Flat-Savings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$300

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

107

Trades

1,243

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$70

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 11-02 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

49% 52% +$193

Tech

25% 60% +$49

Crypto

19% 55% +$44

Politics

4% 33% +$14

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		+191	$92	36¢	$70	-$22	11-02 21:31
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	No		+0	-$6	90¢	$0	+$6	07-30 10:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	38	$1.6K	863	786	+77	No	-$1	08-26 17:07
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	38	$1.4K	863	786	+77	No	+$14	08-26 17:07
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	108	$803	761	340	+421	No	+$236	08-25 02:32
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$756	833	0	+833	No	+$76	10-20 18:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	15	$551	700	264	+436	Yes	-$229	07-31 07:50
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$526	540	0	+540	No	+$14	10-20 16:27
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	15	$519	454	127	+327	Yes	-$288	10-28 18:43
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	35	$499	310	310	+0	No	-$13	10-21 13:45
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	36	$477	331	331	+0	No	+$13	10-21 13:45
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	42	$429	321	150	+171	No	+$38	08-22 10:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:30 UTC	4	$426	407	407	+0	Down	+$26	07-23 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:20 UTC	4	$372	342	342	+0	Down	-$28	07-23 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 09:10 UTC	4	$370	628	628	+0	Down	-$30	07-23 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:55 UTC	2	$365	284	284	+0	Up	+$165	07-23 08:59
Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	12	$365	266	109	+157	open	—	11-03 21:17
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$360	250	159	+91	No	+$32	10-26 19:47
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	39	$302	156	155	+1	No	+$5	08-24 13:54
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	16	$286	244	53	+191	open	—	11-02 21:31
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	99	$274	761	340	+421	Yes	-$188	08-25 02:32
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	10	$265	480	44	+435	No	+$238	07-30 21:53
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	39	$260	156	155	+1	No	+$35	08-24 13:54
Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	10	$249	176	80	+96	open	—	11-03 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 09:00 UTC	3	$249	284	284	+0	Up	+$49	07-23 09:02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$245	252	100	+152	Yes	+$31	10-26 16:27
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	26	$240	804	727	+77	Yes	+$32	08-26 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:25 UTC	2	$235	193	193	+0	Down	+$35	07-23 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$211	326	222	+104	Down	-$85	07-23 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:25 UTC	3	$211	287	154	+133	Up	+$1	07-23 12:30
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	5	$210	122	122	+0	open	—	07-30 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 09:05 UTC	2	$200	267	267	+0	Down	+$0	07-23 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 21:17:15	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xa9afd9…
11-03 21:17:15	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x85ba58…
11-03 21:17:15	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x785d4f…
11-02 21:31:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xea80f9…
11-02 21:31:34	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x89c42f…
11-02 21:31:33	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x88edb6…
11-02 21:31:31	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe9e0b5…
11-02 21:31:31	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x8175f1…
11-02 21:31:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x03e9ff…
11-02 21:31:18	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x5c4b8c…
11-02 21:31:18	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x59d6d3…
11-02 21:31:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x494b59…
11-02 21:31:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0x820f88…
11-02 21:31:16	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x6f5d51…
11-02 21:31:15	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x5fe858…
11-02 13:04:07	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xa31edf…
11-02 13:04:07	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xa0cc8f…
11-02 13:04:07	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x56e30f…
11-02 11:09:19	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xee4370…
11-02 11:09:19	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xe8e856…
11-02 11:09:19	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x1676f3…
11-02 10:53:15	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xbafa0f…
11-02 10:53:15	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x99a6f8…
11-02 10:53:15	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x95ffb8…
11-01 18:05:57	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x8e5ccf…
11-01 18:05:55	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xf3347d…
11-01 18:05:55	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xd74a13…
11-01 17:37:36	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x5c743f…
11-01 17:37:36	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x0480a1…
11-01 17:37:34	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x3030a1…
11-01 17:37:33	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x26a00c…
11-01 17:37:33	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x06d629…
11-01 17:37:31	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xf76fb9…
11-01 14:08:07	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xee467c…
11-01 14:08:07	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x97ed41…
11-01 14:08:06	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3a0f9c…
11-01 09:58:19	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xda3ff1…
11-01 09:58:19	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x8f0705…
11-01 09:58:19	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x12dd07…
11-01 09:27:27	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xebc139…
11-01 09:27:27	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x953b0c…
11-01 09:27:27	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x347a31…
11-01 03:19:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfb1dc1…
11-01 03:19:37	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x786ff4…
11-01 03:19:37	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0d5a80…
11-01 03:19:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfa1164…
11-01 03:19:36	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4a57cf…
11-01 03:19:34	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1fa658…
11-01 03:19:30	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe83576…
11-01 03:19:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdf5664…
11-01 03:19:30	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x708682…
11-01 03:19:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1f5dfe…
11-01 03:19:24	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x51f7a4…
11-01 03:19:24	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3ee52d…
11-01 03:19:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe9d943…
11-01 03:19:22	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9f130a…
11-01 03:19:22	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5cad80…
11-01 01:09:21	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xea2130…
11-01 01:09:21	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xbcaae3…
11-01 01:09:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xa2afa8…
11-01 01:09:19	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xca5b50…
11-01 01:09:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x49ec4d…
11-01 01:09:18	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfab87f…
11-01 00:08:57	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x64aea6…
11-01 00:08:55	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xfa37fe…
11-01 00:08:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xebd819…
11-01 00:08:54	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xf45646…
11-01 00:08:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x9b5e65…
11-01 00:08:54	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4f76b0…
11-01 00:08:51	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xc20950…
11-01 00:08:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x73c5fa…
11-01 00:08:51	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x1f7c7f…
11-01 00:08:49	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xb1b360…
11-01 00:08:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x933ccf…
11-01 00:08:49	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x82e0b3…
11-01 00:07:52	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xff6304…
11-01 00:07:52	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xade170…
11-01 00:07:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x9a9e30…
10-31 06:36:00	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9c710b…
10-31 06:36:00	Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x7b0a9a…
10-30 14:24:36	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa10640…
10-30 14:24:36	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x42bd2b…
10-30 12:02:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x240611…
10-30 12:02:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x1acaf5…
10-30 10:46:04	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xde5454…
10-30 10:46:03	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xf2f9b4…
10-30 10:46:01	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xbe259d…
10-30 10:46:00	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb4f584…
10-30 10:45:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x0efe41…
10-30 10:45:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x04cebd…
10-30 10:45:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8adae5…
10-30 10:45:37	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3f109f…
10-30 10:45:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xfaac5b…
10-30 10:45:31	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x03465f…
10-30 10:45:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6e982f…
10-30 10:45:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x74c8a4…
10-30 08:13:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x92edb5…
10-30 08:13:15	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x3a9507…
10-30 06:44:43	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x822560…
10-30 06:44:43	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x345b8d…