Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
738
lifetime
Volume
$2.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$142
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 06-30 02:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
91% 50% +$11
Other
9%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -31 $-28 100¢ $-31 $-2 05-31 09:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +35 $24 74¢ $26 +$1 06-04 09:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +22 $18 100¢ $22 +$4 06-18 04:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +33 $16 56¢ $18 +$2 06-05 02:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +16 $11 75¢ $12 +$1 06-15 14:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 06-08 07:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 50¢ $8 $-2 06-27 07:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 05-29 19:48
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 $-0 06-08 07:43
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-28 15:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2 $1 $0 $-1 06-26 11:38