Past-Carbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

407

Trades

1,217

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 09-10 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 68% -$198

Other

4% 63% -$5

Sports

1% 74% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	10	$101	79	79	+0	Down	+$27	09-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8AM ET	14	$95	157	157	+0	Up	+$11	09-06 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3AM ET	15	$69	78	78	+0	Up	+$17	09-06 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	17	$64	152	152	+0	Up	-$48	09-06 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:25 UTC	6	$63	53	42	+11	Down	-$7	03-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	12	$61	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-31 08:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:20 UTC	1	$60	118	0	+118	Down	-$60	03-12 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	11	$49	28	28	+0	Up	+$5	09-10 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	8	$43	70	70	+0	Down	-$15	09-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	9	$42	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	09-10 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9AM ET	10	$42	139	8	+131	Down	-$32	09-06 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET	10	$41	35	35	+0	Up	+$3	09-05 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:20 UTC	5	$38	25	25	+0	Down	+$7	03-20 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:50 UTC	8	$38	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:10 UTC	6	$37	28	22	+6	Up	+$2	03-12 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:40 UTC	5	$37	45	23	+22	Up	-$23	03-12 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:00 UTC	3	$37	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	03-12 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7AM ET	11	$37	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	09-05 11:36
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 11PM ET	6	$35	46	46	+0	Up	+$3	09-06 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:05 UTC	8	$33	29	29	+0	Up	-$9	06-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	17	$33	42	42	+0	Up	-$3	09-05 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	14	$32	38	38	+0	Down	-$2	09-04 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8AM ET	5	$31	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	09-05 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:05 UTC	4	$31	26	26	+0	Down	-$9	03-12 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:40 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	03-12 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	9	$29	22	12	+9	Up	-$5	05-31 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:20 UTC	7	$29	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	4	$28	17	17	+0	Down	+$4	06-05 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	09-06 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:30 UTC	3	$28	35	0	+35	Up	+$7	03-12 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 09:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x797807…
09-10 09:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x49ba4b…
09-10 09:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7793ec…
09-10 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x171667…
09-10 09:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4b85a0…
09-10 09:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4a424a…
09-10 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x37fadd…
09-10 09:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbff7af…
09-10 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf3bc86…
09-10 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xae3449…
09-10 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x06b578…
09-10 09:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3a6382…
09-10 09:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2f7ac6…
09-10 09:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x686dd2…
09-10 09:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe53422…
09-10 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xbde26a…
09-10 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x943b29…
09-10 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x51e9cf…
09-10 09:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x547ebf…
09-10 09:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x445a67…
09-10 09:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf86bcb…
09-10 09:07:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xcb5537…
09-10 09:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xb17e54…
09-10 09:07:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x442fcf…
09-10 09:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xbd5367…
09-10 09:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc14cad…
09-10 09:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8375bf…
09-10 09:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6b7548…
09-10 09:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe66e13…
09-10 09:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc3c62d…
09-10 09:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xc88bc8…
09-10 09:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa7ccb5…
09-10 09:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb5f738…
09-10 09:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x50ce37…
09-10 09:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6440ee…
09-10 09:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0661b8…
09-10 09:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xae2435…
09-10 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x415d59…
09-10 09:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf4f132…
09-10 09:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc67ed7…
09-10 09:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6c51d3…
09-10 08:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xb9bec7…
09-10 08:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2cf4a8…
09-10 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x4c7251…
09-10 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x44bf41…
09-10 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x187296…
09-10 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x15583c…
09-10 08:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x434411…
09-10 08:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x402004…
09-10 08:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x639f09…
09-10 08:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x77d9a8…
09-10 08:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe30265…
09-10 08:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb12393…
09-10 08:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x494b0d…
09-10 08:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x051334…
09-10 08:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xfc51ba…
09-10 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d7251…
09-10 08:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	93¢	$15	0x9f5c89…
09-10 08:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x152f8a…
09-10 08:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xe65cf2…
09-10 08:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x31e739…
09-10 08:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc92f6e…
09-10 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd79cad…
09-10 08:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x806574…
09-10 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf934ed…
09-10 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb47b1c…
09-10 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb115f6…
09-10 07:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xfa120c…
09-10 07:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x6f0b77…
09-10 07:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x3ed22a…
09-10 07:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xbfd082…
09-10 07:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xc6b3e0…
09-10 07:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd55cb9…
09-10 07:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd57a62…
09-10 07:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb647be…
09-10 07:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe3d90e…
09-10 07:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd5cd54…
09-10 07:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x3be771…
09-10 07:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x818e7f…
09-10 07:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xac7acc…
09-10 07:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdc6c27…
09-10 07:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdae4d3…
09-10 07:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x41eed1…
09-10 07:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xcc9e3d…
09-10 07:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7d6fc1…
09-10 07:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x6619d9…
09-10 07:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x95119f…
09-10 07:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x88e784…
09-10 07:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x185fbd…
09-07 05:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1ec990…
09-07 05:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x38f33e…
09-06 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xd96418…
09-06 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x74f868…
09-06 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x48b01b…
09-06 15:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x204aaa…
09-06 15:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3fd087…
09-06 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x56c7ed…
09-06 15:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	152	5¢	$8	0x5bb531…
09-06 15:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x9a995e…
09-06 15:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xe50282…