Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$232

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

1,489

Trades

3,890

lifetime

Volume

$5.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-14

last 10-30 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$232

Other

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 1711 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	91¢	$1	$0	10-29 09:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	92¢	$1	$0	10-29 09:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	84¢	$1	$0	10-29 09:21
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+1	$1	90¢	$1	$0	10-29 09:27
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	72¢	$1	$0	10-29 10:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	56	$81	212	+212	Down	-$5	10-19 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	54	$69	151	+151	Down	-$4	10-19 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	47	$61	122	+122	Up	+$2	10-19 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	36	$52	251	+251	Down	-$10	10-19 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	34	$51	135	+135	Down	-$7	10-19 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	39	$50	134	+134	Down	-$1	10-19 17:13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	43	$43	84	+84	Up	-$1	10-20 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	26	$40	132	+132	Down	-$4	10-19 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	29	$37	76	+76	Down	+$1	10-19 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	36	$36	71	+71	Up	+$11	10-19 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	26	$36	81	+81	Up	+$3	10-19 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	21	$35	120	+120	Down	-$8	10-19 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	22	$35	101	+101	Down	-$8	10-19 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	34	$34	62	+62	Down	-$7	10-19 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	25	$34	87	+87	Down	+$25	10-19 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	24	$32	83	+83	Up	-$8	10-19 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	21	$32	115	+115	Down	-$6	10-19 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	24	$32	102	+102	Up	-$2	10-19 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	24	$30	34	+34	Down	+$4	10-20 05:13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	30	$30	87	+87	Up	-$7	10-19 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	23	$30	64	+64	Up	-$5	10-19 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	20	$29	144	+144	Up	-$6	10-19 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$28	34	+34	Up	+$5	10-23 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	20	$28	75	+75	Down	-$7	10-19 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	12	$28	32	+32	Down	+$3	10-19 14:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	28	$28	64	+64	Up	-$1	10-19 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	18	$28	37	+37	Up	-$28	10-19 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	20	$27	53	+53	Up	-$1	10-19 20:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	26	$26	51	+51	Down	+$2	10-19 22:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	26	$26	49	+49	Up	-$2	10-19 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:57:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xde44c6…
10-29 14:07:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x24dd0d…
10-29 13:34:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xa1486e…
10-29 12:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc61043…
10-29 11:17:05	Will Amazon say "Live Sports" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8d97fd…
10-29 10:45:20	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x986012…
10-29 09:27:44	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4fbf90…
10-29 09:22:23	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd0dd93…
10-29 09:22:19	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2d022e…
10-29 09:21:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x69e410…
10-28 16:35:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x25edb0…
10-28 16:30:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9b324f…
10-28 16:20:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x03716c…
10-28 16:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xcf87e4…
10-28 15:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xe85157…
10-28 14:45:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x99662e…
10-28 14:35:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x40e762…
10-28 14:25:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x514aba…
10-28 14:20:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xc48403…
10-28 14:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc937e3…
10-28 13:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$2	0xd72dca…
10-28 13:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4810b3…
10-28 13:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd6a7b0…
10-28 13:30:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4db973…
10-28 13:25:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc199d1…
10-28 13:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xc5a43e…
10-28 13:15:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xb227a5…
10-28 13:00:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xceb2c8…
10-28 12:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0e426f…
10-28 12:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xb58319…
10-28 12:20:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2f8f64…
10-28 12:10:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb184b0…
10-28 11:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3a7d8a…
10-28 11:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x729237…
10-28 11:13:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8c4581…
10-28 11:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4de5bb…
10-28 10:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8c5041…
10-28 10:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x15633b…
10-28 10:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x11e367…
10-28 10:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9200b6…
10-28 10:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdfbd6c…
10-28 10:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc1800b…
10-28 09:20:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b2aec…
10-28 09:10:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd8928d…
10-28 09:00:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x090065…
10-28 09:00:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x26aaa4…
10-28 08:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2d6827…
10-28 08:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf03fd0…
10-28 08:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8afe4e…
10-28 08:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x26ee52…
10-28 08:30:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x49db01…
10-28 08:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0812ae…
10-28 08:25:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd48c54…
10-28 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd97240…
10-28 08:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4922ef…
10-28 08:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa75b22…
10-28 07:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa010a9…
10-28 07:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x04d420…
10-28 07:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7d5280…
10-28 07:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5ff6ea…
10-28 07:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x178d4a…
10-28 07:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xe22b1b…
10-28 06:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x58418a…
10-28 06:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x83435a…
10-28 06:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3ba621…
10-28 06:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x32deb3…
10-28 06:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xd16de1…
10-28 06:10:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xccd2ed…
10-28 06:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbd38dd…
10-28 06:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc32669…
10-28 05:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4203d9…
10-28 05:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb3283a…
10-28 05:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4b898e…
10-28 05:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9ecf42…
10-28 05:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21f25e…
10-28 05:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6079d9…
10-28 04:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0ff487…
10-28 04:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeafc11…
10-28 04:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8dfd85…
10-28 04:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0e2086…
10-28 04:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9c22a8…
10-28 04:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x150dae…
10-28 04:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaff8b2…
10-28 04:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf1d7bb…
10-28 04:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x28b1b2…
10-28 04:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x584c08…
10-28 03:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x930652…
10-28 03:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x88cf27…
10-28 03:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91796e…
10-28 03:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x389b35…
10-28 03:40:04	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x668640…
10-28 03:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x129bcc…
10-28 03:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x49fdba…
10-28 03:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd7556a…
10-28 03:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1f1ab8…
10-28 03:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4f271e…
10-28 03:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb6b3b…
10-28 03:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2d7327…
10-28 03:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc8f14d…
10-28 02:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf2a371…