Realized P&L
+$344
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
149
Trades
389
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$1.23K
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-07
last 11-01 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 80% -$311
Politics
38% 50% +$655
Other
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $164 80¢ $161 -$3 10-25 02:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $134 74¢ $147 +$13 10-25 02:00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $123 70¢ $139 +$16 10-27 06:42
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +115 $100 88¢ $102 +$2 10-29 07:50
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +161 $114 64¢ $102 -$11 10-31 07:21
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +109 $100 92¢ $100 +$0 10-13 22:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +91 $83 90¢ $82 -$1 10-22 06:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $74 74¢ $74 $0 10-25 22:47
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +99 $75 74¢ $73 -$2 10-08 21:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $63 70¢ $70 +$8 10-26 20:53
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +70 $50 95¢ $66 +$17 10-31 02:31
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +66 $59 92¢ $61 +$2 10-15 22:36
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +35 $27 78¢ $27 $0 10-29 06:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +35 $25 70¢ $25 $0 10-31 11:58
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +14 $5 34¢ $5 $0 10-21 20:57