Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$4.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$76

1 position

First seen

2026-09-06

last 11-02 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

49% 67% +$1

Other

30% 6% -$55

Crypto

12% 0% $0

Tech

10% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+100	$94	76¢	$76	-$18	09-19 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	18	$794	800	800	+0	No	+$0	10-28 05:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	26	$634	474	470	+4	Yes	+$1	10-16 05:51
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	24	$425	450	450	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 13:54
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	4	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	10-19 15:29
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	4	$190	200	200	+0	No	+$0	10-08 02:08
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	12	$151	80	80	+0	open	—	10-28 19:00
Paris curfew by October 21?	3	$147	100	50	+50	Yes	-$49	10-19 10:35
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	4	$138	75	75	+0	open	—	10-03 08:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	8	$138	200	200	+0	open	—	11-02 12:27
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	4	$111	60	60	+0	open	—	10-31 20:55
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	12	$106	300	300	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 10:14
will the openai spy be accused of working for meta by december 31 20261014120000010	4	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	10-14 05:36
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	5	$100	100	100	+0	No	+$0	10-17 09:09
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	11-02 23:27
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	4	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	09-19 13:03
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	09-19 13:27
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-23 02:29
will the openai spy be accused of working for anthropic by december 31 20261014120000010	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	10-14 05:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	11-02 23:14
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	12	$74	96	96	+0	open	—	10-16 13:48
will the openai spy be accused of working for google by december 31 20261014120000010	16	$64	160	160	+0	open	—	10-14 05:18
laptop fdv above 10m one day after launch	17	$49	140	140	+0	Yes	+$0	09-08 13:51
Greenland snap election called by December 31?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 14:09
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-06 19:17
denmark snap election called by december 31	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	09-19 04:12
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	6	$22	100	100	+0	open	—	09-30 17:29
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	5	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	10-02 15:41
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	6	$9	133	133	+0	open	—	11-02 11:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-13 15:35
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	5	$7	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	09-08 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:27:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xb162c2…
11-02 23:14:15	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x0ae384…
11-02 18:42:16	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x21f45a…
11-02 12:27:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xdbe1e9…
11-02 12:27:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xe52044…
11-02 11:46:04	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x331b55…
11-01 22:03:06	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf64ac…
11-01 20:01:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x5ad36f…
10-31 20:55:28	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xac303f…
10-31 15:47:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xd1ba89…
10-31 15:47:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x7db243…
10-31 14:33:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xc049ec…
10-31 14:33:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xba05f4…
10-31 13:49:45	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xf0345d…
10-31 13:49:45	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x80d687…
10-31 11:37:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa01527…
10-31 09:20:27	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xd08aa2…
10-31 07:27:54	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x6a5575…
10-31 07:27:49	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x886c7e…
10-28 19:00:11	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xb15550…
10-28 13:33:14	Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8a6631…
10-28 13:21:56	Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5ba20c…
10-28 05:39:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5a88fe…
10-28 04:14:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf46cd0…
10-27 14:38:44	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x37550b…
10-27 14:38:39	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0e34a6…
10-26 19:29:00	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8c369f…
10-26 19:29:00	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x75be60…
10-26 19:28:57	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfc1e06…
10-26 19:28:56	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x01d6d7…
10-26 19:28:50	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x496d7d…
10-26 19:28:30	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xdba2ed…
10-25 01:52:51	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x528e5f…
10-24 02:30:47	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xd143b6…
10-23 17:48:26	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc8ce3e…
10-23 15:09:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x09ab46…
10-23 13:19:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x61ebd1…
10-23 02:29:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x9e5cb8…
10-23 02:29:24	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x92de8a…
10-22 15:03:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	97¢	$84	0xe72edf…
10-22 15:03:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x25696b…
10-22 15:01:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x98c6c6…
10-21 23:17:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x95f586…
10-21 23:17:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcbc31b…
10-21 13:57:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xfcfeee…
10-21 13:29:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0e25ea…
10-21 12:04:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x5ce700…
10-19 21:36:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6a7f84…
10-19 17:31:27	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x5e6af2…
10-19 16:39:15	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xc9394a…
10-19 15:29:11	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x8b35f7…
10-19 15:28:17	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xd8e0d8…
10-19 11:52:00	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1d8646…
10-19 11:42:38	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xea9007…
10-19 10:35:18	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf0209a…
10-19 08:40:47	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x0500f5…
10-19 08:16:14	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9033f6…
10-17 19:20:08	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x868921…
10-17 15:33:51	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7f326c…
10-17 09:09:23	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xd03ab5…
10-17 09:09:18	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x35b42b…
10-17 07:14:36	Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x40cdad…
10-17 07:13:56	Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x84a566…
10-17 02:05:11	Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0fa28e…
10-16 18:02:03	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x2044e5…
10-16 17:51:48	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x4827ed…
10-16 13:48:06	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x51cfa2…
10-16 06:27:27	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4f4615…
10-16 05:51:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x644d57…
10-15 22:45:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1a126b…
10-15 22:08:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2036c4…
10-15 21:50:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8557fb…
10-15 21:30:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x43e990…
10-15 21:13:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x93073d…
10-15 21:11:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36486f…
10-15 21:10:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xdf2757…
10-15 21:10:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9b813e…
10-15 20:54:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb4add6…
10-15 20:51:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x8f6091…
10-15 20:44:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x2ff043…
10-15 20:44:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd8f7ad…
10-15 20:43:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xbd529c…
10-15 20:42:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x248848…
10-15 20:42:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x5275c9…
10-15 16:09:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0xd9e339…
10-15 16:09:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x887bbf…
10-15 16:09:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x28e75f…
10-15 12:09:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x745397…
10-15 12:00:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe530cd…
10-15 11:45:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe4406d…
10-15 11:24:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xc9e005…
10-15 10:42:37	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xc1103f…
10-15 10:38:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa08136…
10-15 10:30:32	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x0dcf1b…
10-15 10:18:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xdbcdc4…
10-15 09:56:56	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf7904e…
10-15 08:02:20	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 16	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x1242cd…
10-15 07:49:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 16	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x14bce6…
10-15 02:05:20	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 16	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x1f0bcf…
10-14 14:55:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xbcda68…