Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$740

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

121

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$8.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$208

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-04 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

50% 20% -$282

Politics

25% 15% +$385

Crypto

14% 30% -$610

Sports

12% 28% -$231

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	+204	$91	98¢	$200	+$109	11-04 00:48
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	+221	$46	2¢	$4	-$43	11-04 02:41
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	+225	$24	1¢	$2	-$22	11-04 02:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	+145	$15	1¢	$1	-$14	11-04 03:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+341	$9	0¢	$1	-$8	11-01 01:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.9K	16,011	16,011	+0	open	—	10-24 17:09
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	21	$1.2K	2,654	2,654	+0	open	—	10-31 00:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$746	8,583	8,583	+0	open	—	10-31 20:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	4	$576	884	884	+0	open	—	11-03 02:39
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$415	725	622	+103	Milwaukee Brewers	+$177	10-16 02:34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$250	750	0	+750	Yes	+$500	10-25 21:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$217	418	418	+0	No	-$8	10-30 19:11
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	2	$207	555	555	+0	open	—	10-12 03:45
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	4	$194	113	113	+0	Yes	+$17	10-14 00:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	6	$172	4,078	4,078	+0	Yes	-$127	10-28 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$152	300	0	+300	Down	-$152	10-21 03:18
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	2	$123	100	100	+0	Estudiantes de La Plata	+$77	10-23 02:43
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	3	$106	478	200	+278	Tampa Bay Rays	-$74	10-20 02:44
Who will finish higher: Perez or Bottas?	1	$100	257	0	+257	Perez	-$100	10-25 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$100	457	0	+457	Down	-$100	10-19 18:20
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	3	$91	204	0	+204	open	—	11-04 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	3	$81	79	41	+38	Up	+$1	10-17 14:36
SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Team to Advance	1	$80	131	0	+131	SE Palmeiras	+$51	10-22 02:16
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-22?	3	$72	602	0	+602	No	-$72	10-23 01:49
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	6	$69	548	0	+548	No	-$69	11-04 04:20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	3	$60	498	0	+498	Milwaukee Brewers	-$60	10-29 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	10-23 18:03
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	5	$59	810	810	+0	No	-$22	10-31 20:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	2	$57	304	0	+304	No	-$57	11-04 03:42
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$57	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$21	11-04 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$55	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$54	34	34	+0	Up	+$4	10-21 00:16
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	1	$47	208	0	+208	open	—	11-04 05:54
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	3	$46	221	0	+221	open	—	11-04 02:41
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	2	$45	383	0	+383	Milwaukee Brewers	-$45	10-25 03:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:55:06	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc6ebc2…
11-04 05:55:06	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x551bd5…
11-04 05:54:27	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	208	23¢	$47	0x44f3b3…
11-04 04:20:13	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0xc365b2…
11-04 04:17:18	Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	204	3¢	$7	0x172476…
11-04 04:11:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x60b5fd…
11-04 04:10:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a2e4f…
11-04 04:09:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xfeaa23…
11-04 04:09:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x722029…
11-04 04:09:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xcaa2c0…
11-04 04:09:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x8e89b5…
11-04 04:09:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x858946…
11-04 03:45:33	Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5f79b4…
11-04 03:42:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	194	14¢	$26	0x57962c…
11-04 03:37:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	139	10¢	$14	0xa87d60…
11-04 03:37:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x2f1b33…
11-04 03:31:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x0377b1…
11-04 03:29:31	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x8ddf78…
11-04 03:29:21	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,667	1¢	$10	0xd4d8f1…
11-04 03:29:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,080	1¢	$6	0xa52323…
11-04 03:27:19	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	140	16¢	$22	0x7fbda1…
11-04 03:20:24	Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x9caadd…
11-04 03:19:36	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9d7c4b…
11-04 03:16:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	28¢	$31	0x9bfb92…
11-04 03:11:13	Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	117	14¢	$16	0xd7b8de…
11-04 02:41:48	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x826faa…
11-04 02:40:57	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x339fe0…
