Aggravating-Contagion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

+$142

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

131

Trades

308

lifetime

Volume

$4.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$788

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-30 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

61% 46% -$245

Sports

39% 53% +$192

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	+1,325	$533	48¢	$636	+$103	10-26 16:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	+310	$64	32¢	$99	+$36	10-29 02:47
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	+98	$50	55¢	$53	+$3	10-28 01:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	39	$533	1,325	0	+1,325	open	—	10-26 16:43
LSU vs. Ole Miss	14	$273	895	180	+715	Ole Miss	-$133	09-20 03:20
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	8	$197	175	175	+0	Vikings	+$37	09-27 22:26
Spread: Packers (-1.5)	5	$179	471	100	+371	Packers	-$1	10-19 02:50
Spread: Lions (-6.5)	2	$100	102	102	+0	Lions	$0	09-23 13:34
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)	2	$98	96	72	+24	Chiefs	+$22	09-27 19:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$92	2,241	2,241	+0	open	—	06-08 22:36
49ers vs. Seahawks	5	$81	106	69	+37	49ers	+$8	10-11 23:13
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	6	$77	271	136	+136	Buccaneers	-$14	10-09 03:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	10	$64	310	0	+310	open	—	10-29 02:47
Spread: Tulane (-8.5)	2	$59	59	59	+0	Charlotte	-$1	10-29 14:57
Wisconsin vs. UCLA	3	$59	80	40	+40	UCLA	+$18	10-17 18:54
Spread: UConn (-16.5)	3	$56	40	40	+0	UConn	+$17	10-24 01:25
cfb flst ala 2026 09 19 spread home 2pt5	2	$54	39	39	+0	Alabama	+$14	09-19 23:27
Bears vs. Packers	5	$54	794	65	+729	Packers	+$3	10-11 19:24
Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)	2	$54	50	50	+0	Kentucky	+$2	10-25 01:41
Ohio State vs. Texas	4	$53	84	77	+7	Texas	+$31	09-13 03:11
Spread: Air Force (-6.5)	2	$52	37	37	+0	Wyoming	+$12	10-24 02:21
Ohio State vs. Indiana	4	$50	157	81	+76	Ohio State	+$0	10-17 19:32
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)	1	$50	86	0	+86	Eagles	-$50	10-10 19:34
nfl ari sf 2026 09 27 spread home 8pt5	1	$50	98	0	+98	Cardinals	+$48	09-23 01:59
Spread: 49ers (-13.5)	1	$50	100	0	+100	49ers	+$50	09-16 02:17
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	10-28 01:08
Spread: Texans (-7.5)	1	$50	100	0	+100	Texans	+$50	10-08 21:25
Spread: Bills (-6.5)	1	$50	89	0	+89	Bills	+$39	09-23 01:51
Cardinals vs. Giants	1	$50	94	0	+94	Giants	-$50	09-30 02:47
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	1	$50	96	0	+96	Panthers	+$46	09-16 02:24
Spread: Clemson (-9.5)	1	$50	70	0	+70	North Carolina	+$20	09-17 15:59
Spread: Texas (-13.5)	5	$48	65	65	+0	Ole Miss	+$8	10-25 02:02
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	4	$47	53	53	+0	Kentucky	+$7	10-18 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:15:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Yes	BUY	211	3¢	$6	0xa37dc7…
10-30 01:56:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x42901b…
10-29 23:34:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x3dc6bc…
10-29 23:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x07bdac…
10-29 23:33:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xf7c370…
10-29 14:57:53	Spread: Tulane (-8.5)	Charlotte	SELL	59	50¢	$29	0x183d90…
10-29 14:56:19	Spread: Tulane (-8.5)	Charlotte	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xbf6010…
10-29 02:47:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x7c202f…
10-29 01:29:31	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x2ef4b9…
10-28 01:14:00	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd9c381…
10-28 01:08:33	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x089843…
10-27 03:39:17	Spread: Tulane (-10.5)	Charlotte	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x2d72c8…
10-26 16:43:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	22	39¢	$8	0xbfcb80…
10-26 14:11:53	Spread: Louisiana Tech (-5.5)	Louisiana Tech	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x402710…
10-26 14:09:56	Spread: Utah State (-6.5)	Utah State	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1e79d0…
10-26 14:08:20	Spread: Ole Miss (-13.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xdb50e1…
10-26 14:07:32	Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)	Georgia Southern	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1c3c40…
10-26 14:06:44	Spread: South Florida (-7.5)	UAB	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xafd194…
10-26 12:49:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x2cbce1…
10-26 07:03:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xadd2e0…
10-26 02:12:54	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf0b98e…
10-25 22:56:24	Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Raiders	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x2276e3…
10-25 22:56:24	Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Raiders	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0x21ca8a…
10-25 22:00:59	Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Raiders	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5ebbed…
10-25 22:00:35	Spread: Rams (-10.5)	Raiders	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9c652a…
10-25 20:30:14	Spread: Missouri State (-6.5)	Missouri State	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd404f9…
10-25 20:29:26	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xb348b2…
10-25 20:28:08	Spread: James Madison (-20.5)	James Madison	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x866d13…
10-25 19:57:29	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0x9886a9…
10-25 19:50:12	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	77	22¢	$17	0x13d9ff…
10-25 19:36:41	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x9792f4…
10-25 02:39:12	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0x60c5ac…
10-25 02:15:11	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x88a8f3…
10-25 02:14:00	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xdc1545…
10-25 02:13:59	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x533a33…
10-25 02:13:23	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x520933…
10-25 02:02:48	Spread: Texas (-13.5)	Ole Miss	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xc2fa48…
10-25 02:01:39	Spread: Texas (-13.5)	Ole Miss	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0x8eba45…
