Intentional-Twine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,305

lifetime

Volume

$91.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-11 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-1,680

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774358400	10	$2.8K	3,858	0	+3,858	open	—	03-24 13:24
btc updown 5m 1774864200	12	$1.6K	2,905	0	+2,905	open	—	03-30 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$1.5K	3,145	0	+3,145	Up	$-1,500	05-10 07:43
btc updown 5m 1777042500	27	$1.3K	2,635	0	+2,635	open	—	04-24 14:59
btc updown 5m 1774347600	20	$1.1K	1,554	0	+1,554	open	—	03-24 10:24
btc updown 5m 1774855800	6	$1.0K	1,671	0	+1,671	open	—	03-30 07:35
btc updown 5m 1774257600	23	$1.0K	2,590	0	+2,590	open	—	03-23 09:24
btc updown 5m 1774356300	10	$994	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	03-24 12:49
btc updown 5m 1774257300	10	$993	2,390	0	+2,390	open	—	03-23 09:20
btc updown 5m 1775756700	16	$903	2,040	0	+2,040	open	—	04-09 17:49
btc updown 5m 1776097800	27	$882	1,572	0	+1,572	open	—	04-13 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	24	$820	1,588	0	+1,588	open	—	04-26 08:08
btc updown 5m 1776852000	25	$767	1,517	0	+1,517	open	—	04-22 10:04
btc updown 5m 1774608000	12	$727	1,792	0	+1,792	open	—	03-27 10:44
btc updown 5m 1776142200	15	$724	1,439	0	+1,439	open	—	04-14 04:54
btc updown 15m 1770659100	32	$712	1,107	310	+797	open	—	02-09 17:53
btc updown 5m 1775718000	14	$707	1,146	0	+1,146	open	—	04-09 07:04
btc updown 5m 1775761800	16	$706	1,518	0	+1,518	open	—	04-09 19:14
btc updown 5m 1775754900	12	$697	1,379	0	+1,379	open	—	04-09 17:19
btc updown 5m 1774605600	9	$682	907	0	+907	open	—	03-27 10:04
btc updown 5m 1774552200	7	$662	812	0	+812	open	—	03-26 19:13
btc updown 5m 1775832300	13	$649	2,316	0	+2,316	open	—	04-10 14:49
btc updown 5m 1776862500	10	$622	789	0	+789	open	—	04-22 13:00
btc updown 15m 1771865100	46	$622	1,280	1	+1,279	open	—	02-23 16:53
btc updown 5m 1775819700	13	$612	1,303	0	+1,303	open	—	04-10 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$581	559	559	+0	open	—	05-04 07:42
btc updown 15m 1771778700	48	$574	717	700	+17	open	—	02-22 16:48
btc updown 5m 1776863100	9	$557	756	0	+756	open	—	04-22 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776852300	11	$536	1,162	0	+1,162	open	—	04-22 10:09
btc updown 5m 1774886700	6	$535	869	0	+869	open	—	03-30 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 13:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb845ee…
05-11 13:07:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5e6f69…
05-11 13:06:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9b0af4…
05-11 13:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdf604e…
05-11 13:01:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0d0ad8…
05-11 12:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x517f37…
05-11 12:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf2bd36…
05-10 07:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	507	33¢	$168	0xdfc86e…
05-10 07:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	240	34¢	$83	0xc10001…
05-10 07:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	799	31¢	$250	0x119f25…
05-10 07:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	843	59¢	$500	0x2783cd…
05-10 07:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	599	65¢	$391	0x5062af…
05-10 07:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	158	69¢	$109	0xbf9413…
05-10 07:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	158	19¢	$30	0xee592b…
05-10 07:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x5865bc…
05-10 07:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8,600	1¢	$86	0x4df63d…
05-10 07:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,400	1¢	$14	0x215337…
05-10 07:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	131	94¢	$123	0x411455…
05-10 07:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xe4889e…
05-06 20:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	154	92¢	$142	0x0af924…
05-06 20:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xe191d9…
05-06 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	169	60¢	$102	0xc3f1dd…
05-06 20:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x6eccb7…
05-06 20:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x7b43d9…
05-06 20:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	185	62¢	$115	0x7b69f6…
05-06 20:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa51372…
05-06 20:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x2f9860…
05-06 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x422c8a…
05-06 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xbef7bd…
05-06 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x1e5bff…
05-06 19:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x104333…
05-06 19:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	155	54¢	$84	0xd26b1f…
05-06 19:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x895346…
05-04 18:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	189	65¢	$123	0x4c1786…
05-04 18:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6c3ed3…
05-04 13:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	639	16¢	$100	0x05efb9…
05-04 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	137	72¢	$99	0xba09f3…
05-04 13:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x63ab45…
