Muffled-Screenwriting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-19 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-97

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	6	$74	90	90	+0	open	—	05-04 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$45	42	42	+0	open	—	05-04 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$43	41	41	+0	open	—	05-04 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$37	31	31	+0	open	—	05-04 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$36	60	35	+25	open	—	05-04 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$35	188	21	+167	Down	+$5	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$34	541	21	+520	open	—	05-04 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$33	123	23	+100	Up	+$11	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$32	187	0	+187	open	—	05-04 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	Down	+$12	05-04 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$27	50	17	+33	Up	+$3	05-05 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$26	29	14	+14	open	—	05-19 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$25	32	27	+6	open	—	05-04 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	6	$25	22	22	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$23	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$22	30	19	+11	open	—	05-04 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	8	$22	33	18	+15	Up	+$0	05-06 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$21	42	16	+26	Up	+$3	05-06 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	28	$20	1,045	0	+1,045	Up	$-20	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$19	68	43	+25	open	—	05-19 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	6	$19	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$17	37	20	+17	open	—	05-04 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$16	1,244	0	+1,244	Down	$-16	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$16	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$16	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$15	27	9	+18	Down	$-1	05-04 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$15	54	0	+54	Down	$-15	05-05 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$15	48	0	+48	Up	$-15	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$13	19	0	+19	Down	$-13	05-06 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xfcb614…
05-19 16:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x66d8ae…
05-19 16:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x32391e…
05-19 16:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8f1c91…
05-19 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x8fb35d…
05-19 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd67a2b…
05-19 16:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x383445…
05-19 16:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd0fa71…
05-19 16:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3d270d…
05-19 16:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1606a9…
05-19 16:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xafda0c…
05-19 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8489a4…
05-19 15:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xac6524…
05-19 15:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaa9dff…
05-19 15:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x48ea2c…
05-19 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xfb93f0…
05-19 15:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x71e627…
05-19 15:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x413912…
05-19 15:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x9e2c96…
05-19 15:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x25af70…
05-19 15:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8cbcf0…
05-19 15:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7d9e80…
05-19 15:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x73f10e…
05-19 15:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9949ac…
05-19 15:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd1a04d…
05-19 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xb6948a…
05-19 15:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1e8355…
05-19 15:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xe25232…
05-19 15:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc498c8…
05-19 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa41bab…
05-19 15:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xb6a69c…
05-19 15:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc1fabd…
05-19 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x995b60…
05-19 15:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x403f2b…
05-19 15:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x44da40…
05-19 15:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfb363a…
05-19 15:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xb38cb5…
05-19 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe2ba50…
05-19 15:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa8a60a…
05-19 15:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1c4002…
05-19 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e9a3f…
05-15 10:49:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xebc8f1…
05-13 19:57:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x844515…
05-13 16:13:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa23f5e…
05-13 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3bcbff…
05-13 13:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0a6e4c…
05-13 13:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcf05f1…
05-13 13:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x47c66a…
05-13 12:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x570452…
05-13 12:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x9dcb29…
05-13 12:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa74361…
05-13 12:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xe92851…
05-13 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6524eb…
05-13 12:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x780206…
05-13 12:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x675172…
05-13 12:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x378b81…
05-13 12:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfd1c0f…
05-13 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xfbe9c6…
05-13 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x23c822…
05-13 12:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x4d832a…
05-13 12:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8d7b97…
05-13 12:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf1f86a…
05-09 08:16:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x466cf2…
05-09 08:14:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	515	1¢	$6	0x3f2c50…
05-06 14:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x07ad6a…
05-06 14:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xbc98f7…
05-06 14:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x5ed423…
05-06 14:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x01b2bc…
05-06 14:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xf745b6…
05-06 14:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9d26ec…
05-06 14:40:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x7e8009…
05-06 13:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa78cf3…
05-06 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x90cfb7…
05-06 13:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18d8b5…
05-06 13:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9311d3…
05-06 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x73c684…
05-06 13:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb6f44d…
05-06 13:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x973949…
05-06 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb2f1a7…
05-06 13:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x0f5842…
05-06 13:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5f0745…
05-06 13:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5e3321…
05-06 13:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcdcc64…
05-06 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xadbc8f…
05-06 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x76beaf…
05-06 13:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbc52a6…
05-06 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa51535…
05-06 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc5ffb7…
05-06 13:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa79bfe…
05-06 13:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xe48ac6…
05-06 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa5ebe9…
05-06 12:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa2c0c3…
05-06 12:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x95a2b1…
05-06 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x999d5c…
05-06 12:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6de08e…
05-06 12:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7018e1…
05-06 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x193538…
05-06 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xabcb6e…
05-06 12:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5d9896…
05-06 12:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x202b50…