11-04 02:40:33	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x855074…
11-04 02:37:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	BUY	135	22¢	$29	0x5e524b…
11-04 02:27:55	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0xce5eb0…
11-04 02:27:55	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	137	15¢	$21	0x8a6447…
11-04 02:25:48	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	162	9¢	$14	0x2bf030…
11-04 02:25:03	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x9bc677…
11-04 02:10:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	95	18¢	$17	0x2c6f01…
11-04 02:10:51	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x2fe7c5…
11-04 01:55:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$39	0x547e24…
11-04 01:53:15	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xfb6489…
11-04 01:53:13	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	BUY	85	15¢	$13	0x80e5ba…
11-04 01:49:00	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	160	26¢	$42	0x55b323…
11-04 01:48:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	92	43¢	$40	0xf20314…
11-04 01:46:55	Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xd04b07…
11-04 01:46:21	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x19067b…
11-04 01:38:45	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x63bf75…
11-04 00:50:27	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xb95326…
11-04 00:49:58	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0xc9190c…
11-04 00:49:25	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	264	6¢	$16	0x6d60ee…
11-04 00:48:49	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	129	45¢	$58	0x038131…
11-04 00:48:46	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x24af16…
11-04 00:48:43	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x8e03e1…
11-04 00:37:39	Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x842c42…
11-04 00:31:01	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xfb7654…
11-04 00:23:28	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x9afdd5…
11-04 00:20:00	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe03119…
11-04 00:20:00	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x27fc66…
11-04 00:06:31	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x4c3e5b…
11-03 23:57:10	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0xec5629…
11-03 23:41:55	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x91f146…
11-03 23:41:37	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xeafe6a…
11-03 21:54:46	Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8209d…
11-03 20:42:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x0322b3…
11-03 20:27:04	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x8af108…
11-03 17:39:19	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6271a4…
11-03 02:39:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	175	62¢	$109	0x85c6e3…
11-03 01:55:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x5d3be2…
11-03 00:51:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	710	50¢	$355	0x823e14…
11-02 18:12:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	710	2¢	$13	0x872e13…
11-02 05:39:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,387	2¢	$24	0x02e012…
11-02 05:34:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x1e343e…
11-02 05:28:00	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x018447…
11-02 05:27:34	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0xe339cc…
11-02 05:27:21	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x341453…
11-02 05:26:57	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x1d0a71…
11-02 05:26:43	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x1bc903…
11-02 05:26:15	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xe58586…
11-02 05:25:30	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0xdca841…
11-02 05:25:09	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x992af1…
11-02 05:24:39	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x0d2236…
11-02 05:24:16	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x37d43e…
11-02 05:24:04	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xe2680d…
11-02 05:23:48	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0xd4dc41…
11-02 05:23:19	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x78000b…
11-01 22:09:39	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0x346ce1…
11-01 22:09:10	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0xcbdc47…
11-01 22:08:54	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x3948f6…
11-01 20:46:43	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5ddd30…
11-01 20:46:19	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x39cf80…
11-01 20:36:54	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x6c76c5…
11-01 20:25:54	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xff3fb6…
11-01 20:03:10	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8d6728…
11-01 01:38:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	341	3¢	$9	0x539cd9…
10-31 20:58:54	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	550	1¢	$6	0x5a9b12…
10-31 20:58:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,563	1¢	$18	0x3381a6…
10-31 13:19:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,444	2¢	$29	0x5d88a9…
10-31 10:54:51	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	550	4¢	$20	0x801de6…
10-31 00:53:03	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,101	7¢	$155	0xe156de…
10-30 23:00:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,019	5¢	$51	0x8331be…
10-30 22:59:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x08cfeb…
10-30 19:11:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	418	25¢	$105	0x1fc014…
10-30 19:11:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6,020	6¢	$343	0x4b24b0…
10-29 02:48:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	240	2¢	$6	0x81612b…