05-04 13:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	173	52¢	$90	0xab038d…
05-04 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xe20bc7…
05-04 13:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	220	41¢	$90	0x7a2b6d…
05-04 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x8a63b4…
05-04 13:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	243	8¢	$19	0x78d3b4…
05-04 13:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$99	0x53d673…
05-04 13:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	149	60¢	$90	0x2257bb…
05-04 13:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	29	64¢	$19	0xaf8e7f…
05-04 13:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x78f5d2…
05-04 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	225	45¢	$102	0xa7362a…
05-04 13:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xed02a4…
05-04 13:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x0c2acf…
05-04 13:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb28935…
05-04 08:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	163	77¢	$125	0xa0f111…
05-04 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	163	62¢	$100	0xbea4ad…
05-04 07:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	269	58¢	$156	0xa9bf7d…
05-04 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0x29187c…
05-04 07:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	164	65¢	$106	0x54c9b7…
05-04 07:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x7e28a5…
05-04 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	188	49¢	$92	0x330844…
05-04 07:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x27884a…
05-04 07:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	208	40¢	$83	0xa41577…
05-04 07:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x011589…
05-04 07:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	208	45¢	$93	0x066203…
05-04 07:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x133c12…
05-04 07:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	213	64¢	$136	0xe60d19…
05-04 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xf04d40…
05-04 07:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	198	65¢	$129	0x17fdf8…
05-04 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x6739cd…
05-04 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x4efbb3…
05-04 07:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc7ca81…
05-04 07:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	166	63¢	$104	0xce1322…
05-04 07:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x0648c3…
05-04 07:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	225	43¢	$97	0xd191e3…
05-04 07:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xff7121…
05-04 07:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x1d3823…
05-04 07:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	169	72¢	$122	0xed2e7a…
05-04 07:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x4cbe91…
05-04 06:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x210b00…
05-04 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x66880b…
05-04 06:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x7d511e…
05-04 06:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	159	69¢	$109	0x864088…
05-04 06:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x91446e…
05-04 05:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	123	87¢	$107	0xa5abfe…
05-04 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0xf61c3b…
05-04 05:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	177	63¢	$112	0xa79783…
05-04 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xc55c8f…
05-03 20:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xb893e7…
05-03 20:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	151	70¢	$106	0xb2e802…
05-03 20:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x758f59…
05-03 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	169	51¢	$87	0x8dae27…
05-03 20:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa43920…
05-03 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	156	61¢	$95	0xccba47…
05-03 18:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	413	24¢	$100	0x288538…
05-03 18:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0xe8c117…
05-03 18:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	179	74¢	$132	0x4e707b…
05-03 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xe80326…
05-03 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xa3645f…
05-03 18:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0xf63a11…
05-03 18:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	148	66¢	$98	0x692ca7…
05-03 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x5a4fc7…
05-03 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	188	33¢	$61	0x917081…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	669	$13.4K	1,766	05-01 06:15
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	634	$54.7K	9,937	05-11 12:58
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	610	$29.6K	4,560	05-11 12:57
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	572	$1.88K	2,888	05-06 20:50
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	536	$8.66K	1,463	05-11 12:50
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	502	$1.11K	2,536	05-11 13:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	492	$207.4K	62,556	05-11 13:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	492	$145.7K	25,446	05-11 13:09