Windy-Left — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$945

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-26 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$18

Crypto

33% — —

Other

10% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775336700	2	$316	162	161	+0	open	—	04-04 21:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$61	66	21	+45	No	+$18	05-05 16:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-16 15:31
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$48	72	67	+5	open	—	04-23 00:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-03 12:37
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$44	71	71	+0	open	—	04-05 12:41
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	03-23 23:09
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	2	$35	43	43	+0	open	—	03-18 18:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$30	15	15	-0	open	—	05-29 21:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 07:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	03-21 17:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 01:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 15:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$12	38	0	+38	open	—	05-31 00:02
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 18:10
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	04-23 17:08
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 20:54
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$10	40	40	+0	Spurs	$-7	05-13 02:17
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	07-26 17:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 15:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	3	$10	10	6	+5	open	—	03-08 21:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$9	13	3	+10	open	—	04-30 15:41
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	5	$9	7	2	+5	open	—	04-21 23:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	06-13 19:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-22 11:04
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$7	15	5	+10	open	—	04-21 22:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	07-13 14:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	07-26 03:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 17:40:30	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa3ee24…
07-26 03:10:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6741fb…
07-13 14:10:07	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x48ea2f…
07-13 14:09:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd9a0f2…
06-13 19:22:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xc83e77…
05-31 00:02:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xdddc55…
05-30 19:58:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xdd025b…
05-30 19:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0363f3…
05-30 19:49:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x597455…
05-30 19:41:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeceff6…
05-30 19:41:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x51433a…
05-30 07:08:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x6d12d4…
05-29 21:18:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x817040…
05-25 12:07:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xd6a42e…
05-13 02:17:35	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x068be1…
05-13 00:12:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x614e2f…
05-05 20:24:56	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa99a99…
05-05 16:39:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x31b63f…
05-05 16:33:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6473c5…
05-05 15:01:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9c06ce…
05-05 14:39:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0xa62c32…
05-04 18:42:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f82e7…
05-04 18:27:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe97739…
05-04 18:26:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e1aee…
05-04 17:42:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x79dbc2…
05-04 17:40:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x88e4fb…
05-04 17:40:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x215221…
05-04 17:37:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0xa47579…
04-30 15:43:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xebd00b…
04-30 15:41:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x9e64fa…
04-27 01:29:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x066d30…
04-25 18:10:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5484e6…
04-24 15:57:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa780e6…
04-24 13:29:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x66babe…
04-24 12:29:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf7d5da…
04-24 11:13:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x979525…
04-23 17:46:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x6be93f…
04-23 17:37:50	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2521c6…
04-23 17:27:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe890f6…
04-23 17:23:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x61c346…
04-23 17:21:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xdde6db…
04-23 17:21:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	1	36¢	$1	0x0fd108…
04-23 17:21:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x992ef6…
04-23 17:20:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe2b04a…
04-23 17:12:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x426c1f…
04-23 17:12:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8e0623…
04-23 17:08:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x5b14f3…
04-23 17:07:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x3ab130…
04-23 17:06:38	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d2663…
04-23 17:06:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf550ad…
04-23 17:06:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x217f2c…
04-23 17:06:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafb95d…
04-23 05:19:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x4a2104…
04-23 03:53:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xae7aba…
04-23 00:17:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x45a33a…
04-22 11:59:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x1834e9…
04-22 11:04:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe80352…
04-22 10:28:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb6081d…
04-22 02:19:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x510567…
04-21 23:59:14	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x947a83…
04-21 23:12:48	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x950c49…
04-21 22:24:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcc5980…
04-21 22:24:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x55e52c…
04-21 22:20:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1c6f14…
04-21 22:13:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x0016f0…
04-21 21:32:38	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6de957…
04-21 21:22:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x49f79b…
04-21 20:42:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29110f…
04-21 20:32:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x58e4ee…
04-21 20:11:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x3d7142…
04-21 19:19:04	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe0d778…
04-21 19:08:34	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x45a785…
04-21 19:08:04	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xce82d2…
04-21 19:07:24	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xce1db5…
04-13 15:23:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x0afd76…
04-13 15:23:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8a944c…
04-12 18:29:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xe6fbad…
04-12 18:29:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x181f40…
04-05 12:42:53	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	35¢	$23	0xb73e00…
04-05 12:41:43	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	33¢	$24	0xb0ce43…
04-05 11:35:39	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x5e7d05…
04-05 11:30:17	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x06ac95…
04-04 21:10:27	btc updown 5m 1775336700	Up	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x446fd4…
04-04 21:09:57	btc updown 5m 1775336700	Up	BUY	162	96¢	$156	0xa4c497…
04-03 12:37:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8f46d6…
03-23 23:09:29	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	Yes	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x08249a…
03-23 23:07:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe0574e…
03-23 15:08:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc99d2f…
03-22 08:18:15	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x4421c4…
03-21 17:38:23	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x86384f…
03-21 17:35:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x616c39…
03-18 18:23:15	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0x2bab7a…
03-18 18:18:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5fb830…
03-18 14:36:45	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd8521c…
03-16 15:31:55	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xaf9bd5…
03-08 21:23:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05c2e1…
03-08 21:18:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb99e89…
03-08 20:42:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6dfe00…
02-28 20:54:45	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x52532e…
02-28 20:30:47	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x60ab67…