Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$9.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$259

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-30 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

61% 72% -$134

Other

39% 54% -$157

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+192	$182	92¢	$177	-$5	10-30 16:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+63	$62	100¢	$63	+$1	10-28 15:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+20	$18	97¢	$19	+$1	10-30 04:26
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	+0	-$6	99¢	$0	+$6	10-28 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	9	$1.2K	671	671	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 22:48
Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	15	$1.1K	717	415	+302	open	—	10-30 16:19
will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	2	$634	320	320	+0	Yes	+$5	03-08 05:48
will israel strike greater beirut on march 9 2026	2	$500	528	0	+528	Yes	+$28	03-09 00:09
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	3	$415	240	240	+0	open	—	10-21 18:58
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$384	253	253	+0	Yes	+$35	03-16 11:41
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 19 2026	6	$378	411	0	+411	No	-$378	03-18 20:12
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	6	$346	177	177	+0	open	—	10-28 20:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$334	576	0	+576	Yes	+$242	03-07 20:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$333	250	125	+125	No	+$19	03-16 17:16
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	10	$319	224	224	-0	open	—	10-30 04:24
will israel strike lebanon on march 6 2026	3	$306	315	0	+315	Yes	+$8	03-05 02:10
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$230	200	200	+0	No	-$110	03-18 13:42
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	4	$188	214	0	+214	No	+$26	10-09 07:58
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$185	100	100	+0	No	+$15	03-18 15:12
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	4	$182	192	0	+192	open	—	10-30 16:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	5	$177	98	98	+0	open	—	10-30 06:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$169	100	100	+0	No	+$1	03-18 20:11
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 21 2026	3	$165	202	0	+202	Yes	+$36	03-18 15:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$165	95	95	+0	Yes	-$9	10-21 22:09
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	7	$163	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$41	03-15 20:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$158	85	85	+0	No	+$3	10-10 20:42
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	4	$158	127	127	+0	Yes	+$5	10-11 07:44
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$152	100	100	+0	No	-$36	03-16 11:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$151	86	86	+0	No	+$1	03-18 17:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$133	142	0	+142	Yes	+$9	10-17 04:07
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	2	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	10-27 20:20
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	2	$109	133	133	+0	Yes	-$91	03-04 15:45
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	1	$101	113	0	+113	No	+$12	03-09 13:36
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	10-09 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:45:51	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x5cd0e7…
10-30 16:44:18	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4fa3da…
10-30 16:19:36	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc49eaa…
10-30 16:13:09	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xcf36ea…
10-30 13:23:01	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	113	95¢	$107	0x2a0949…
10-30 11:57:25	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x207c77…
10-30 11:56:51	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x5c88be…
10-30 11:56:45	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xf353d2…
10-30 06:35:00	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x390eba…
10-30 06:33:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xab92ee…
10-30 04:26:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf09d83…
10-30 04:24:34	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9710f9…
10-29 04:39:05	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x33f5a5…
10-29 00:31:22	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	105	91¢	$96	0xc923c5…
10-28 20:17:40	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2092bb…
10-28 19:15:38	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xc78e8c…
10-28 16:25:41	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x2273c8…
10-28 15:05:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x2c48fe…
10-28 14:38:22	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec1fa7…
10-28 14:29:46	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x127678…
10-28 14:06:34	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe01ed7…
10-28 13:55:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1d4feb…
10-27 20:25:48	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x4beb45…
10-27 20:20:48	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x288ac0…
10-27 20:20:24	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	93¢	$64	0x55ebfc…
10-27 20:20:00	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x9fb8bd…
10-27 20:02:57	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x19c9dc…
10-27 13:14:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x14271a…
10-27 13:08:38	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xb37f79…
10-27 06:06:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xc142de…
10-27 04:55:51	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$1	0xad7dee…
10-24 23:22:02	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	27¢	$14	0xfd07f2…
10-24 23:20:44	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0x3b818a…
10-24 23:20:03	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xa3c145…
10-23 17:06:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x7d81e2…
10-23 05:35:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x0934d6…
10-22 04:53:50	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	88¢	$299	0x1b3805…
10-21 22:48:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	391	83¢	$326	0x39fd44…
10-21 22:12:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	166	89¢	$148	0xf14887…
10-21 22:11:50	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	161	92¢	$148	0x4f1a9c…
10-21 22:10:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	225	91¢	$205	0x0b9089…
10-21 22:09:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	140	90¢	$127	0xe81da9…
10-21 22:09:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	95	82¢	$78	0xe43987…
10-21 21:40:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	140	83¢	$116	0xeb959b…
10-21 18:58:29	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0xf039f8…
10-20 19:03:15	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xe32b2b…
10-20 13:26:11	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x9416ae…
10-20 13:17:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	140	93¢	$130	0x55ad56…
10-19 17:44:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	127	80¢	$101	0x02b01a…
10-19 17:44:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbefb23…
10-19 17:44:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xbb797c…
10-19 17:43:32	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0xe6d845…
10-19 09:17:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	95	92¢	$87	0xd40979…
10-19 04:33:14	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x837755…
10-19 04:21:33	Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x67b971…
10-17 19:05:44	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x249408…
10-17 09:09:00	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0a7920…
10-17 08:34:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9bfc29…
10-17 04:07:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xfe7c45…
10-17 04:01:51	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x6d9fa9…
10-17 04:01:12	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	37	91¢	$34	0x3ef4f1…
10-16 20:25:45	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x30de27…
10-16 14:49:54	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x73ccac…
10-16 13:24:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x3e08ef…
10-16 06:24:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xa02e37…
10-15 15:03:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x21df3b…
10-15 03:52:29	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x9721cb…
10-14 19:31:13	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x12a7cc…
10-14 17:54:45	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	BUY	127	72¢	$92	0xb84217…
10-14 17:45:42	military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by october 15	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x507327…
10-14 17:40:01	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 11	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x9c7a66…
10-11 07:44:49	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	SELL	127	64¢	$81	0x8be53a…
10-10 21:04:34	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x61215f…
10-10 21:00:40	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc96b58…
10-10 20:55:54	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0x82e00c…
10-10 20:44:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x225ccf…
10-10 20:42:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0x7928bc…
10-10 16:25:49	FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xfb17c2…
10-10 16:24:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x9cb2eb…
10-10 14:00:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xb52192…
10-10 05:33:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0xb6c254…
10-10 05:23:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x59f8c6…
10-09 13:38:49	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	79¢	$189	0xc3256c…
10-09 11:55:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x448eb0…
10-09 11:54:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0x4c2bad…
10-09 08:09:15	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd31657…
10-09 07:58:24	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	53	88¢	$46	0xc401b1…
10-09 07:58:00	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xc279c2…
10-09 07:57:51	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0x8758d3…
10-09 07:47:46	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xf35e3a…
03-21 12:27:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0x858d45…
03-18 20:18:53	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 22 2026	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x283abe…
03-18 20:12:11	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0x74306a…
03-18 20:11:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x24a4bb…
03-18 17:22:37	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x878ddb…
03-18 17:22:19	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x7e217d…
03-18 17:21:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	86	88¢	$76	0x104a10…
03-18 15:12:57	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x79fe9e…
03-18 15:12:09	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2dde67…
03-18 15:03:11	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	127	84¢	$106	0xcb02f9…