Spry-Pheromone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$246

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-07 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% +$130

Crypto

25% — —

Other

17% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+203	$200	99¢	$202	+$2	06-07 08:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	+66	$50	36¢	$24	$-26	06-07 08:23
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	+154	$20	8¢	$13	$-7	06-07 07:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	+40	$6	16¢	$7	+$1	06-07 08:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	1	$215	222	+222	open	—	02-16 03:06
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	1	$210	210	+210	open	—	02-24 08:09
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	1	$200	384	+384	open	—	02-16 02:56
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$200	238	+238	open	—	03-09 06:40
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	203	+203	open	—	06-07 08:19
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$195	212	+212	open	—	01-27 05:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$150	200	+200	Yes	$-150	04-04 06:27
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$120	141	+141	open	—	04-04 06:30
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	131	+131	open	—	05-26 03:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$100	133	+133	open	—	05-26 03:26
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$100	124	+124	open	—	03-09 07:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$100	120	+120	open	—	05-08 06:55
bitcoin up or down on january 12	1	$83	102	+102	open	—	01-12 06:03
bitcoin above 94k on january 13	1	$73	90	+90	open	—	01-12 06:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$67	91	+91	open	—	05-08 07:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$53	333	+333	Yes	+$280	03-09 07:08
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-04 06:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$50	66	+66	open	—	06-07 08:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	1	$28	112	+112	open	—	05-25 16:24
lol gen kt 2026 04 03	1	$27	180	+180	open	—	04-03 05:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$23	128	+128	open	—	05-08 07:02
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	1	$20	154	+154	open	—	06-07 07:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$20	143	+143	open	—	02-16 03:03
btc updown 5m 1771210800	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	02-16 03:02
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	1	$10	42	+42	open	—	02-16 03:00
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-16 02:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$8	100	+100	open	—	03-09 07:12
lol wb al 2026 04 04	3	$7	20	+20	open	—	04-04 07:17
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	02-24 08:09
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$6	40	+40	open	—	06-07 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:26:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xae6361…
06-07 08:23:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xc9f9f9…
06-07 08:19:48	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x8ad412…
06-07 07:56:55	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x9e18bb…
05-26 03:26:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x89e2bd…
05-26 03:25:44	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x9dedc9…
05-25 16:24:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	112	25¢	$28	0x266a46…
05-08 07:09:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	91	74¢	$67	0xf004c5…
05-08 07:02:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	128	18¢	$23	0xd10d66…
05-08 06:55:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x0261ae…
04-04 07:17:07	lol wb al 2026 04 04	Weibo Gaming	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4ac2d5…
04-04 07:14:27	lol wb al 2026 04 04	Weibo Gaming	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2ea45e…
04-04 07:12:37	lol wb al 2026 04 04	Weibo Gaming	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x87834f…
04-04 06:30:37	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	141	85¢	$120	0xfa289d…
04-04 06:30:01	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x51929b…
04-04 06:27:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xb58e63…
04-03 05:38:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$6	0x718bd3…
04-03 05:36:49	lol gen kt 2026 04 03	KT Rolster	BUY	180	15¢	$27	0x251e7d…
03-09 07:13:31	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x4136dc…
03-09 07:12:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2af8f8…
03-09 07:08:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	16¢	$53	0xbba985…
03-09 06:40:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x1d5717…
02-24 08:09:36	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x55a951…
02-24 08:09:20	will solana reach 150 in february 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x5a15f8…
02-24 08:09:00	will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xf5d1d1…
02-16 03:11:59	ethereum up or down on february 16	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7f2ee6…
02-16 03:06:19	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x92d52a…
02-16 03:05:09	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xa65091…
02-16 03:03:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x355f5f…
02-16 03:02:57	btc updown 5m 1771210800	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xea7fbe…
02-16 03:00:15	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0667b0…
02-16 02:57:33	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6f05da…
02-16 02:56:53	spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	384	52¢	$200	0xca0c21…
01-27 05:04:33	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	212	92¢	$195	0x2c23bc…
01-12 06:05:26	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x022994…
01-12 06:03:42	bitcoin up or down on january 12	Up	BUY	102	81¢	$83	0x2a100c…
01-12 06:02:50	bitcoin above 94k on january 13	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x13ac22…