11:39:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe4379f…
07-16 11:39:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x51df55…
07-16 01:06:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x103fc3…
07-15 22:58:26	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x6baa82…
07-15 22:00:49	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0x093f87…
07-15 20:41:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x57413b…
07-15 05:02:55	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7f749b…
07-14 19:54:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x2e3444…
07-14 17:39:47	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x38f213…
07-14 15:14:49	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x624a19…
07-14 12:29:26	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x723873…
07-14 12:29:25	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	17	63¢	$10	0x58f256…
07-12 04:46:20	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1cc073…
07-12 04:45:59	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcd3c3d…
07-12 03:46:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaab578…
07-12 00:32:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4a9607…
07-12 00:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe85ddd…
07-11 23:59:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xec3b1d…
07-11 22:27:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdfa68d…
07-11 22:27:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc03ea3…
07-11 22:26:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6409d4…
07-11 22:22:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2fb1fe…
07-11 22:16:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x66ddff…
07-11 22:15:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38d945…
07-11 19:15:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94ff08…
07-11 18:34:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	89	8¢	$7	0x441c7b…
07-11 18:33:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x899cb8…
07-11 18:33:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2dc65c…
07-11 18:33:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x13ee3d…
07-11 18:33:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xaf89ea…
07-11 14:20:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0x64ece4…
07-11 02:21:52	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7bfc68…
07-10 21:58:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x04a559…
07-10 21:53:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x72fd4c…
07-10 20:44:20	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb8853c…
07-10 20:44:08	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe000aa…
07-10 16:08:25	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf7c4fc…
07-10 15:45:53	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88376b…
07-09 00:45:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0x786a26…
07-08 21:57:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x061aac…
07-08 13:29:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe6400b…
07-08 13:29:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc00749…
07-08 08:39:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1d7522…
07-08 08:39:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x815674…
07-08 08:39:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8364c5…
07-08 08:34:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x72b45f…
07-08 08:29:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xacf22f…
07-08 08:28:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc95595…
07-08 08:27:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe8204f…
07-08 04:15:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4cb831…
07-08 02:39:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4bcfdc…
07-07 23:27:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xefbfc4…
07-07 23:12:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd6329b…
07-07 22:19:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa12925…
07-07 21:43:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xfe52cb…
07-07 21:40:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa0d593…
07-07 21:40:29	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb6f9b8…
07-07 21:19:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xbc3af9…
07-07 21:13:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc2c7e1…
07-07 19:46:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc6c355…
07-07 11:12:20	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7dda42…
07-06 21:11:28	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x569c82…
07-06 15:18:08	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0d528f…
07-06 12:04:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	45	79¢	$35	0x74137c…
07-06 09:59:29	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x75adf3…
07-06 07:12:40	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc785e3…
07-06 07:12:14	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb879f6…
07-05 22:06:26	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x28a8ba…
07-05 22:03:10	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x92327b…
07-05 22:03:04	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x25d17e…
07-05 22:00:23	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfaa3d1…
07-05 15:48:38	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xde2652…
07-05 15:31:37	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf01b21…
07-05 15:31:34	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2c0499…
07-05 15:30:17	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5c88b7…
07-05 15:30:13	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x66a68a…
07-05 10:29:32	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x900bcb…
07-05 10:29:29	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1e5662…
07-05 10:29:11	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xef9988…
07-05 09:11:17	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd4ecfd…
07-05 09:11:08	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44618e…
07-05 09:11:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	42	80¢	$34	0x6c3552…
07-04 14:13:58	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x6814db…
07-04 14:13:38	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8888db…
07-04 11:48:19	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x74c817…
07-03 21:46:43	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa4350d…
07-03 18:49:08	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf6c0a5…
07-03 06:58:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd1e3cb…
07-03 06:16:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2c8a2f…
07-03 04:42:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb03ee7…
07-03 02:48:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xab5342…
07-02 23:39:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3ee30a…
07-02 23:39:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4942aa…
07-02 23:06:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb300d0…
07-02 21:57:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf9593b…