Gorgeous-Shopping-Familiarity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.6%

Resolved

511

Trades

1,073

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-08 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

84% 31% -$12,249

Crypto

9% 51% -$18

Politics

7% 70% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	67	$15.0K	38,847	8,371	+30,476	No	-$10,385	04-21 12:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$4.2K	5,300	2,012	+3,288	No	-$1,260	04-22 01:49
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$988	845	545	+300	No	-$50	03-22 14:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$936	700	700	+0	No	+$44	04-12 17:14
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	22	$516	3,020	20	+3,000	No	-$511	04-22 07:31
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	3	$464	300	300	+0	No	+$122	03-31 02:31
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game3	9	$277	2,300	2,300	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$33	03-22 15:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$236	600	600	+0	No	+$104	04-21 07:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$216	0	2,000	-2,000	No	+$216	05-06 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$211	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	+$20	04-07 15:58
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$203	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$7	04-07 23:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$197	300	300	+0	No	-$19	03-25 13:55
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game1	5	$196	400	200	+200	G2 Esports	+$132	03-22 13:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$168	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$128	04-07 23:22
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game2	5	$164	6,110	0	+6,110	Bilibili Gaming	-$164	03-22 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$164	1,376	0	+1,376	No	-$164	05-06 11:23
ethereum above 2200 on march 25	3	$129	270	270	+0	No	-$44	03-25 14:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$113	62	62	+0	No	+$8	04-07 23:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$110	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$110	04-21 11:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$100	115	0	+115	No	+$15	03-24 11:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	19	$88	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$6	04-07 23:24
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$63	166	0	+166	No	-$63	04-07 23:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 08:50 UTC	2	$38	40	0	+40	Down	+$2	03-22 08:54
ethereum above 2100 on march 26	2	$38	100	99	+1	No	-$1	03-25 15:41
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$36	22	22	+0	No	+$5	03-17 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:55 UTC	3	$35	68	50	+18	Down	-$15	03-29 07:59
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	1	$34	50	0	+50	No	+$16	03-24 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:45 UTC	5	$31	30	30	+0	Up	+$9	03-29 07:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$30	1,287	0	+1,287	Yes	-$30	03-22 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 08:30 UTC	1	$25	60	0	+60	Down	+$35	03-22 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbc0c92…
05-08 13:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x17fdb0…
05-08 13:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x63f271…
05-08 13:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc43bc2…
05-08 13:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x279328…
05-08 13:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x59d904…
05-08 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x69b683…
05-08 13:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeae47d…
05-08 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x026e19…
05-08 13:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd03a26…
05-08 12:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x674aa5…
05-08 12:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb85e19…
05-08 12:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x094c0b…
05-08 12:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4d8a4…
05-08 12:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0390f9…
05-08 12:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4a4d84…
05-08 12:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x07e52f…
05-08 12:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xda938a…
05-08 12:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd4d568…
05-08 12:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x489a8d…
05-08 11:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xddb668…
05-08 11:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x23af0e…
05-08 11:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x142304…
05-08 11:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x051f9c…
05-08 11:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x33bdf0…
05-08 11:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x58e256…
05-08 11:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d0c13…
05-08 11:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x09ec2a…
05-08 11:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6c9692…
05-08 11:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x44f6cf…
05-08 10:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x37c74a…
05-08 10:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcbb214…
05-08 10:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xe9ad68…
05-08 10:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc65198…
05-08 10:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0a9b55…
05-08 10:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6b3923…
05-08 10:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe5674c…
05-08 10:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5d2038…
05-08 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1044a3…
05-08 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x77d2eb…
05-08 09:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x276a0d…
05-08 09:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa76e08…
05-08 09:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x85cfad…
05-08 09:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xacacb9…
05-08 09:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb58a14…
05-08 09:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9d29b1…
05-08 09:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1d3589…
05-08 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56578c…
05-08 08:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6ed930…
05-08 08:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x155a22…
05-08 08:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x813104…
05-08 08:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfbaaad…
05-08 08:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6ad1dd…
05-08 08:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa02fce…
05-08 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf2e3dd…
05-08 08:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc1dc16…
05-08 08:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4f8c8a…
05-08 08:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa27bb6…
05-08 07:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa581e8…
05-08 07:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0db37b…
05-08 07:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5e5afa…
05-08 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x705cb1…
05-08 07:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6a5d06…
05-08 07:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe2e7b…
05-08 07:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x67900b…
05-08 07:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe85ed5…
05-08 06:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcac58b…
05-08 06:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc6a826…
05-08 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x163249…
05-08 06:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0fb534…
05-08 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe61279…
05-08 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd4eda0…
05-08 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb91b45…
05-08 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x566c63…
05-08 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe3fa3b…
05-08 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd0d334…
05-08 06:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9dc5e4…
05-08 06:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcb41c5…
05-08 06:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1c1fd6…
05-08 06:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x66ccb2…
05-08 06:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x27a996…
05-08 06:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe496dd…
05-08 06:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6232f1…
05-08 06:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x07135b…
05-08 06:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa5015d…
05-08 05:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa450fc…
05-08 05:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6faf05…
05-08 05:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x32c622…
05-08 05:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdae761…
05-08 05:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x63aef8…
05-08 05:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa7fe0f…
05-08 05:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2078b2…
05-08 05:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3e5571…
05-08 05:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x949128…
05-08 05:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe9d6b1…
05-08 05:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8cc62d…
05-08 04:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x40abc1…
05-08 04:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x013fa0…
05-08 04:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb72aa2…
05-08 04:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x76a881…