10-25 01:52:32	Spread: Texas (-13.5)	Ole Miss	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xd48264…
10-25 01:52:32	Spread: Texas (-13.5)	Ole Miss	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xb6fdca…
10-25 01:41:33	Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)	Vanderbilt	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x9e773f…
10-25 01:34:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xad6514…
10-25 01:18:05	Virginia Tech vs. Clemson	Clemson	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x543d48…
10-25 00:55:11	Spread: Texas (-13.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x92c106…
10-25 00:47:06	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x83f684…
10-25 00:30:51	Spread: Texas State (-6.5)	Texas State	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xf157b0…
10-25 00:21:33	Virginia Tech vs. Clemson	Clemson	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x4113fc…
10-24 23:49:56	Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)	Vanderbilt	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x4c4c91…
10-24 03:53:29	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xecf5c0…
10-24 03:37:57	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe8c8cc…
10-24 03:02:24	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x7545a0…
10-24 02:59:53	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Air Force	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xb2f5e8…
10-24 02:21:08	Spread: Air Force (-6.5)	Wyoming	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0x7a0d1b…
10-24 01:25:48	Spread: UConn (-16.5)	UConn	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x250b1f…
10-23 03:18:15	Spread: Bears (-5.5)	Patriots	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0xeb44ee…
10-23 03:08:51	Spread: Bears (-5.5)	Patriots	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5a5930…
10-23 02:56:26	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	SELL	66	21¢	$14	0x97822b…
10-23 02:54:18	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2f9bd3…
10-23 02:31:05	James Madison vs. Appalachian State	James Madison	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x56ce9e…
10-23 02:23:21	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	SELL	44	23¢	$10	0xd57016…
10-23 02:10:41	Spread: James Madison (-6.5)	James Madison	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3b97e5…
10-23 02:08:18	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe630b4…
10-23 02:00:57	East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x749053…
10-23 01:15:50	Spread: Memphis (-3.5)	Memphis	BUY	55	30¢	$16	0x20df57…
10-23 01:15:39	East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe29fdc…
10-22 15:35:20	Spread: James Madison (-10.5)	James Madison	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x62be10…
10-21 01:46:41	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x15f56a…
10-21 01:45:02	Spread: Vikings (-6.5)	Vikings	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xea9996…
10-21 01:43:30	Spread: Browns (-1.5)	Browns	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x40babb…
10-20 05:13:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x944d8f…
10-20 05:13:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1cbb0a…
10-20 02:42:14	Spread: Air Force (-6.5)	Wyoming	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xee149c…
10-19 14:03:09	Spread: UConn (-16.5)	UConn	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc530c2…
10-19 02:56:42	Spread: UConn (-16.5)	UConn	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdedf05…
10-19 02:50:36	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Cowboys	BUY	191	10¢	$19	0x90390a…
10-19 02:26:23	Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5)	New Mexico State	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x647478…
10-19 02:24:50	Spread: South Alabama (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6fcee1…
10-19 02:11:03	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Cowboys	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8e0f04…
10-19 02:06:54	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Cowboys	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0x19f769…
10-19 02:00:00	Cowboys vs. Packers: 2H O/U 28.5	Over	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x9e5ded…
10-19 01:53:53	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x53cfff…
10-19 01:51:24	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x790bb0…
10-18 20:18:48	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x272707…
10-18 19:41:50	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x706290…
10-18 18:16:24	Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)	Steelers	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5a7a35…
10-18 18:09:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x122668…
10-18 02:12:26	Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x982668…
10-18 02:02:02	Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd53494…
10-18 00:12:00	Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	Kentucky	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0x52b6f5…
10-18 00:03:56	Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)	Notre Dame	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x044f62…
10-18 00:03:54	Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)	Notre Dame	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x96c003…
10-17 23:32:54	Kentucky vs. Oklahoma	Kentucky	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1debb7…
10-17 22:47:35	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3f4ae4…
10-17 22:40:27	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6e2f40…
10-17 22:33:32	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Alabama	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x9e7b96…
10-17 19:57:39	Rutgers vs. Maryland	Maryland	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x053133…
10-17 19:53:08	Rutgers vs. Maryland	Maryland	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x1e541e…
10-17 19:32:45	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Indiana	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xec6d27…
10-17 19:22:35	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Indiana	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x9d5104…
10-17 19:02:02	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Indiana	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa4d6c4…