Firsthand-Advantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

392

Trades

2,764

lifetime

Volume

$120.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$249

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-15 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

100% 73% +$139

Politics

0% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 15?	No	+115	$109	99¢	$114	+$5	11-15 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 15?	No	+87	$54	78¢	$67	+$13	11-15 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15?	No	+59	$42	97¢	$57	+$15	11-15 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 14?	No	+11	$10	100¢	$11	+$1	11-14 16:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on january 5 0c	2	$3.1K	3,101	0	+3,101	No	+$5	01-04 22:45
highest temperature in london on february 18 2026 5c	8	$3.0K	1,550	1,550	+0	No	+$67	02-18 12:52
highest temperature in london on january 14 4c	1	$3.0K	2,960	0	+2,960	No	+$3	01-13 21:04
highest temperature in london on february 22 2026 14c	104	$2.9K	3,755	832	+2,923	Yes	-$2,031	02-22 14:37
highest temperature in london on february 18 2026 4c	6	$2.9K	1,483	1,483	+0	No	+$57	02-18 11:10
highest temperature in london on january 8 6c	5	$2.9K	3,081	0	+3,081	No	+$196	01-08 15:37
highest temperature in london on january 2 2corbelow	5	$2.7K	2,662	0	+2,662	No	+$6	01-01 23:37
highest temperature in london on january 3 1c	8	$2.6K	2,636	0	+2,636	No	+$49	01-03 10:47
highest temperature in london on january 11 7c	1	$2.5K	2,510	0	+2,510	No	+$13	01-11 14:46
highest temperature in london on january 7 4c	2	$2.2K	2,167	0	+2,167	No	+$8	01-06 23:53
highest temperature in london on january 10 1c	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	01-09 13:37
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	71	$2.0K	65,582	0	+65,582	Down	-$1,954	01-23 15:19
highest temperature in london on january 4 0c	3	$1.8K	1,825	0	+1,825	No	+$4	01-04 03:58
highest temperature in london on january 16 8c	5	$1.7K	1,667	0	+1,667	No	+$10	01-16 02:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 6?	27	$1.5K	817	817	+0	No	+$76	09-06 12:52
highest temperature in london on february 14 2026 5c	11	$1.5K	831	831	-0	No	+$152	02-14 13:52
highest temperature in london on january 2 3c	10	$1.5K	1,565	0	+1,565	No	+$75	01-02 00:01
highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 10c	16	$1.4K	703	766	-62	No	+$47	02-20 13:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 5?	28	$1.3K	1,075	290	+786	No	+$40	09-05 13:59
highest temperature in london on january 4 1c	3	$1.3K	1,331	0	+1,331	No	+$35	01-04 08:29
spx up or down on january 21 2026	6	$1.3K	717	717	+0	Up	+$123	01-21 20:20
highest temperature in london on january 18 9c	1	$1.2K	1,248	0	+1,248	No	+$4	01-18 11:34
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	11	$1.2K	663	657	+6	No	+$120	04-20 12:38
highest temperature in london on february 20 2026 12c	81	$1.2K	3,904	2,548	+1,356	Yes	+$840	02-20 17:03
spx up or down on january 20 2026	10	$1.2K	689	689	+0	Down	+$167	01-20 14:59
highest temperature in london on january 6 0c	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	No	+$1	01-05 18:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27?	23	$1.0K	731	348	+383	No	+$42	09-27 12:07
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 6c	12	$1.0K	1,183	0	+1,183	No	+$151	02-19 02:15
highest temperature in london on february 22 2026 13c	8	$1.0K	1,055	0	+1,055	No	+$32	02-22 11:08
highest temperature in london on january 8 3c	2	$986	988	0	+988	No	+$2	01-07 19:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 00:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 15?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xf77cec…
11-15 00:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 15?	No	BUY	72	61¢	$44	0x9d563f…
11-15 00:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 15?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xe2669e…
11-15 00:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 15?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x668f99…
11-15 00:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 15?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0x7f34fd…
11-15 00:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6e3732…
11-15 00:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xebe45a…
11-15 00:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15?	No	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0x31b9a0…
11-14 16:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 14?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xbaf246…
11-14 14:10:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0xcd88e2…
11-14 14:10:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x6b7c23…
11-14 14:10:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x424fb8…
11-14 14:06:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xbcf8b6…
11-14 14:05:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb1b49d…
11-14 14:05:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x0c44b9…
11-14 14:05:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	34	83¢	$29	0x74d1d4…
11-14 12:21:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf65258…
11-14 12:21:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfafc72…
11-14 12:21:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x9d3405…
11-14 08:39:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14?	No	BUY	67	79¢	$53	0xae0a99…
11-14 08:36:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be -2°C or below on November 14?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x630349…
11-14 08:36:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C on November 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9a7423…
11-14 08:36:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C on November 14?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd9ed66…
11-14 08:35:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14?	No	BUY	70	78¢	$54	0xca8933…
11-14 08:33:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14?	No	BUY	66	78¢	$51	0x0080b9…
11-14 07:39:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc256ec…
11-14 07:39:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x9681a6…
