Troubled-Flag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

733

Trades

1,105

lifetime

Volume

$9.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-27 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

74% 85% +$61

Crypto

17% 63% -$83

Sports

5% 96% +$44

Politics

5% 74% -$39

Tech

0% 67% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		+50	$44	95¢	$48	+$4	08-10 12:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+75	$8	8¢	$6	-$2	08-08 03:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	3	$59	42	21	+21	No	+$3	05-31 17:30
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$52	35	21	+14	No	+$3	06-01 17:10
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	08-10 12:53
cs2 prv mibr 2026 07 04 game2	6	$44	49	0	+49	PARIVISION	+$6	07-04 08:32
wnba chi ind 2026 06 11	3	$44	25	24	+1	Indiana Fever	+$5	06-12 01:15
mlb stl min 2026 06 12 total 5pt5	3	$44	25	24	+1	Over	+$5	06-13 02:17
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?	2	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	06-08 00:45
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05?	2	$43	24	23	+1	No	+$4	06-05 13:00
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	4	$42	24	23	+1	Up	+$4	06-12 02:45
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	06-03 15:32
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	2	$41	22	22	+0	Under	+$2	06-17 00:00
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$2	06-16 20:30
Exact Score: Deportes Temuco 1 - 0 Curico Unido?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$2	06-09 00:30
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	2	$41	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	06-10 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 29?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-29 07:21
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5	2	$41	22	22	+0	Under	+$2	06-10 00:12
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$3	06-16 23:45
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 corners total 12pt5	2	$41	22	22	+0	Under	+$2	06-19 01:29
wnba nyl conn 2026 06 08	2	$41	22	22	+0	New York Liberty	+$2	06-09 01:15
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 1.5	2	$41	22	22	+0	Over	+$3	05-31 21:45
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5	3	$41	22	22	+0	Under	+$2	06-07 23:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 29?	3	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$3	05-29 09:16
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$3	06-03 06:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	3	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$3	05-30 18:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	3	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$3	06-15 15:21
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5	2	$41	22	22	+0	Under	+$2	06-02 00:45
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 19pt5	4	$41	22	22	+0	Knicks	+$2	06-04 02:33
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$2	06-08 00:30
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Qatar?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$2	06-18 22:30
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 first half total 2pt5	2	$40	22	21	+1	Under	+$2	06-15 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:11:42	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe83e00…
10-27 06:11:42	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x174267…
10-26 19:12:45	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x2cac45…
10-26 19:12:44	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x8e727d…
10-24 18:10:41	California vs. SMU	SMU	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x54845d…
10-24 18:07:24	Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati	Texas Tech	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x4b238a…
10-24 18:04:48	West Virginia vs. TCU	TCU	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x98758b…
10-24 03:21:05	Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio	Ohio	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x7238e4…
10-23 20:38:51	Eastern Michigan vs. Ohio	Ohio	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xccbed6…
10-23 15:18:30	UMass vs. UConn	UConn	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x3bb2c7…
10-18 12:39:50	Will PAOK Thessaloniki win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x101f1d…
10-17 22:11:47	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL)	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6e0666…
10-17 19:02:20	Charlotte vs. Temple	Temple	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x10939e…
10-17 00:01:08	Kent State vs. South Florida	South Florida	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa4603b…
10-16 13:34:36	Will PSV win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xd00086…
10-15 22:37:42	Auburn vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x824897…
10-10 21:39:24	San Diego State vs. Oregon State	Oregon State	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x75970f…
10-10 18:24:27	UCF vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x562da9…
10-10 18:04:16	South Carolina vs. Florida	Florida	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x0e539e…
10-10 18:00:58	Old Dominion vs. Appalachian State	Appalachian State	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x23dd6e…
10-10 04:02:51	Will AEK Athens win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xc0c384…
10-09 18:01:20	Will PSV win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x326ce4…
10-04 19:03:34	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x776038…
10-04 12:47:59	Dolphins vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x8a63e0…
10-04 06:02:16	San Jose State vs. Hawai'i	San Jose State	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xabf4b0…
10-03 18:45:05	Marshall vs. James Madison	James Madison	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x65415a…
10-03 18:04:03	UCF vs. Houston	Houston	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x568379…
10-03 18:02:03	Notre Dame vs. North Carolina	Notre Dame	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf67ab0…
10-03 18:00:56	Western Michigan vs. Buffalo	Western Michigan	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x490110…
10-03 18:00:53	Boston College vs. SMU	SMU	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xf1eab4…
10-03 17:50:14	Toledo vs. Ball State	Toledo	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7aff2f…
10-03 15:50:50	Middle Tennessee vs. Kansas	Kansas	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa33516…
10-02 19:03:00	Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x6be431…
