Quaint-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

484

Trades

98,272

lifetime

Volume

$615.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-31 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$1,426

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 6169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772530200	1,045	$7.9K	11,284	4,924	+6,361	open	—	03-03 09:41
btc updown 15m 1772548200	1,531	$6.6K	11,272	4,768	+6,503	open	—	03-03 14:40
btc updown 15m 1772549100	1,106	$5.9K	9,949	3,561	+6,388	open	—	03-03 14:57
btc updown 15m 1772412300	1,226	$4.9K	8,372	2,478	+5,894	open	—	03-02 00:58
btc updown 15m 1772536500	784	$4.7K	7,188	2,946	+4,242	open	—	03-03 11:26
btc updown 15m 1772531100	721	$4.6K	6,802	2,551	+4,251	open	—	03-03 09:56
btc updown 15m 1772566200	619	$4.4K	7,595	1,304	+6,291	open	—	03-03 19:44
btc updown 15m 1772529300	585	$4.1K	5,494	2,454	+3,041	open	—	03-03 09:24
btc updown 15m 1772484300	382	$3.2K	5,636	327	+5,309	open	—	03-02 20:59
btc updown 15m 1772487900	392	$3.2K	5,427	718	+4,709	open	—	03-02 21:56
btc updown 15m 1772545500	442	$3.0K	4,728	1,056	+3,672	open	—	03-03 13:57
btc updown 15m 1772503200	389	$2.9K	5,892	348	+5,544	open	—	03-03 02:13
btc updown 15m 1772528400	401	$2.9K	4,415	1,014	+3,401	open	—	03-03 09:11
btc updown 5m 1775957700	235	$2.8K	4,916	0	+4,916	open	—	04-12 01:36
btc updown 15m 1772526600	255	$2.5K	4,254	498	+3,756	open	—	03-03 08:40
btc updown 15m 1772335800	157	$2.4K	4,629	0	+4,629	open	—	03-01 03:44
btc updown 15m 1772527500	379	$2.3K	4,303	460	+3,843	open	—	03-03 08:55
btc updown 15m 1772494200	205	$2.3K	4,455	245	+4,210	open	—	03-02 23:41
btc updown 15m 1772478000	217	$2.3K	4,005	131	+3,875	open	—	03-02 19:11
btc updown 15m 1772522100	348	$2.2K	3,750	773	+2,977	open	—	03-03 07:27
bitcoin up or down march 3 3pm et	82	$2.1K	3,444	0	+3,444	open	—	03-03 20:49
btc updown 15m 1772534700	459	$2.1K	3,681	512	+3,168	open	—	03-03 10:56
btc updown 15m 1772519400	241	$2.1K	3,585	248	+3,337	open	—	03-03 06:41
btc updown 15m 1772521200	322	$2.1K	3,748	310	+3,438	open	—	03-03 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	81	$2.1K	2,312	0	+2,312	open	—	05-14 17:59
btc updown 15m 1772338500	122	$2.0K	3,694	0	+3,694	open	—	03-01 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	64	$2.0K	2,152	0	+2,152	open	—	05-20 05:30
btc updown 15m 1772544600	170	$2.0K	3,214	87	+3,126	open	—	03-03 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	49	$1.9K	2,063	0	+2,063	Down	$-26	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	106	$1.9K	2,248	0	+2,248	Up	$-32	05-14 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x7f22ba…
05-31 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x6b122e…
05-31 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x26c615…
05-31 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x498f18…
05-31 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2414c9…
05-31 02:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x24fee1…
05-31 02:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0x9f00f1…
05-31 02:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xc9eaf4…
05-31 02:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x80af93…
05-31 02:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xddfa59…
05-31 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x347b20…
05-31 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x3e19e6…
05-31 02:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9fd0bf…
05-31 02:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xb2ddec…
05-31 02:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x8fb568…
05-31 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2cae97…
05-31 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x045c91…
05-31 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x019c45…
05-31 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcb5b15…
05-31 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xda683d…
05-31 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x00c329…
05-31 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x28ccb1…
05-31 01:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xea78cb…
05-31 01:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb23d86…
05-31 01:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb59635…
05-31 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa201d5…
05-31 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7d0c41…
05-31 01:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7ead51…
05-31 01:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x60cfac…
05-31 01:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xf13680…
05-31 01:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x0aaa80…
05-31 01:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x81da09…
05-31 01:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x50ded1…
05-31 01:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe6c5ef…
05-31 01:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcf47aa…
05-31 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x03509e…
05-31 01:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x8f10a7…
05-31 01:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc19027…
05-31 01:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x9bf68c…
05-31 01:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9f1b43…
05-31 01:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x543584…
05-31 01:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x8ee00c…
05-31 01:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe1a3ac…
05-31 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xf76dd5…
05-31 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x260264…
05-31 01:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x6fae2e…
05-31 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xd0d32d…
05-31 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xb86783…
05-31 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0ec297…
05-31 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x4987a9…
05-31 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3aaa0e…
05-31 01:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x6a8c49…
05-31 01:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf276ca…
05-31 01:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x5836d6…
05-31 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xc08fec…
05-31 01:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf606c7…
05-31 01:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x1b12a6…
05-31 01:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xe36ee1…
05-31 01:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3534d0…
05-31 01:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x059abc…
05-31 01:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x67da0d…
05-31 01:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9f925d…
05-31 01:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x8c12fd…
05-31 01:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9f7ec7…
05-31 01:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xb490f2…
05-31 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc42e85…
05-31 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x84f3de…
05-31 01:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xc42d5c…
05-31 01:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xe2adc7…
05-31 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x005638…
05-31 01:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xd13631…
05-31 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0xbd3ff6…
05-31 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x80294a…
05-31 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x547a4e…
05-31 01:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x9403f3…
05-31 01:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x3cf054…
05-31 01:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x151e4b…
05-31 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x924edb…
05-31 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd7d216…
05-31 01:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9906e8…
05-31 01:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x4b7e5e…
05-31 01:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x801101…
05-31 01:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x1f8a63…
05-31 01:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xde8a4e…
05-31 01:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xf23aa0…
05-31 01:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4aea3b…
05-31 01:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xaa198d…
05-31 01:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7329ba…
05-31 01:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd5c21e…
05-31 01:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4e93b0…
05-31 01:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x12a40e…
05-31 01:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x27c99a…
05-31 01:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x36d23d…
05-31 01:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4d91e3…
05-31 01:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xac6cb4…
05-31 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xe7b201…
05-31 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x99cc5b…
05-31 00:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x2b538c…
05-31 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x964055…
05-31 00:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x9776b9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	881	$63.4K	13,508	05-18 07:09
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	822	$39.2K	4,782	05-21 02:03
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	805	$1.07K	3,239	05-31 02:18
(anonymous) 0xe5ba…add1	776	$12.1K	2,965	05-13 03:20
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	744	$12.2K	1,771	05-31 02:11
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	742	$1.78K	4,218	05-31 02:18
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	738	$202.6K	73,974	05-20 05:54
Smug-Smolt 0x2fb4…be51	730	$12.8K	3,158	05-31 02:19