Pricey-Exterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

440

Trades

815

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

72% 80% +$3

Crypto

21% 86% +$1

Politics

4% 78% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$122	61	61	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 12:44
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	4	$110	55	55	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-20 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 26?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 19:31
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 05:38
xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-27 23:31
will wti reach 125 by july 27 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6?	2	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	08-05 13:37
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-31 05:48
will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 13:26
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 13?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-12 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 25?	8	$60	30	30	-0	No	$0	07-24 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 25?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-24 14:20
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 21:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 28?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-27 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on July 28?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-27 09:56
bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-30 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 21?	6	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:07
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	10-12 03:21
solana above 90 on july 23 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-23 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 12?	5	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-11 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-11 01:04
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on October 11?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	10-11 13:12
will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-31 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-27 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 24?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-23 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa3d6f1…
10-18 22:10:54	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a20b9…
10-16 12:18:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3f336c…
10-13 16:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xeb37d3…
10-13 07:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x4ded4c…
10-12 13:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 13?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0x38629c…
10-12 08:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x965c57…
10-12 05:38:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x0a0e83…
10-12 03:21:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x39d2d1…
10-11 21:40:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xb43dec…
10-11 20:42:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6b5054…
10-11 13:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on October 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xbe313d…
10-11 12:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on October 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbb2d3b…
10-11 12:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on October 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe2f60b…
10-11 05:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x1d21e9…
10-07 21:21:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5835e6…
10-05 11:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc1c5b0…
10-02 01:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3a08f3…
10-01 22:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x36da23…
10-01 05:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x84804a…
09-28 03:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbf2580…
09-27 19:49:17	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xaa5da6…
09-23 04:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcada11…
09-22 23:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a9d4a…
09-22 22:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8fb644…
09-22 20:57:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd2ecfe…
09-22 01:21:43	will bitcoin dip to 80k on september 21 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd3a0fc…
09-19 03:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4a147e…
09-18 01:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf51cb3…
09-17 12:28:01	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x18ef70…
09-13 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbaa428…
09-11 02:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0c9ec…
09-10 20:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22d0fe…
09-07 14:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on September 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x65e171…
09-06 21:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0bce1…
09-06 06:08:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4c0a4f…
09-06 05:21:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde3394…
09-06 00:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd7d88f…
09-05 07:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd00d92…
09-05 00:15:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x441ca9…
09-04 19:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x407e82…
09-04 18:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x063064…
09-04 17:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb7fe47…
09-04 04:09:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa62b26…
09-03 20:51:39	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x2ca4de…
09-03 12:25:15	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7467a8…
09-02 23:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8011f8…
09-02 21:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6cc75f…
09-02 09:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x76ed3e…
09-02 07:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbb3ec3…
09-02 00:42:49	Will Marcus Rashford join Barcelona?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa6de5b…
09-01 09:23:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35b947…
09-01 05:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa32d30…
08-31 05:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a2b1…
08-31 00:42:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5249d0…
08-30 19:49:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd3db4d…
08-30 13:02:43	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xeac261…
08-30 07:59:07	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1e8ebf…
08-29 21:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d1859…
08-29 14:17:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e1bc7…
08-29 08:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x615113…
08-27 11:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x846fdf…
08-27 08:07:24	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa6009d…
08-26 21:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb6bc8d…
08-26 17:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5765bd…
08-26 12:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5c951e…
08-26 08:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x05085c…
08-25 09:34:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4242a3…
08-25 05:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6c1f39…
08-24 21:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe88c03…
08-24 14:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x83aa11…
08-24 10:07:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdfb593…
08-24 04:53:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x195bc0…
08-23 17:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6c75f1…
08-23 16:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf7766f…
08-14 09:11:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xe9ca53…
08-13 22:16:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6680b6…
08-13 15:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x077091…
08-13 09:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x944333…
08-13 06:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0b38ea…
08-13 05:31:18	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xccba41…
08-12 21:04:07	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 12	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5970a2…
08-12 07:15:52	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe662c1…
08-12 04:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x30b9a9…
08-11 23:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x16d8c6…
08-11 22:38:25	Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x53848b…
08-11 12:38:13	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7c0d93…
08-10 23:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc189fa…
08-10 20:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x23f1eb…
08-10 13:23:16	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc880f5…
08-10 12:10:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x96f7c4…
08-09 12:09:12	will ice cream man score at least 25 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173450583	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbdacd8…
08-09 09:48:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3fa861…
08-09 06:16:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xfc9016…
08-09 02:50:57	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd19db5…
08-08 19:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a7e5a…
08-08 17:04:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x79fa6e…
08-08 02:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x31cfec…
08-07 22:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe25d52…
08-07 18:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x297c1a…