09-29 14:32:51	where will it rain on september 28 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0192fd…
09-29 14:01:17	where will it rain on september 28 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0f07ce…
09-29 09:29:12	Will HB Køge win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xbe2f06…
09-28 06:40:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x76b256…
09-27 18:00:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xe4d7cc…
09-26 18:48:02	Appalachian State vs. NC State	NC State	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x8ed1d7…
09-26 18:30:47	Wake Forest vs. Louisville	Louisville	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xab21b6…
09-26 18:06:05	South Alabama vs. Kentucky	Kentucky	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x596e00…
09-26 18:05:00	Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State	Georgia State	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x346c2b…
09-25 19:24:41	Rice vs. Fresno State	Fresno State	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x1b365a…
09-24 15:27:47	Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2c7eca…
09-23 17:06:02	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30 226	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x18cfb5…
09-23 15:52:35	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30 226	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf62eb3…
09-22 14:14:58	Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm	Dallas Wings	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xc5259e…
09-21 12:45:57	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-22?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x56f60a…
09-18 05:35:09	Montana vs. Oregon State	Oregon State	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x938573…
09-18 00:02:43	Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo	Indiana Fever	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x46e4fb…
09-17 15:46:24	Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor	Baylor	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x0bcacd…
09-16 14:13:36	where will it rain on september 16 2026 new york ny	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x5f7881…
09-16 14:01:25	where will it rain on september 16 2026 new york ny	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x889dbb…
09-14 04:53:22	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd241f6…
09-13 18:05:12	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x5bc311…
09-13 06:01:22	New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i	Hawai'i	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x3d04d2…
09-12 18:02:54	Colgate vs. Central Michigan	Central Michigan	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0c49b7…
09-12 02:13:04	Georgia Southern vs. Clemson	Clemson	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x8308cd…
09-11 21:46:03	Wofford vs. Kent State	Kent State	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x474f5d…
09-11 19:46:45	Stony Brook vs. Ball State	Ball State	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x95bbf4…
09-11 17:52:57	Lindenwood vs. Missouri State	Missouri State	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xdca00c…
09-10 15:40:22	Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xec3401…
09-09 06:08:19	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x0b8c90…
09-08 17:55:39	Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xba31bb…
09-08 17:55:36	Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7df1cc…
09-07 14:02:19	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x86222f…
09-06 14:23:07	Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame	Notre Dame	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x1065f6…
09-05 21:28:07	Lamar vs. Louisiana	Louisiana	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x57f342…
09-05 03:18:00	Maine vs. Appalachian State	Appalachian State	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x349c19…
09-05 02:01:54	South Dakota State vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x5b09d1…
09-05 00:08:27	Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss	Southern Miss	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xab878c…
09-05 00:08:04	Lafayette vs. UConn	UConn	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb56f3e…
09-04 15:43:07	Southeastern Louisiana vs. South Alabama	South Alabama	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x2a9625…
09-04 04:44:30	Oregon State vs. Houston	Houston	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6cc54b…
09-03 12:31:21	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xaea97b…
09-02 17:53:00	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xaec055…
09-02 17:30:03	What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	No	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x42c55d…
09-01 15:17:30	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd7c661…
08-29 22:50:51	Will América FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xb15dde…
08-29 08:22:30	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x15bebb…
08-29 08:22:27	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6fafb6…
08-29 08:22:24	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xbed4ea…
08-29 05:22:19	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xab5fd6…
08-28 18:28:10	What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x364b61…
08-28 06:25:10	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xa100fc…
08-28 03:00:36	Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x20309b…
08-27 20:45:06	Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever	Indiana Fever	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x2ca307…
08-27 20:21:12	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xdf24a1…
08-27 20:02:49	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x4cc823…
08-27 20:02:49	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x3a04e6…
08-27 20:02:49	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x20f69f…
08-27 17:44:43	Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x0d0a3f…
08-25 11:02:37	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf4d56a…
08-25 11:02:24	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x4ba774…
08-23 16:45:40	wnba las tor 2026 08 23	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xa99a8f…
08-20 03:43:48	wnba min gsv 2026 08 19	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xa9f725…
08-19 19:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2f6a2f…
08-19 18:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x952eb1…
08-19 18:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x5f644e…
08-19 18:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x8923b2…