Concerned-Density — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$375

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,163

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 08-15 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 75% -$325

Other

28% 88% -$74

Politics

19% 73% +$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	3	$550	278	278	+0	No	+$6	06-15 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:35 UTC	50	$537	355	345	+11	Up	-$9	06-16 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:55 UTC	60	$517	438	158	+279	Down	-$203	06-16 05:00
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	10	$501	286	286	+0	No	+$49	06-16 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:45 UTC	44	$468	276	246	+31	Down	+$18	06-16 04:50
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	10	$453	249	249	+0	Yes	+$33	06-09 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	56	$428	269	197	+72	Down	-$38	06-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:25 UTC	40	$378	221	221	+0	Down	+$22	06-16 04:29
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	7	$376	202	202	+0	No	+$18	06-16 00:06
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	12	$369	207	207	+0	No	+$33	06-09 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:15 UTC	45	$360	202	202	+0	Down	+$40	06-16 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:50 UTC	44	$347	234	181	+53	Down	+$11	06-16 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:20 UTC	43	$345	192	192	+0	Down	+$27	06-16 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	29	$344	190	190	+0	Down	+$32	06-16 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:05 UTC	38	$321	178	178	+0	Down	+$9	06-16 04:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	8	$302	633	633	+0	open	—	06-15 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	31	$298	166	166	+0	Up	+$28	06-16 05:13
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	4	$269	144	144	+0	No	+$19	06-15 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:30 UTC	31	$261	139	139	+0	Down	+$13	06-16 04:34
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	12	$253	149	149	+0	No	+$30	06-14 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 03:50 UTC	30	$252	142	142	+0	Down	+$28	06-16 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	39	$226	297	0	+297	Up	-$89	06-16 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:00 UTC	29	$220	123	123	+0	Up	+$24	06-16 04:04
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	4	$219	116	116	+0	Yes	+$11	06-16 03:04
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	9	$211	121	121	+0	Yes	+$29	06-16 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	37	$210	273	0	+273	Up	-$210	06-16 05:18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	11	$193	229	0	+229	Yes	-$193	06-15 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	22	$186	101	101	+0	Up	+$12	06-16 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	22	$166	98	98	+0	Up	+$28	06-16 03:40
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 10–20%?	3	$163	95	95	+0	No	+$13	06-10 02:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 00:31:45	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xabbaa5…
08-15 00:31:31	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	97	74¢	$72	0xa5f3ac…
06-16 05:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf65ab3…
06-16 05:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe155f4…
06-16 05:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xbe46c5…
06-16 05:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x5c7512…
06-16 05:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbdac60…
06-16 05:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x400f2b…
06-16 05:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x280440…
06-16 05:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xcd67e4…
06-16 05:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3e877c…
06-16 05:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd36aff…
06-16 05:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x81557a…
06-16 05:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xbcd850…
06-16 05:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xa2a805…
06-16 05:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x37c1cb…
06-16 05:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x3bd258…
06-16 05:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x4b2359…
06-16 05:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x025b5a…
06-16 05:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x0f8d08…
06-16 05:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x92aeea…
06-16 05:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x816a74…
06-16 05:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x19fd00…
06-16 05:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x028e0d…
06-16 05:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x50c292…
06-16 05:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x8aefe6…
06-16 05:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xf6442b…
06-16 05:16:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2389d0…
06-16 05:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x8d9f99…
06-16 05:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa0cd3c…
06-16 05:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc67705…
06-16 05:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf60f31…
06-16 05:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x00dee6…
06-16 05:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd40aaf…
06-16 05:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd027ec…
06-16 05:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x313505…
06-16 05:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x623f74…
06-16 05:15:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5a7c5e…
06-16 05:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x645a90…
06-16 05:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	166	98¢	$163	0x5cdffd…
06-16 05:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x20f850…
06-16 05:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf98c29…
06-16 05:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xcc29eb…
06-16 05:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x16a306…
06-16 05:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xf1c1a8…
06-16 05:12:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4c82ed…
06-16 05:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x065093…
06-16 05:12:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x9ef169…
06-16 05:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x237786…
06-16 05:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x49158f…
06-16 05:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xfd9dc9…
06-16 05:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd616af…
06-16 05:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6a8047…
06-16 05:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x1713db…
06-16 05:12:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x3dc4bc…
06-16 05:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xfe8546…
06-16 05:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x99544b…
06-16 05:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd28890…
06-16 05:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xfb9d49…
06-16 05:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xaa10f7…
06-16 05:11:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xe618a8…
06-16 05:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc95abe…
06-16 05:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x7da5b0…
06-16 05:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x427f3c…
06-16 05:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x227c98…
06-16 05:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xa92016…
06-16 05:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x83078c…
06-16 05:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x662d64…
06-16 05:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x83eacc…
06-16 05:10:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5a2973…
06-16 05:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x7cfe47…
06-16 05:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x4f7d87…
06-16 05:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x6fd84f…
06-16 05:08:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xa16072…
06-16 05:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc91611…
06-16 05:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x67d915…
06-16 05:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe31159…
06-16 05:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4d467e…
06-16 05:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x76e2aa…
06-16 05:07:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xf22688…
06-16 05:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0d75ec…
06-16 05:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd96045…
06-16 05:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa4a5b6…
06-16 05:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x1f7349…
06-16 05:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x4bee6a…
06-16 05:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x2e74fd…
06-16 05:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x61ebd6…
06-16 05:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7d74e8…
06-16 05:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xea56d1…
06-16 05:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xa8860f…
06-16 05:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x9252e0…
06-16 05:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xbc1e60…
06-16 05:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x07a081…
06-16 05:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x5688fb…
06-16 05:06:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xed3f45…
06-16 05:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x989132…
06-16 05:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x9514fd…
06-16 05:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xed99d6…
06-16 05:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xfc4c78…
06-16 05:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x86a811…