Outlying-Toenail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$343

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

163

Trades

2,057

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-10 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 37% $-343

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 1006 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$308	711	107	+604	Up	+$2	05-05 11:28
btc updown 5m 1775047500	1	$280	821	0	+821	open	—	04-01 12:46
eth updown 15m 1774955700	5	$154	110	108	+3	open	—	03-31 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$88	134	8	+126	Down	$-72	05-05 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	40	$71	178	60	+118	Up	$-34	05-10 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$66	79	48	+31	Up	$-3	05-05 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$62	139	111	+28	Down	+$12	05-06 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	7	$53	18	60	-42	Down	+$15	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	43	$47	145	75	+70	Up	+$74	05-10 01:35
btc updown 5m 1774739700	3	$44	107	0	+107	open	—	03-28 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$44	40	40	+0	Down	+$14	05-07 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	37	$44	229	55	+174	Up	+$11	05-10 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	11	$39	32	36	-4	Up	+$3	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	8	$38	40	40	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	8	$37	40	40	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 22:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	8	$35	35	35	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	12	$34	40	40	+0	Up	$-6	05-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$32	40	19	+20	Up	$-8	05-05 21:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$32	36	29	+6	Up	$-4	05-05 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$31	129	129	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$31	56	0	+56	Down	$-31	05-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$28	21	21	-0	Down	+$8	05-05 12:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$28	35	14	+22	Up	$-7	05-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	17	$27	54	70	-16	Down	+$13	05-10 02:53
eth updown 5m 1774962900	5	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	22	$25	527	0	+527	Up	$-25	05-10 02:28
eth updown 5m 1774965600	7	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 14:05
bnb updown 5m 1774965600	5	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 14:05
sol updown 5m 1774965600	6	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 05:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x480562…
05-10 05:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3dd001…
05-10 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x325dc3…
05-10 05:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe0cb4d…
05-10 05:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbc808f…
05-10 05:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd6292d…
05-10 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x629545…
05-10 05:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x720df7…
05-10 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa32549…
05-10 05:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0xa163d5…
05-10 05:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd13bee…
05-10 05:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x03e737…
05-10 05:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1e9dc8…
05-10 05:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xb2c3fd…
05-10 05:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xa31e7a…
05-10 05:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x77b78f…
05-10 05:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5bc0b…
05-10 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x95f40a…
05-10 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x92de2a…
05-10 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdcd938…
05-10 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc7be86…
05-10 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xaa8986…
05-10 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x3763ac…
05-10 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x37e34f…
05-10 04:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf3fce2…
05-10 04:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x115ada…
05-10 04:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4bb127…
05-10 04:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdf618f…
05-10 04:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf5da9c…
05-10 04:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x996475…
05-10 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x45ced5…
05-10 04:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda1be9…
05-10 04:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf65c9c…
05-10 04:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xef37a8…
05-10 04:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xbf2e90…
05-10 04:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd61bf0…
05-10 04:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x00e342…
05-10 04:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x12475c…
05-10 04:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x09b7c3…
05-10 04:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x49d14d…
05-10 04:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb168b2…
05-10 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xfc41ea…
05-10 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4de5c4…
05-10 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x0ff1c3…
05-10 04:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xfd05a2…
05-10 04:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x4cab15…
05-10 04:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xf4a0a7…
05-10 04:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xa781ce…
05-10 04:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x6c30af…
05-10 04:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7ab680…
05-10 04:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x67806c…
05-10 04:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xbf5b43…
05-10 04:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb4e879…
05-10 04:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd51afb…
05-10 04:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9efd8b…
05-10 04:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x52fd89…
05-10 04:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd00f8e…
05-10 04:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x997fec…
05-10 04:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6b350e…
05-10 04:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa7d0a5…
05-10 04:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1f34a7…
05-10 04:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x145086…
05-10 04:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfeb013…
05-10 04:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x48bcdf…
05-10 04:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1a1fdc…
05-10 04:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x52a65f…
05-10 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x479b34…
05-10 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x470dfc…
05-10 04:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe09036…
05-10 04:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x897f4c…
05-10 04:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x61677c…
05-10 04:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd2a19b…
05-10 04:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x876cd3…
05-10 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x3d9d91…
05-10 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x40e384…
05-10 04:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xffcb15…
05-10 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe77f52…
05-10 04:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb05288…
05-10 04:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4572b9…
05-10 04:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8104f4…
05-10 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb8034f…
05-10 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x293e4e…
05-10 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0ab0fb…
05-10 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf0e841…
05-10 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xba73e0…
05-10 04:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa527b5…
05-10 04:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xd118f9…
05-10 04:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5476db…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xfed0d0…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe6e4cb…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x867492…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5d8d04…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x5498bc…
05-10 04:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb6bea8…
05-10 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfb5bca…
05-10 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf2fed1…
05-10 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8efc18…
05-10 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x35401a…
05-10 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x0c8ccf…
05-10 04:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xecbb5b…