Active-Zephyr — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$540

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-22 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

33% — —

Sports

12% 33% $-14

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$78	44	44	+0	open	—	04-21 23:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$56	109	19	+90	open	—	04-30 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 10:40
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	8	$33	39	18	+21	Timberwolves	$-9	05-11 02:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	07-21 21:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 05:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 10:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$20	69	0	+69	open	—	07-22 14:05
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	07-01 10:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$18	32	32	+0	open	—	05-19 20:43
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$15	54	54	+0	Thunder	$-5	05-12 03:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$13	39	7	+31	open	—	04-23 05:34
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 11:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	07-13 22:02
Spurs vs. Thunder	9	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 03:18
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-01 08:41
btc updown 5m 1776872400	6	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 15:45
btc updown 5m 1776869100	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 14:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$7	56	56	+0	open	—	05-07 19:05
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 10:12
ebola case in the us by june 30	2	$5	19	19	-0	open	—	07-01 08:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	07-17 11:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	07-17 11:18
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 12:06
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-01 10:06
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$5	6	0	+6	Spurs	+$1	05-13 01:05
btc updown 5m 1776870900	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 15:20
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 10:10
btc updown 5m 1776870000	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776868500	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:05:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8e52e8…
07-21 21:00:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x50f65a…
07-21 20:59:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc38404…
07-21 20:58:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x859ae8…
07-17 11:19:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6e5467…
07-17 11:18:09	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2129f4…
07-13 22:08:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcb4712…
07-13 22:02:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa23c0d…
07-01 10:06:31	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	T1	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd3be2b…
07-01 10:06:01	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf1d77e…
07-01 09:11:34	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xef2b68…
07-01 08:41:56	ebola case in the us by june 30	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xf66556…
07-01 08:41:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0xab9a4a…
07-01 08:41:10	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	T1	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdc49b9…
07-01 08:31:10	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	T1	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe5cdd9…
06-01 13:49:10	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcb53f5…
05-28 11:03:24	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x50ccac…
05-26 10:40:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x652786…
05-24 11:12:36	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6f4cc3…
05-22 19:55:22	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xaeae3b…
05-20 11:04:50	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb963e…
05-20 10:06:12	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8c179f…
05-20 08:32:56	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x315ee2…
05-20 07:27:34	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd457f4…
05-20 07:26:55	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2bf728…
05-19 20:43:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x191361…
05-19 08:14:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0x750d21…
05-19 03:44:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x4821b8…
05-19 03:18:02	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x88c47d…
05-19 02:57:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x92f8fe…
05-19 02:35:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x621072…
05-19 02:05:50	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xcfc9b5…
05-19 01:58:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x23f8eb…
05-19 01:13:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xe8e6fa…
05-19 01:02:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x404464…
05-19 01:02:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5dfe18…
05-19 00:42:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x30eefc…
05-18 06:10:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x511e1f…
05-16 06:36:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0xc41400…
05-15 21:37:47	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0dc573…
05-15 18:46:41	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6388c0…
05-15 12:06:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa2c979…
05-15 10:13:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc85bf3…
05-15 10:12:39	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x3d1a0f…
05-14 10:32:49	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdf1516…
05-13 22:06:46	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6bbe69…
05-13 01:05:43	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfa6535…
05-12 09:39:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe4c800…
05-12 09:23:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd7b382…
05-12 03:58:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdd89a5…
05-12 03:35:56	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0x893911…
05-11 20:32:52	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdbb3db…
05-11 02:03:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa86013…
05-11 02:02:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb21db5…
05-11 01:58:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6a5025…
05-11 01:56:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xf449e2…
05-11 01:53:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xc49cd7…
05-11 01:51:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x48b2a7…
05-11 01:42:40	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x1b13b4…
05-11 01:41:56	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x663e9b…
05-11 01:41:26	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb2edd0…
05-11 01:19:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xeca7c2…
05-11 01:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8e9fb2…
05-11 01:12:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x2cc04a…
05-11 01:12:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xec2a89…
05-10 10:27:37	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdf23a0…
05-10 10:10:14	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x2fde9a…
05-10 09:43:59	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xedd6af…
05-10 09:43:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x329a09…
05-07 19:05:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x676c97…
04-30 17:25:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x32c407…
04-30 17:24:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd0c474…
04-30 17:24:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x529511…
04-27 08:47:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfce5e8…
04-26 09:45:56	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x7fdf93…
04-26 09:43:26	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d2748…
04-26 08:34:02	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb6f7e2…
04-26 08:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x8de802…
04-25 23:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x20033b…
04-25 23:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa4b42d…
04-25 23:45:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8615cc…
04-25 23:45:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x982998…
04-23 05:34:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf86626…
04-23 05:33:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0xdce887…
04-22 18:32:22	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0cf653…
04-22 18:32:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x44c156…
04-22 18:31:30	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x6fde78…
04-22 18:30:56	btc updown 5m 1776882600	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe23839…
04-22 18:30:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x430f43…
04-22 17:55:14	btc updown 5m 1776880500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ab8e9…
04-22 17:50:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8995b7…
04-22 17:33:46	btc updown 5m 1776879000	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x46c85e…
04-22 17:15:10	btc updown 5m 1776877800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ac031…
04-22 17:14:22	btc updown 5m 1776877800	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x25e4e5…
04-22 16:42:42	btc updown 5m 1776876000	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaede66…
04-22 16:40:30	btc updown 5m 1776876000	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9113b0…
04-22 16:40:18	btc updown 5m 1776876000	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb7093a…
04-22 16:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0e119…
04-22 15:49:30	btc updown 5m 1776872700	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbb711d…
04-22 15:45:10	btc updown 5m 1776872400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb57497…