Spirited-Proliferation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

121

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

43% 97% +$6

Politics

37% 100% +$1

Crypto

15% 100% +$1

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$117	59	59	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 06:38
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	2	$107	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 10:56
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$96	51	51	+0	open	—	10-28 10:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$84	44	44	+0	No	+$4	10-01 00:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	09-01 07:38
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	4	$53	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	09-03 16:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	10-01 05:36
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-05 07:41
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-14 09:05
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-10 06:55
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	10-13 12:06
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	09-22 11:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	09-15 22:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-30 01:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-31 02:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	09-01 03:51
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-27 03:45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	08-28 11:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-01 01:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-27 21:01
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$17	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-29 05:19
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-28 11:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	10-28 10:37
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-25 14:04
will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-26 13:58
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-30 12:58
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-13 12:45
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-17 07:03
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-15 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:37:29	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x46cb93…
10-28 10:36:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x26b4a5…
10-27 20:07:35	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x33dc94…
10-13 12:06:52	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x832329…
10-13 11:54:40	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x63f037…
10-07 16:31:28	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6796f6…
10-05 06:38:20	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd3ecde…
10-05 01:26:20	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xb35317…
10-01 05:36:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x06244e…
10-01 01:34:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xde1246…
10-01 00:56:51	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x7b40ad…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x6dc903…
09-30 17:36:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbdcc3b…
09-30 12:58:14	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9dd08e…
09-30 02:36:08	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x373329…
09-29 05:19:39	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1765a2…
09-24 23:31:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x6289ad…
09-24 13:27:42	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0fb626…
09-22 11:57:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x74db19…
09-17 07:03:19	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x50c0ef…
09-15 22:51:22	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x2755d4…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x305b01…
09-14 07:38:07	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xb07549…
09-13 11:17:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x403821…
09-10 10:56:09	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xd371d5…
09-09 18:30:10	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x73d243…
09-03 16:43:48	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x969038…
09-03 16:29:13	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46e7b9…
09-03 16:18:37	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8d6645…
09-03 16:18:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x35d973…
09-01 07:38:16	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0xface8e…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x35d1c4…
09-01 03:13:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0xa6b667…
08-29 14:38:27	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfca83…
08-28 11:38:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb90f07…
08-28 07:14:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xba5096…
08-27 06:43:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3eda1e…
08-27 03:45:55	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x194266…
08-26 23:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xba82e0…
08-26 22:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7adabe…
08-26 22:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x0d2d46…
08-26 22:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x268ece…
08-26 22:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe90ccf…
08-26 22:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x9bae9a…
08-26 22:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfc9664…
08-26 22:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x67bef1…
08-26 22:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x75aa3a…
08-26 21:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd52968…
08-26 21:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x0460b5…
08-26 21:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xe3b49b…
08-26 21:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa7d919…
08-26 21:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xab0f1c…
08-25 06:33:28	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5ea07…
08-24 17:47:46	Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x077342…
08-23 22:48:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc0b7e…
08-22 14:29:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14a83c…
08-22 07:43:15	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd9166…
08-14 09:05:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x4e4c00…
08-12 23:42:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x7a9844…
08-12 23:33:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xea1885…
08-12 23:08:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1c5e01…
08-12 23:08:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xaa7928…
08-12 23:08:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x27c2e2…
08-12 23:06:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd7de61…
08-12 23:06:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x639502…
08-12 23:05:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xd7f3e6…
08-12 23:01:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf284da…
08-12 23:01:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x80beab…
08-12 23:01:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7178cf…
08-12 23:00:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcee0b4…
08-12 23:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2984a7…
08-12 22:48:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x194f36…
08-12 22:48:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x16a631…
08-10 06:55:40	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x73ede9…
08-07 06:27:00	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3295f…
08-05 07:41:48	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x96a71e…
07-30 01:05:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x0474f4…
07-29 21:13:53	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xefe788…
07-29 17:47:09	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x919428…
07-29 05:48:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc40f83…
07-28 00:08:15	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xcdd946…
07-25 20:26:40	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7789b3…
07-24 22:57:48	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31be48…
07-23 15:21:40	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdf69ca…
07-22 17:05:39	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b306c…
07-22 13:36:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc99e4…
07-22 11:59:52	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xff02c3…
07-22 03:43:10	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x851e36…
07-20 16:23:39	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb505e…
07-12 10:56:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe6a8bc…
06-30 09:09:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1d241…
06-29 12:39:58	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf43982…
06-29 10:34:53	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1c346c…
06-29 07:56:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4269ea…
06-28 11:41:31	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x332ffa…
06-27 07:41:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd007be…
06-26 23:22:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1b11a1…
06-26 13:58:51	will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc03746…
05-31 22:59:59	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7ffc77…
05-31 02:00:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x516487…