Wrathful-Pier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

325

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$9.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-19 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

75% 78% -$11

Crypto

17% 83% +$1

Politics

5% 59% $0

Sports

2% 22% $0

Tech

1% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	09-18 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 16?	4	$97	49	49	+0	No	+$0	07-16 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on July 2?	8	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	07-02 10:11
will the match not air 20260625200259146	5	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	06-27 20:28
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	4	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 04:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-17 22:28
Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-20 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 27?	5	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-27 12:10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	3	$62	41	21	+20	No	+$0	06-03 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-11 19:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 20?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on May 26?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-25 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 10?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:26
bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	3	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 28?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-28 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 11?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-11 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 04:18
solana above 100 on july 5 2026	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 21:32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 29?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-28 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-17 20:08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 2?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 05:30
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-27 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 4?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-03 14:01
Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 20:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 28?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-28 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on July 2?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-01 19:10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-22 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 23:43:33	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe0a8b8…
10-15 03:38:08	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb3aea9…
10-15 03:37:19	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x752eaa…
10-15 03:36:26	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x704164…
09-20 13:21:03	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd6ae5d…
09-18 02:32:22	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4aae11…
09-13 01:34:16	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb38d2…
09-06 19:10:42	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0cb109…
09-01 04:49:51	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0cfd13…
08-30 22:52:48	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcaae29…
08-30 22:51:37	Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x213fa9…
08-24 07:57:00	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x60e633…
08-11 08:43:54	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d1bc1…
08-06 21:32:36	Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51382b…
07-22 07:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf112ad…
07-22 05:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1915f8…
07-22 02:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4116a0…
07-22 02:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe83e6e…
07-22 01:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x983aed…
07-22 01:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x128dd6…
07-22 00:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5c6146…
07-21 22:24:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x23befe…
07-21 21:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8c74c2…
07-21 19:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x967f55…
07-21 19:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x73b28a…
07-21 19:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02a4f6…
07-21 17:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1284d…
07-21 15:10:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d9549…
07-21 14:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74ab81…
07-21 14:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 21?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x402bcd…
07-21 10:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x49c12a…
07-21 09:38:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xade06e…
07-21 09:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f165d…
07-21 07:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x46229d…
07-21 07:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf3d16d…
07-21 02:41:42	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x47665b…
07-21 02:03:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfcee93…
07-21 00:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x31be28…
07-20 21:35:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 20?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb6616c…
07-20 19:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdfa073…
07-20 16:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3b6d4d…
07-20 14:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 21?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x094202…
07-20 11:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb76786…
07-20 09:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc6a3ff…
07-20 08:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbf5217…
07-20 07:34:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf66b6c…
07-20 07:08:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x043ace…
07-20 06:15:25	bitcoin above 56k on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4c6f54…
07-20 05:55:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb27597…
07-20 04:19:25	bitcoin above 56k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x69e237…
07-20 01:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb1606f…
07-20 01:27:10	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6e9294…
07-19 23:23:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdad033…
07-19 20:49:30	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8dcb8a…
07-19 18:42:52	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf922fb…
07-19 13:27:48	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4dc561…
07-19 13:04:03	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xacafbe…
07-19 13:04:01	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x72b66b…
07-19 12:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x42dc0a…
07-19 12:13:51	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x02de9d…
07-19 11:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 19?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x192fbc…
07-19 10:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x029765…
07-19 06:26:15	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfad031…
07-19 02:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 19?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xec5e47…
07-19 01:25:04	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea0618…
07-18 23:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 19?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5c7fc1…
07-18 22:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc9c90f…
07-17 22:28:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa97d13…
07-17 21:07:15	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x376981…
07-17 20:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x596596…
07-17 20:00:01	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8c16b7…
07-17 19:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x2a130e…
07-17 19:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x84a539…
07-17 18:23:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11179b…
07-17 16:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe138aa…
07-17 15:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdedd63…
07-17 15:40:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x588223…
07-17 15:37:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfc530c…
07-17 12:32:21	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac0347…
07-17 10:28:34	will rklb reach 88 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e5314…
07-17 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 17?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x677bbd…
07-17 08:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa2f64c…
07-17 07:17:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe32349…
07-17 05:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x69793e…
07-17 04:53:46	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x987e6b…
07-17 04:27:10	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe51dd5…
07-17 03:01:22	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5c16a0…
07-16 20:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x28b95f…
07-16 19:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x563df6…
07-16 19:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe8d110…
07-16 18:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7fa5a…
07-16 16:17:23	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xce45ee…
07-16 16:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x08a8e9…
07-16 13:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca294c…
07-16 12:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd59c7d…
07-16 09:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1791f8…
07-16 08:31:52	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x24f9e8…
07-16 08:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x193b96…
07-16 08:00:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x390478…
07-16 07:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 16?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xfe151d…