Drafty-Distortion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

501

Trades

10,410

lifetime

Volume

$67.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-11 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 49% +$22

Other

16% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 581 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771527900	6	$270	300	0	+300	open	—	02-19 19:08
btc updown 5m 1773684600	38	$208	163	165	-3	open	—	03-16 18:11
btc updown 5m 1771442700	12	$204	120	120	+0	open	—	02-18 19:29
btc updown 5m 1771491000	4	$199	225	22	+204	open	—	02-19 08:54
btc updown 5m 1771527600	5	$186	201	0	+201	open	—	02-19 19:05
btc updown 5m 1771529100	12	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 19:29
btc updown 5m 1781098200	4	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 13:34
btc updown 5m 1772388900	7	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	03-01 18:19
btc updown 5m 1771523700	8	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	02-19 17:58
btc updown 5m 1771511100	5	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	02-19 14:29
btc updown 5m 1771426500	14	$180	260	100	+160	open	—	02-18 14:59
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 40 41f	2	$171	184	0	+184	open	—	02-13 16:09
btc updown 5m 1771403400	5	$170	200	0	+200	open	—	02-18 08:34
btc updown 5m 1771410000	8	$168	160	60	+100	open	—	02-18 10:25
btc updown 5m 1771491300	13	$160	200	0	+200	open	—	02-19 08:59
btc updown 5m 1772381700	8	$158	200	0	+200	open	—	03-01 16:19
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	15	$149	100	100	+0	open	—	05-02 12:33
btc updown 5m 1773685200	55	$147	246	0	+246	open	—	03-16 18:23
btc updown 5m 1771440600	1	$145	161	0	+161	open	—	02-18 18:53
btc updown 5m 1771409400	10	$140	200	0	+200	open	—	02-18 10:14
btc updown 5m 1771482900	2	$140	120	120	+0	open	—	02-19 06:39
btc updown 5m 1771495500	1	$135	150	0	+150	open	—	02-19 10:09
highest temperature in chicago on february 2 30 31f	8	$131	151	0	+151	open	—	02-02 18:28
btc updown 5m 1771404300	4	$130	150	0	+150	open	—	02-18 08:49
btc updown 5m 1771439400	2	$130	144	0	+144	open	—	02-18 18:34
btc updown 5m 1771443900	3	$126	140	0	+140	open	—	02-18 19:49
btc updown 5m 1771420200	9	$125	160	42	+118	open	—	02-18 13:14
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 3c	7	$124	145	59	+86	open	—	02-09 13:30
btc updown 5m 1771403100	4	$120	140	0	+140	open	—	02-18 08:29
sol updown 5m 1775120400	13	$120	150	0	+150	open	—	04-02 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:35:40	btc updown 5m 1781181300	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd51784…
06-10 13:40:45	btc updown 5m 1781098800	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdc231b…
06-10 13:35:22	btc updown 5m 1781098500	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5b1d75…
06-10 13:34:12	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9f5b85…
06-10 13:32:12	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Up	BUY	49	85¢	$41	0x93f45a…
06-10 13:32:12	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Up	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x6f83a4…
06-10 13:32:12	btc updown 5m 1781098200	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x6cdfba…
06-07 15:16:22	btc updown 5m 1780845600	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5ef8ab…
06-07 15:10:49	btc updown 5m 1780845000	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xad788a…
06-07 15:10:49	btc updown 5m 1780845000	Down	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x7244bd…
06-07 15:10:49	btc updown 5m 1780845000	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x46786a…
06-07 15:08:07	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x739a68…
06-07 15:08:07	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x2b4b9d…
06-07 15:06:21	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xeda869…
06-07 15:05:16	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x394dda…
06-07 15:01:36	btc updown 5m 1780844400	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x25a59c…
06-07 15:00:12	btc updown 5m 1780844400	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb08aad…
06-02 14:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x200a3e…
06-02 14:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1f3df7…
05-28 10:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x622eb3…
05-24 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd603f4…
05-24 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7f9d8c…
05-24 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x45e87c…
05-24 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x4fd0c0…
05-24 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x36fc24…
05-24 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xdc5792…
05-24 14:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0xb15ae8…
05-24 14:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xdfb667…
05-24 14:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd46e58…
05-24 14:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7fe9d1…
05-24 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x52013d…
05-24 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xdba430…
05-24 09:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x62efc7…
05-24 09:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x065d72…
05-24 09:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0xbadb03…
05-24 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x8e3fb9…
05-24 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x58effe…
05-24 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xed3b1a…
05-24 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd4df0b…
05-24 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xa67783…
05-24 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xa557ac…
05-24 09:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7fa17e…
05-24 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x21e116…
05-24 09:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xb563a8…
05-24 09:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x8c94b2…
05-24 08:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe391d9…
05-24 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x88a0e3…
05-21 11:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xbeae54…
05-21 11:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xac1998…
05-21 11:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd8a077…
05-21 11:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbb7aa3…
05-21 11:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x58c656…
05-21 11:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x54dd15…
05-21 11:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x3cd822…
05-21 10:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x388aab…
05-21 10:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xbbaebe…
05-21 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd3c9ff…
05-21 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96e822…
05-21 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4a5c5e…
05-21 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x26fd2f…
05-21 10:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xad486b…
05-21 10:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x10073a…
05-21 10:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x722e33…
05-21 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x497189…
05-21 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x3183e3…
05-14 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x64b935…
05-14 10:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xc0048b…
05-14 09:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xe7b931…
05-14 09:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xaf0a92…
05-14 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x7d5bad…
05-14 09:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0xea4262…
05-14 09:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x04ee18…
05-14 08:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	35	44¢	$15	0xfd7797…
05-14 08:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x9e44a5…
05-14 08:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x5086bd…
05-14 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9fec31…
05-14 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5d5d81…
05-14 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x34d4a0…
05-14 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x309961…
05-14 08:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc0a382…
05-14 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xc96a3b…
05-14 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xd76a89…
05-14 07:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x62b7fd…
05-14 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe64d8d…
05-14 06:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xfd44ec…
05-14 06:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xc91bb8…
05-14 05:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x91f37f…
05-14 05:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x711c8b…
05-14 05:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x667d78…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd89c6a…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc3d056…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xac83a6…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a4bf0…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4c35bc…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x25733d…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x205f10…
05-14 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x12c29c…
05-14 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb7c09e…
05-14 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x9f6872…
05-14 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x587998…