Excited-Insurrection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$145

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

129

Trades

2,814

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-09 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 46% +$145

Politics

19% — —

Other

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$1.3K	1,738	1,737	+0	open	—	03-10 07:32
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$577	2,017	1,431	+586	open	—	03-06 14:15
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	3	$456	643	643	+0	open	—	03-10 07:34
us forces enter iran by march 7	7	$379	2,923	1,494	+1,429	open	—	03-07 21:32
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$307	953	663	+290	open	—	03-08 17:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	11	$220	451	352	+99	open	—	03-06 15:40
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$192	248	248	+0	open	—	03-04 14:03
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	2	$186	152	152	+0	open	—	03-03 20:03
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$185	2,640	568	+2,072	open	—	03-06 19:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$183	429	429	+0	open	—	03-03 19:38
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$165	414	414	+0	open	—	03-03 11:28
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 10:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$112	690	333	+356	open	—	03-11 14:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$102	336	336	+0	open	—	03-01 12:30
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	2	$101	1,181	1,181	+0	open	—	03-10 07:33
cs2 pssnua fut 2026 03 02	2	$95	147	147	+0	open	—	03-02 19:12
cs2 furiaf paina 2026 03 02	2	$93	83	83	+0	open	—	03-02 21:38
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$92	1,029	590	+439	open	—	03-06 13:55
epl ars che 2026 03 01 che	5	$76	2,337	0	+2,337	open	—	03-01 18:22
epl new mun 2026 03 04 draw	1	$50	192	0	+192	open	—	03-04 17:29
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	4	$45	2,340	0	+2,340	open	—	03-05 18:09
sea pis bol 2026 03 02 pis	2	$41	133	133	+0	open	—	03-02 19:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$40	119	119	+0	open	—	03-07 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$40	75	0	+75	open	—	05-20 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$40	91	0	+91	open	—	05-20 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$38	82	0	+82	open	—	05-26 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$37	75	0	+75	open	—	05-27 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$35	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 02:40
btc updown 5m 1776523500	4	$35	56	0	+56	open	—	04-18 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$35	91	0	+91	open	—	04-25 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:59:58	btc updown 5m 1780991700	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x2c39c2…
06-09 06:24:58	btc updown 5m 1780986000	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8e4b70…
06-09 03:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x5dca95…
06-09 01:20:00	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0f37cc…
06-09 00:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780963500	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe1f03e…
06-09 00:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780963500	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7f4437…
06-09 00:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780963500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x40f13d…
06-09 00:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780963500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x325837…
06-08 22:55:00	btc updown 5m 1780959000	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe4ce32…
06-08 14:55:01	btc updown 5m 1780930200	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xe20fd3…
06-08 12:55:03	btc updown 5m 1780923000	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6eb5c1…
06-08 12:00:01	btc updown 5m 1780919700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdc2d20…
06-08 12:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780919700	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x076ce0…
06-08 12:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780919700	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x071b94…
06-08 11:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780916100	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x32ff2c…
06-08 01:40:03	btc updown 5m 1780882500	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x55b467…
06-07 22:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780871700	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd0f4da…
06-07 20:20:03	btc updown 5m 1780863300	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x08b778…
06-07 18:44:58	btc updown 5m 1780857600	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x1eb941…
06-07 18:35:01	btc updown 5m 1780857000	Down	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xe29e6c…
06-07 17:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780853700	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x08cc47…
06-07 17:24:58	btc updown 5m 1780852800	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x058957…
06-07 12:55:00	btc updown 5m 1780836600	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xda7367…
06-07 06:45:01	btc updown 5m 1780814400	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc5219d…
06-06 23:49:58	btc updown 5m 1780789500	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x42410b…
06-06 23:49:58	btc updown 5m 1780789500	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x262150…
06-06 19:25:00	btc updown 5m 1780773600	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb5df30…
06-06 08:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780734900	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x6eeb66…
06-06 06:50:00	btc updown 5m 1780728300	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x0cad30…
06-05 21:30:00	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x252210…
06-05 19:55:00	btc updown 5m 1780689000	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x17a125…
06-05 10:59:58	btc updown 5m 1780656900	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xaf5d16…
06-04 20:29:58	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4b96f2…
06-04 14:24:58	btc updown 5m 1780582800	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xa17a58…
06-04 08:34:58	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x24443b…
06-03 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x907693…
06-03 14:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5c632f…
06-03 13:00:01	btc updown 5m 1780491300	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8461b3…
06-03 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x885986…
06-03 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2a1f4e…
06-02 23:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x14b163…
06-02 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xefeb58…
06-02 17:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x6187ad…
06-02 15:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe4bf45…
06-02 14:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x9f1fd4…
06-02 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x838687…
06-02 13:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8ef737…
06-02 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x0d021f…
06-01 14:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xe9e962…
06-01 14:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xc005fd…
06-01 11:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x93960d…
06-01 11:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x46ea91…
06-01 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9bd090…
06-01 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x89dfde…
06-01 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x2e0f54…
06-01 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2383fb…
06-01 07:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0xd5eb64…
06-01 07:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x88d7cb…
06-01 05:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe4b287…
06-01 05:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdc0956…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf58490…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe40478…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xc074ae…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9d893…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9075cd…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x869c28…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x804a5d…
06-01 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1d8514…
06-01 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xf3107a…
06-01 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xee0aa2…
06-01 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0xa3d631…
06-01 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x3c9501…
06-01 02:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x79778d…
06-01 02:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x2ce4eb…
05-31 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x856641…
05-31 22:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xef3a35…
05-31 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0xf8c9da…
05-31 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xf8369e…
05-31 21:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3988cb…
05-31 21:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x2ed66c…
05-31 21:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x49616c…
05-31 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x877e27…
05-31 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7d87e0…
05-31 21:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xa72384…
05-31 21:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x38d7e8…
05-31 19:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$7	0xf121b4…
05-31 19:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$7	0x580c99…
05-31 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x9b89d2…
05-31 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6b9d18…
05-31 18:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xb71f14…
05-31 18:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x0b5326…
05-31 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xb4d97b…
05-31 18:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0x89dd3c…
05-31 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdb5bb4…
05-31 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbcade6…
05-31 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x3355c6…
05-31 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x0ea073…
05-31 15:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xcafc32…
05-31 15:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x69852d…
05-31 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$9	0xc50974…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	868	$113.5K	29,446	06-09 07:58
Grouchy-Evaluation-Net 0x206a…3197	854	$24.4K	9,313	06-09 08:00
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	847	$22.0K	5,720	06-09 07:59
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	836	$1.94K	3,091	06-09 08:00
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	798	$250.5K	52,009	06-09 07:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	798	$215.0K	41,120	06-09 07:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	796	$663.2K	25,071	06-09 08:00
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	796	$252.8K	81,484	06-09 07:59