Quaint-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

3,072

Trades

98,616

lifetime

Volume

$618.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 08-03 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$3,920

Other

0% 100% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 09:30 UTC	1,045	$7.9K	11,284	4,924	+6,361	Down	-$300	03-03 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	1,531	$6.6K	11,272	4,768	+6,503	Down	+$33	03-03 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 14:45 UTC	1,106	$5.9K	9,949	3,561	+6,388	Up	-$318	03-03 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 00:45 UTC	1,226	$4.9K	8,372	2,478	+5,894	Down	-$270	03-02 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 11:15 UTC	784	$4.7K	7,188	2,946	+4,242	Down	-$47	03-03 11:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 09:45 UTC	721	$4.6K	6,802	2,551	+4,251	Up	-$350	03-03 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:30 UTC	619	$4.4K	7,595	1,304	+6,291	Up	-$819	03-03 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 09:15 UTC	585	$4.1K	5,494	2,454	+3,041	Down	-$94	03-03 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	382	$3.2K	5,636	327	+5,309	Down	-$145	03-02 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 21:45 UTC	392	$3.2K	5,427	718	+4,709	Down	+$271	03-02 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 13:45 UTC	442	$3.0K	4,728	1,056	+3,672	Up	-$179	03-03 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:00 UTC	389	$2.9K	5,892	348	+5,544	Down	-$63	03-03 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 09:00 UTC	401	$2.9K	4,415	1,014	+3,401	Up	-$362	03-03 09:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC	235	$2.8K	4,916	0	+4,916	Down	-$90	04-12 01:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 08:30 UTC	255	$2.5K	4,254	498	+3,756	Down	+$503	03-03 08:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 03:30 UTC	157	$2.4K	4,629	0	+4,629	Up	-$319	03-01 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 08:45 UTC	379	$2.3K	4,303	460	+3,843	Down	+$156	03-03 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 23:30 UTC	205	$2.3K	4,455	245	+4,210	Down	+$293	03-02 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 19:00 UTC	217	$2.3K	4,005	131	+3,875	Down	+$49	03-02 19:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 07:15 UTC	348	$2.2K	3,750	773	+2,977	Up	-$250	03-03 07:27
bitcoin up or down march 3 3pm et	82	$2.1K	3,444	0	+3,444	Down	+$279	03-03 20:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 10:45 UTC	459	$2.1K	3,681	512	+3,168	Up	-$6	03-03 10:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 06:30 UTC	241	$2.1K	3,585	248	+3,337	Up	-$181	03-03 06:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 07:00 UTC	322	$2.1K	3,748	310	+3,438	Up	-$22	03-03 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	81	$2.1K	2,312	0	+2,312	Down	-$60	05-14 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	122	$2.0K	3,694	0	+3,694	Up	-$406	03-01 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	64	$2.0K	2,152	0	+2,152	Up	-$33	05-20 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 13:30 UTC	170	$2.0K	3,214	87	+3,126	Down	-$15	03-03 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	49	$1.9K	2,063	0	+2,063	Down	-$26	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	106	$1.9K	2,248	0	+2,248	Up	-$32	05-14 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 12:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0x877e85…
08-03 12:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xb512df…
08-03 12:55:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xae457b…
08-03 12:55:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x612e37…
08-03 12:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x3a79fb…
08-03 12:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x319e02…
08-03 12:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfac4ba…
08-03 12:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xddc810…
08-03 12:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x2ec25d…
08-03 12:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x0f3169…
08-03 12:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x240d72…
08-03 12:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0xcdbca1…
08-03 12:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf00e84…
08-03 12:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x7c7bd3…
08-03 12:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x818801…
08-03 12:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe7bc42…
08-03 12:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x91be0b…
08-03 12:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2f273a…
08-03 12:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x1d9601…
08-03 12:00:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xed195b…
08-03 11:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x78d6a5…
08-03 11:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x4080ca…
08-03 11:57:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2bdeb1…
08-03 11:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16b7ec…
08-03 11:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xf43fab…
08-03 11:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x422b7f…
08-03 11:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfa981e…
08-03 10:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	47	82¢	$39	0xd89dae…
08-03 10:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x648dc2…
08-03 10:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x38ecd3…
08-03 10:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x90e5dc…
08-03 10:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xec1708…
08-03 10:27:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xc37902…
08-03 10:27:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0a5454…
08-03 10:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xce5609…
08-03 10:24:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xec76a2…
08-03 10:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x87f2ed…
08-03 10:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x29c4ae…
08-03 10:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0764d3…
08-01 16:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf59c42…
08-01 16:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7a6216…
08-01 16:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0xf09d0c…
08-01 16:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x54bc1b…
08-01 16:25:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0175ef…
08-01 15:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x679c42…
08-01 15:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf454a9…
06-11 20:18:43	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x06d88c…
05-31 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x7f22ba…
05-31 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x6b122e…
05-31 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x26c615…
05-31 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x498f18…
05-31 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2414c9…
05-31 02:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x24fee1…
05-31 02:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0x9f00f1…
05-31 02:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xc9eaf4…
05-31 02:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x80af93…
05-31 02:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xddfa59…
05-31 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x347b20…
05-31 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x3e19e6…
05-31 02:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9fd0bf…
05-31 02:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xb2ddec…
05-31 02:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x8fb568…
05-31 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2cae97…
05-31 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x045c91…
05-31 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x019c45…
05-31 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcb5b15…
05-31 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xda683d…
05-31 01:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x00c329…
05-31 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x28ccb1…
05-31 01:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xea78cb…
05-31 01:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb23d86…
05-31 01:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb59635…
05-31 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa201d5…
05-31 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7d0c41…
05-31 01:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7ead51…
05-31 01:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x60cfac…
05-31 01:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xf13680…
05-31 01:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x0aaa80…
05-31 01:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x81da09…
05-31 01:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x50ded1…
05-31 01:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe6c5ef…
05-31 01:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcf47aa…
05-31 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x03509e…
05-31 01:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x8f10a7…
05-31 01:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc19027…
05-31 01:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x9bf68c…
05-31 01:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9f1b43…
05-31 01:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x543584…
05-31 01:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x8ee00c…
05-31 01:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe1a3ac…
05-31 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xf76dd5…
05-31 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x260264…
05-31 01:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x6fae2e…
05-31 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xd0d32d…
05-31 01:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xb86783…
05-31 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0ec297…
05-31 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x4987a9…
05-31 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3aaa0e…
05-31 01:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x6a8c49…
05-31 01:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf276ca…