Knobby-Initialize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$4.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-20 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% $-87

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 5am et	10	$612	522	514	+7	open	—	04-16 10:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	4	$592	361	361	+0	open	—	05-20 07:32
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 6am et	4	$258	160	159	+1	open	—	04-21 11:20
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 6am et	3	$103	344	0	+344	open	—	04-17 10:23
btc updown 15m 1776428100	1	$100	256	0	+256	open	—	04-17 12:19
btc updown 15m 1776423600	3	$99	128	0	+128	open	—	04-17 11:07
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 5am et	2	$97	240	0	+240	open	—	04-17 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	7	$87	186	0	+186	open	—	04-27 08:13
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	4	$75	209	0	+209	open	—	04-21 09:06
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	3	$75	115	0	+115	open	—	04-20 08:12
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	1	$60	294	0	+294	open	—	04-21 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$54	90	0	+90	open	—	04-27 07:49
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 4am et	1	$54	78	0	+78	open	—	04-15 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	04-30 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-30 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	5	$50	60	0	+60	Down	$-50	05-08 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET	1	$50	161	0	+161	open	—	04-27 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	04-28 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	04-28 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	04-28 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$40	65	12	+53	open	—	04-28 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$40	182	0	+182	open	—	04-28 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	04-28 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	04-28 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$30	68	0	+68	open	—	04-28 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	04-28 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	04-28 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	04-28 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$29	36	34	+2	open	—	04-28 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:32:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	252	82¢	$206	0x696c77…
05-20 07:13:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	109	83¢	$90	0x9a8cf7…
05-20 06:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	355	82¢	$291	0x1e214b…
05-20 06:34:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x187f01…
05-18 05:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x86e3fa…
05-18 05:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xd95422…
05-18 05:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x776304…
05-18 05:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6d0e6c…
05-18 05:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x7bf41f…
05-18 05:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd71d5a…
05-17 06:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x5a9f37…
05-17 06:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7f8084…
05-17 06:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbb8ea4…
05-17 06:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x980d3e…
05-17 06:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeff1f0…
05-17 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xbc60b0…
05-17 05:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x35ffa7…
05-17 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xedfcc6…
05-08 20:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x31a83a…
05-08 20:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x6291db…
05-08 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x3138bf…
05-08 20:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x4b774d…
05-08 20:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xfd6b6a…
05-08 20:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xc508d2…
05-08 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x127165…
05-08 19:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x1f9d84…
05-08 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x85f75d…
05-08 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xdf2e75…
05-08 19:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x3f9a58…
05-08 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x2b0871…
05-08 19:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x9a068c…
05-08 19:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xddc042…
05-08 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xe42ddc…
05-08 19:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x4638e3…
05-08 19:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xbc6d52…
05-08 19:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdb4ea3…
05-08 19:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfb30fd…
05-08 19:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xb228b1…
05-08 19:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x22bcea…
05-08 19:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xb2f17b…
05-08 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xdf7ec5…
05-08 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xa6a0e4…
05-08 19:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xca2131…
05-08 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xb8edc3…
05-08 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xac5bd1…
05-08 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6ea9c2…
05-08 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x07bf13…
05-08 18:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x38c326…
05-08 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8ea891…
05-08 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x83dde2…
05-08 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x60aa5c…
05-08 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x55d9c0…
05-08 18:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xde6538…
05-08 18:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xbab220…
05-08 18:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x45965e…
05-08 18:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x9f1fac…
05-08 18:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x582334…
05-08 18:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1b1993…
05-08 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6ac0e7…
05-08 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3af7cd…
05-08 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x4f42a2…
05-08 18:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x938fd7…
05-08 18:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x15acf7…
05-08 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xba30ab…
05-08 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x7adf04…
05-08 18:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcfeef1…
05-08 18:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9d0c9a…
05-08 18:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa58faa…
05-08 18:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x7edbaf…
05-08 18:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x307313…
05-08 18:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xf151a0…
05-08 18:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xadd15c…
05-08 18:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x857b34…
05-08 18:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd682f9…
05-08 18:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa63f15…
05-08 18:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x40ab14…
05-08 18:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xbad2ca…
05-08 18:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x959ee2…
05-08 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe5ab66…
05-08 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x698fec…
05-08 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe2a2a0…
05-08 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd639aa…
05-08 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd6201d…
05-08 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd45b62…
05-08 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x33d90b…
05-08 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf7ddd3…
05-08 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xe81bc3…
05-08 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcdaae3…
05-08 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xa7e284…
05-08 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x3472dd…
05-08 18:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2be5b0…
05-08 17:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x94adf2…
05-08 17:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x22b225…
05-08 17:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x834997…
05-08 17:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x3d4eea…
05-08 17:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xdff556…
05-08 17:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5bdaf3…
05-08 17:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc91f70…
05-08 17:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xb162c0…
05-08 17:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf9db60…