Worst-Birdwatcher-Freedom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$125

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

18,011

Trades

20,291

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 10-12 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 85% +$149

Other

26% 95% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:30 UTC	7	$12	10	8	+2	Up	-$2	06-26 13:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC	7	$12	9	7	+2	Down	-$2	07-01 14:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	7	$11	9	7	+2	Up	-$2	07-02 13:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:15 UTC	5	$10	7	5	+2	Up	-$1	06-30 15:19
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:15 UTC	5	$9	8	5	+2	Up	-$2	07-01 01:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC	5	$9	7	5	+2	Down	-$2	06-25 23:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:20 UTC	5	$9	7	5	+2	Up	-$2	07-01 01:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:25 UTC	5	$9	8	5	+3	Down	-$1	06-25 14:29
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	5	$9	7	5	+2	Up	-$2	07-02 12:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:20 UTC	5	$9	7	5	+2	Up	-$2	06-25 19:24
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:55 UTC	5	$8	6	4	+2	Up	-$1	07-02 12:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 15:20 UTC	5	$8	8	5	+2	Up	-$1	06-25 15:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:05 UTC	5	$8	8	5	+2	Up	-$1	06-26 03:08
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 02:30 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Up	-$2	06-26 02:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:30 UTC	5	$8	8	5	+2	Up	-$1	06-26 13:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:40 UTC	5	$8	7	4	+2	Down	-$1	06-23 13:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:00 UTC	6	$8	7	7	+0	Up	-$4	06-26 03:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:20 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Down	-$2	06-25 14:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:25 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Down	-$1	06-24 18:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:30 UTC	5	$8	7	4	+3	Down	-$1	07-02 14:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 15:20 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Up	-$3	06-29 15:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 13:55 UTC	5	$8	8	5	+3	Down	-$1	06-25 13:57
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:10 UTC	5	$8	8	5	+3	Down	-$1	06-25 14:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:45 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Down	-$1	06-26 13:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:15 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Down	-$1	06-26 14:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:00 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Up	-$1	06-24 18:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:45 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Down	-$2	06-24 13:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:20 UTC	5	$8	6	4	+2	Down	-$1	07-04 14:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 14:00 UTC	5	$8	7	5	+2	Down	-$1	06-24 14:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:30 UTC	5	$8	7	4	+2	Down	-$1	07-02 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 04:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd66545…
10-12 04:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x47064b…
10-12 04:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x34f80c…
10-12 04:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf61318…
10-12 02:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xfc4b86…
10-12 02:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xddd5b6…
10-12 02:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xafa0d7…
10-12 00:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb6a008…
10-12 00:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x70be06…
10-12 00:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x7025c7…
10-12 00:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3e8254…
10-11 23:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcbf51b…
10-11 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa8d42b…
10-11 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3a8aab…
10-11 20:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x58172b…
10-11 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa166f0…
10-11 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x008011…
10-11 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x4db131…
10-11 15:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xccfd73…
10-11 15:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x124d7f…
10-11 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xbd2164…
10-11 13:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3c2f12…
10-11 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc762c4…
10-11 12:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xdba64d…
10-11 11:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x028cd7…
10-11 09:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xee0c49…
10-11 09:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3cd336…
10-11 09:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3289fa…
10-11 05:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xac4c73…
10-11 05:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x01217d…
10-11 03:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x39987a…
10-11 02:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1b3263…
10-10 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcb2441…
10-10 21:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xbc03b1…
10-10 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc01153…
10-10 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8a3da7…
10-10 17:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x9308b7…
10-10 16:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb482eb…
10-10 15:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa3f2b7…
10-10 15:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x57de2e…
10-10 15:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x44e3f3…
10-10 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x452efc…
10-10 11:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcf8055…
10-10 09:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0b7ecc…
10-10 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x684b95…
10-10 08:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x9a6c96…
10-10 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2e96c0…
10-10 07:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xa79068…
10-10 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd2ba6a…
10-10 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd0301d…
10-10 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6f879a…
10-10 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x53ec0a…
10-10 05:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x05c31e…
10-10 05:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8316b7…
10-10 04:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa651b1…
10-10 04:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x82e94d…
10-10 02:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xead8de…
10-10 01:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xdd8f91…
10-10 01:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x527c85…
10-10 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc0d6e8…
10-10 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x91096b…
10-10 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa3735a…
10-10 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x388360…
10-09 20:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x92a178…
10-09 20:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0afeaf…
10-09 19:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x9760cb…
10-09 19:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x142aea…
10-09 19:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xf539b4…
10-09 19:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x96a716…
10-09 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x35cc3c…
10-09 15:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x596ed5…
10-09 14:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x862222…
10-09 13:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xfe0fe4…
10-09 12:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa35a67…
10-09 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0d8623…
10-09 11:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3d2879…
10-09 10:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x2c6a8d…
10-09 09:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x473694…
10-09 09:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3217e9…
10-09 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x48edc8…
10-09 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0d7b2b…
10-09 09:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x38a41a…
10-09 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x7aa0be…
10-09 05:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x7e0d29…
10-09 04:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x08f4b9…
10-09 02:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x3053df…
10-09 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe15218…
10-09 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc18088…
10-09 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3c5092…
10-09 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x360f06…
10-09 00:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xdaac19…
10-09 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfbf5b1…
10-08 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x93666c…
10-08 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x445c7f…
10-08 20:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xd92d74…
10-08 18:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x8bbfdd…
10-08 18:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x00bad4…
10-08 18:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x026b68…
10-08 16:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x3a8deb…
10-08 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xa592f7…