Esteemed-Bagel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$270

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

259

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-08 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 59% -$265

Other

38% 43% -$14

Politics

12% 67% +$31

Sports

1% 56% -$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	25	$1.6K	1,340	1,340	+0	Chinese Taipei	+$987	03-08 06:16
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$1.2K	709	709	+0	No	-$1	02-19 18:45
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$1.2K	697	697	+0	No	+$20	02-18 17:22
wbc aus sok 2026 03 09	25	$873	1,619	400	+1,219	South Korea	-$289	03-09 11:25
wbc jap sok 2026 03 07	21	$872	1,385	1,385	+0	Japan	-$45	03-07 13:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	8	$800	642	642	+0	No	+$46	03-06 14:33
wbc jap aus 2026 03 08	7	$695	366	366	+0	Japan	+$37	03-08 14:04
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	5	$621	326	326	+0	No	+$27	01-25 02:46
wbc cub col 2026 03 08	17	$605	535	268	+268	Cuba	+$160	03-08 17:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 12:00 UTC	4	$504	323	320	+3	Up	+$53	01-29 12:12
ethereum above 3100 on january 10	9	$479	471	471	+0	No	-$37	01-10 16:39
wbc aus cht 2026 03 04	12	$432	764	404	+360	Australia	-$125	03-05 04:39
wbc pan cub 2026 03 06	3	$417	217	217	+0	Cuba	+$17	03-06 19:32
wbc ven net 2026 03 06	2	$379	207	207	+0	Venezuela	+$30	03-06 19:09
bitcoin above 74k on march 5	8	$375	1,611	1,611	+0	No	-$4	03-05 14:43
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	6	$354	306	306	+0	Yes	-$1	01-25 02:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 12:30 UTC	9	$289	414	411	+4	Up	+$38	01-29 12:43
ethereum above 1900 on february 11	22	$280	1,224	1,224	+0	Yes	+$113	02-11 16:14
wbc pan col 2026 03 09	11	$280	835	0	+835	Colombia	-$280	03-09 18:01
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	2	$278	545	545	+0	No	+$193	03-06 14:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 11:45 UTC	4	$274	151	150	+1	Up	+$12	01-29 11:59
wbc usa grb 2026 03 07	4	$272	145	145	+0	USA	+$18	03-08 06:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$253	316	316	+0	Yes	+$13	01-14 08:51
ethereum above 3100 on january 9	6	$240	220	220	+0	Yes	+$61	01-09 14:43
wbc dor nic 2026 03 06	1	$220	227	0	+227	Dominican Rep.	+$7	03-07 02:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC	5	$210	186	161	+25	Down	$0	01-29 14:40
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$174	1,358	1,358	+0	No	+$76	03-04 15:35
ethereum above 2000 on february 11	3	$166	216	216	+0	No	-$24	02-10 16:17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	9	$162	258	258	+0	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$9	05-07 15:15
wbc pur can 2026 03 10	1	$157	234	0	+234	Canada	-$157	03-10 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x688f64…
05-08 15:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa3771b…
05-08 13:14:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x609ea3…
05-08 13:09:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x57fe28…
05-08 09:51:42	Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Polina Kudermetova	Polina Kudermetova	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x49bdbe…
05-08 09:33:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x272fff…
05-08 09:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x7aec6d…
05-08 09:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbe2eb9…
05-08 09:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0cc3fa…
05-08 09:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x35d209…
05-08 09:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xabe716…
05-08 09:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x12e5a6…
05-08 09:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xf9e79c…
05-08 09:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x07f22a…
05-08 09:16:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x058969…
05-08 08:50:14	Wuxi: Adam Walton vs Yunchaokete Bu	Adam Walton	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x9313ad…
05-08 08:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x77f857…
05-08 08:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc093c8…
05-08 08:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xf55e78…
05-08 08:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xca8a05…
05-08 08:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x38ee37…
05-08 08:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x1cbe7b…
05-08 08:32:18	Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Polina Kudermetova	Polina Kudermetova	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x639229…
05-08 07:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6010ed…
05-08 07:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0cb48d…
05-08 06:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$9	0xb92bcb…
05-08 06:27:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xe6d6e3…
05-08 06:22:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x779b47…
05-08 06:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5f5376…
05-08 06:21:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7db710…
05-08 06:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x74cd7a…
05-08 06:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcf74c8…
05-08 06:02:51	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2cb8cd…
05-08 05:04:24	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7acc89…
05-08 05:03:19	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x8095c9…
05-08 03:41:52	Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0dbe39…
05-08 03:20:59	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x4cc076…
05-08 01:35:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xac111e…
05-08 01:13:47	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5	Under	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1c911e…
05-07 15:17:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x99b2a9…
05-07 15:15:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	SELL	60	51¢	$31	0x1e3e98…
05-07 15:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x4e1332…
05-07 15:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x9052d3…
05-07 15:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbfdd6e…
05-07 15:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x09cd5c…
05-07 15:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xb158ef…
05-07 15:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3192f6…
05-07 15:02:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x6b2a6e…
05-07 15:02:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x539f62…
05-07 15:02:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xedf6a0…
05-07 15:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x26c869…
05-07 14:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x493160…
05-07 14:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe40660…
05-07 14:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x294345…
05-07 14:58:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x645365…
05-07 14:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2da826…
05-07 14:57:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xa9354a…
05-07 14:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf894ca…
05-07 14:53:09	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	SELL	36	68¢	$24	0xf50130…
05-07 14:36:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xd14ebd…
05-07 14:35:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	SELL	162	19¢	$31	0x0e0e3c…
05-07 14:21:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x70d4ec…
05-07 14:21:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Ethan Quinn	BUY	153	18¢	$28	0xbc6822…
05-07 00:53:00	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x107442…
05-07 00:52:35	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xf97c43…
05-07 00:46:31	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x3ae4f7…
05-07 00:41:58	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xac8019…
04-29 08:49:00	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe19ae3…
04-29 08:49:00	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	39	81¢	$32	0xa56082…
04-29 08:48:56	FC Mito Holly Hock vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	39	81¢	$32	0x636576…
04-29 03:05:10	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x8fce9a…
04-29 03:04:32	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x60d72f…
04-29 01:05:26	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x43624c…
04-28 16:13:20	La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Xinyu Wang	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xfcf9cd…
04-28 16:12:24	La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Xinyu Wang	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x243687…
04-28 16:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdd3bcd…
04-28 16:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe07d10…
04-28 16:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2550fe…
04-28 16:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x995cf0…
04-28 15:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xd8651f…
04-28 15:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x830f33…
04-28 15:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x60c9f7…
04-28 15:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x38a656…
04-28 15:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x94d930…
04-28 15:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x16fb8d…
04-28 15:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xed16dd…
04-28 15:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x770833…
04-28 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xf8e2be…
04-28 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xd8119a…
04-28 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9b2ff6…
04-28 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x7481d9…
04-28 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x321611…
04-28 15:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x07cf9c…
04-28 15:33:26	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x201111…
04-28 15:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x154ae1…
04-28 15:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2fe38d…
04-20 06:40:52	ethereum above 2200 on april 20	No	BUY	355	6¢	$21	0x6f367c…
04-20 06:40:12	ethereum above 2300 on april 20	Yes	SELL	72	31¢	$22	0xf265c2…
04-20 06:29:26	ethereum above 2300 on april 20	Yes	BUY	76	30¢	$23	0x786039…
04-20 03:03:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x27e4e8…