Impolite-Half 0x82fb36…b70b6e
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.52K
Unrealized P&L
-$287
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
1,993
Trades
3,610
lifetime
Volume
$179.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$1.84K
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-27 00:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
80% 52% +$867
Sports
11% 48% +$734
Politics
7% 39% +$86
Crypto
2% 30% -$171
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +750 $259 54¢ $407 +$149 10-26 18:27
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +317 $295 88¢ $280 -$15 10-06 16:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +308 $183 66¢ $205 +$22 10-26 13:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +329 $125 38¢ $127 +$2 10-26 13:56
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +2,752 $52 4¢ $103 +$51 10-22 09:59
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,044 $121 1¢ $93 -$28 10-26 13:56
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,940 $78 5¢ $91 +$14 08-22 00:05
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,200 $150 8¢ $90 -$60 10-13 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $80 38¢ $77 -$3 10-26 14:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,887 $92 3¢ $61 -$31 10-23 14:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +263 $62 20¢ $51 -$11 10-05 22:59
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +230 $74 20¢ $47 -$27 08-15 06:01
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $30 3¢ $34 +$4 10-10 01:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +125 $34 26¢ $33 -$1 10-20 18:47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +49 $25 64¢ $32 +$7 10-09 15:39
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +800 $129 3¢ $26 -$103 10-26 23:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +204 $100 11¢ $21 -$79 10-25 21:23
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +500 $16 4¢ $20 +$4 09-25 16:16
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $10 1¢ $19 +$9 09-24 08:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $16 6¢ $12 -$4 08-18 12:21
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,263 $103 0¢ $6 -$97 09-28 00:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +145 $96 4¢ $6 -$90 09-26 13:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 10-03 12:20