11-14 07:17:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be -2°C or below on November 14?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xd893c3…
11-14 07:17:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C on November 14?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xb6f635…
11-14 07:17:26	Will the lowest temperature in London be 0°C on November 14?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xc67622…
11-14 07:17:17	Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	61	62¢	$38	0x9a34d9…
11-14 07:15:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0xe03898…
11-14 07:15:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x73766a…
11-14 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x24f448…
11-14 07:14:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	No	BUY	178	63¢	$113	0x6f49f1…
11-14 07:14:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x8d9b68…
11-14 07:14:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	215	39¢	$85	0xb2f364…
11-13 12:00:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 13?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc3efd3…
11-13 04:48:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xa3c094…
11-13 04:47:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 13?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x1a27d0…
11-13 04:47:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 13?	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x7b8172…
11-11 05:10:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x617a54…
11-11 05:06:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 11?	No	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0xe2d30d…
11-10 08:50:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xa3fcf1…
11-10 08:15:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x977cf9…
11-10 08:02:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3cfbc2…
11-10 08:02:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb7e86b…
11-10 08:02:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xd70474…
11-10 08:02:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xc6c576…
11-10 07:53:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x73931d…
11-10 07:30:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x23931d…
11-10 07:29:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 10?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xea27b7…
11-10 07:29:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	142	27¢	$38	0xed5f35…
11-10 07:29:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbc7d77…
11-09 14:48:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x5b77ed…
11-09 14:48:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xca1cd5…
11-07 04:58:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 7?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x2e2ef9…
11-06 14:48:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6380c8…
11-06 14:33:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	58	15¢	$9	0x18ddc8…
11-06 14:14:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0x76f28c…
11-06 14:13:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0xc42dab…
11-06 13:40:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	135	29¢	$40	0x447ec5…
11-06 13:10:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6b8eda…
11-06 12:37:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0xa6ba48…
11-06 12:25:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1056d3…
11-06 12:17:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	23	67¢	$16	0x856a31…
11-06 12:17:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x0da168…
11-06 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	273	86¢	$236	0x8a78d6…
11-06 07:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	120	26¢	$31	0x5bf15d…
11-06 06:59:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	212	43¢	$92	0xca5b74…
11-06 06:59:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x559150…
11-06 06:59:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00dc0a…
11-04 12:28:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x3c1108…
11-04 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3eebc2…
11-04 12:24:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xd5c4e2…
11-04 12:24:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd615b1…
11-04 11:56:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2fa6ed…
11-04 11:25:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	98	67¢	$66	0xc0571b…
11-04 11:25:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0xff6fec…
11-04 11:25:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	No	SELL	135	42¢	$57	0x6f324a…
11-04 11:25:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	No	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x58d23d…
11-04 06:25:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcec8de…
11-04 06:25:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	145	30¢	$44	0x7df93f…
11-03 15:24:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0xb51bd9…
11-03 15:24:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x0a3996…
11-03 15:24:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x68c47d…
11-03 15:23:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x832fc0…
11-03 15:23:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xefb172…
11-03 06:50:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x10c432…
11-03 06:38:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x36d4ab…
11-03 06:38:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 3?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xdcb907…
11-03 06:38:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 3?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x6cf8e0…
11-02 12:52:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xc999a8…
11-02 12:32:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	88	93¢	$81	0x9a44cb…
11-02 12:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	78	88¢	$68	0x81e8dc…
11-02 12:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x032eb6…
11-02 12:31:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf9cd0b…
10-30 00:05:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x15ad09…
10-29 23:54:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x811826…
10-29 23:54:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x92970d…