Vivid-Scout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$514

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

406

Trades

1,608

lifetime

Volume

$90.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$214

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-03 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

95% 92% +$359

Crypto

5% 40% -$873

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-104	-$100	99¢	$-103	-$3	05-16 05:16
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-74	-$53	82¢	$-61	-$8	10-03 14:48
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	-62	-$44	81¢	$-51	-$6	10-03 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$4.1K	4,039	2,539	+1,500	No	-$769	06-01 16:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?	6	$1.3K	1,291	0	+1,291	No	+$29	04-30 12:12
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	15	$1.3K	641	641	+0	No	+$23	05-04 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 29?	26	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$4	04-29 16:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 27?	82	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$1	04-27 18:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?	43	$1.2K	619	616	+3	No	+$3	04-26 20:03
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 20c	8	$1.1K	536	536	+0	No	+$7	04-24 15:36
highest temperature in munich on april 22 2026 15c	2	$1.0K	1,035	0	+1,035	No	+$21	04-22 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 28?	10	$978	491	491	+0	No	+$1	04-28 22:27
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	13	$969	512	510	+2	No	+$26	04-24 16:24
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	5	$955	1,031	0	+1,031	No	+$75	01-23 21:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 27?	53	$917	460	460	+0	No	+$1	04-27 18:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?	5	$873	889	0	+889	No	+$16	04-26 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 2?	1	$847	848	0	+848	No	+$1	05-02 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 1?	1	$794	800	0	+800	No	+$6	05-01 11:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	20	$783	471	471	+0	Yes	-$118	05-04 14:51
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 60 61f	4	$779	785	0	+785	No	+$5	04-22 20:06
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 58 59f	8	$768	798	0	+798	No	+$30	04-22 21:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?	2	$732	733	0	+733	No	+$1	04-30 10:25
Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	9	$653	330	330	+0	No	+$7	05-04 11:30
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	7	$631	321	321	+0	Yes	+$7	04-24 17:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	1	$602	605	0	+605	No	+$2	05-04 14:51
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 46 47f	3	$584	600	0	+600	No	+$16	04-20 13:59
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 16c	4	$584	591	0	+591	No	+$7	04-24 11:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 29?	22	$568	315	315	-0	No	-$53	04-29 14:52
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 18 2026 15c	6	$567	587	0	+587	No	+$19	04-18 14:08
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 18c	9	$548	434	124	+310	No	+$8	04-23 14:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 29?	5	$546	551	0	+551	No	+$6	04-29 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 27?	9	$540	280	265	+15	No	+$2	04-27 14:12
highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 21corhigher	9	$523	529	0	+529	No	+$6	04-22 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 14:48:42	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	72¢	$53	0x1bb8f3…
10-03 14:48:35	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	79¢	$44	0xa359e4…
10-03 14:48:24	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	62	71¢	$44	0x37a0d7…
06-01 16:27:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	53¢	$266	0xf7449a…
06-01 15:50:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbdbf4f…
06-01 15:48:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	52¢	$262	0x3f64ea…
06-01 15:47:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	51¢	$94	0xe36e52…
06-01 15:33:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb1b62b…
06-01 15:33:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6f9a21…
06-01 15:32:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec4d36…
06-01 15:32:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x6c3130…
06-01 15:32:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x95515b…
06-01 15:32:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0x6642fb…
06-01 14:59:55	APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	94¢	$53	0x599c9e…
06-01 14:44:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,539	66¢	$1,668	0x0e19ec…
06-01 14:40:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$652	0x58f66d…
06-01 14:37:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,539	65¢	$1,000	0xf53e29…
05-16 05:16:59	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xfcfc90…
05-04 15:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 4?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x56de95…
05-04 14:52:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb9fa3a…
05-04 14:51:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	605	100¢	$602	0xd8490f…
05-04 14:51:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	90	43¢	$39	0x92ce6f…
05-04 14:50:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	38	54¢	$21	0x331d89…
05-04 14:49:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x31fbdc…
05-04 14:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 4?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x1de1e4…
05-04 14:08:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xe793f6…
05-04 14:07:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x4252ea…
05-04 14:07:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xf8e858…
05-04 14:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe15fb8…
05-04 14:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 4?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0bcf6a…
05-04 14:01:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x10fc25…
05-04 14:01:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xc65547…
05-04 14:01:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xa63893…
05-04 14:01:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x86f870…
05-04 14:01:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xb72a75…
05-04 14:01:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x1f7644…
05-04 14:01:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	46	81¢	$37	0xf10d22…
05-04 14:00:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xac23de…
05-04 13:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xb762f5…
05-04 13:51:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0x97ce34…
05-04 13:51:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x8b67a4…
05-04 13:48:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x288266…
05-04 12:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x49d580…
05-04 12:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xd5c2c3…
05-04 12:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x28afbb…
05-04 12:31:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xc9b16a…
05-04 12:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x8f5932…
05-04 12:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xfad3d7…
05-04 12:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xf800b2…
05-04 12:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5482a9…
05-04 12:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc95c4c…
05-04 12:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x55c379…
05-04 12:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x78ba3d…
05-04 12:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc1ec81…
05-04 12:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x259f8e…
05-04 12:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x30f73b…
05-04 12:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x40b6de…
05-04 12:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x63dc61…
05-04 11:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8d1842…
05-04 11:30:34	Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x0e339b…
05-04 11:30:28	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xf268b2…
05-04 11:30:18	Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0x6c17ac…
05-04 11:30:10	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0xfbf10b…
05-04 11:29:32	Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0xd15f27…
05-04 11:29:32	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x7a09e7…
05-04 11:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x99b405…
05-04 11:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xced377…
05-04 10:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0x0908fb…
05-04 10:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x31db96…
05-04 10:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1f1c66…
05-04 10:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 4?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x27ba83…
05-04 10:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 4?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$128	0xa5029c…
05-04 10:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xe68079…
05-04 10:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x634b9b…
05-04 10:30:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	383	95¢	$364	0x7721de…
05-04 09:18:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x315365…
05-04 09:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0xa17454…
05-04 09:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xe99531…
05-04 09:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x794485…
05-04 08:58:18	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd6e232…
05-04 08:57:54	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf5529e…
05-04 07:19:00	Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x478e10…
05-04 07:18:58	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xea6d64…
05-04 07:18:58	Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc9694c…
05-04 07:18:58	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xaae8ae…
05-04 07:18:58	Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x4f5a31…
05-04 04:06:38	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc135f6…
05-04 04:06:38	Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb3a036…
05-04 04:06:38	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b3671…
05-04 04:06:38	Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c19b2…
05-04 04:06:38	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02dde4…
05-03 20:59:28	Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x88504d…
05-03 20:58:58	Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x80d968…
05-03 20:42:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x379c33…
05-03 20:42:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x308add…
05-03 20:42:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x374604…
05-03 20:42:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25fe36…
05-03 19:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 3?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x9f6655…
05-03 19:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 3?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$353	0xd885a9…
05-03 19:12:56	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x59bbbc…