Livid-Sensibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$423

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

565

lifetime

Volume

$63.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-30 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% $-423

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$749	631	421	+210	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$711	897	0	+897	open	—	05-04 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$684	838	0	+838	Up	$-684	05-07 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$681	568	450	+118	Up	$-106	05-08 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$680	687	0	+687	open	—	05-03 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	16	$655	795	0	+795	Down	+$140	05-07 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$647	457	457	+0	open	—	05-26 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$627	441	441	+0	open	—	05-04 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	13	$591	472	313	+159	Down	$-217	05-10 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	14	$587	411	410	+1	Down	$-119	05-12 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$566	408	408	+0	open	—	05-14 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$565	705	0	+705	Down	+$140	05-06 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$545	649	0	+649	open	—	05-04 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$536	652	0	+652	open	—	05-03 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$489	391	391	+0	open	—	05-24 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$489	494	0	+494	Down	+$5	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$469	515	0	+515	open	—	05-04 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$465	500	0	+500	open	—	05-04 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$457	333	333	+0	open	—	05-22 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$456	319	319	+0	open	—	05-20 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$452	328	328	+0	open	—	05-19 20:42
btc updown 15m 1781228700	2	$452	345	345	+0	open	—	06-12 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$449	494	0	+494	open	—	05-04 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$448	483	0	+483	open	—	05-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$447	346	346	+0	Up	$-183	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$445	372	260	+112	open	—	05-15 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$444	547	0	+547	open	—	05-03 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$439	505	0	+505	open	—	05-04 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$438	477	0	+477	open	—	05-04 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$433	309	309	+0	Up	$-105	05-13 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:35:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	181	79¢	$143	0x4143c5…
06-30 15:38:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	172	68¢	$118	0x762a53…
06-30 10:58:26	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	153	9¢	$13	0xf701a4…
06-30 10:36:25	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	153	81¢	$124	0x09f1e3…
06-30 06:35:43	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x58ae47…
06-30 06:35:35	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xf833fc…
06-30 06:35:35	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc16e4e…
06-30 06:35:35	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	140	82¢	$115	0x19ecd6…
06-30 05:46:44	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	193	9¢	$17	0x3b61f0…
06-30 05:35:05	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	193	83¢	$160	0xee5371…
06-29 21:35:04	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	232	80¢	$184	0xd33980…
06-29 19:38:55	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	193	72¢	$139	0xb7fbc4…
06-29 04:35:25	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	131	86¢	$113	0x8e763f…
06-28 21:46:53	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	255	10¢	$25	0xd7c84c…
06-28 21:36:46	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	255	79¢	$200	0xbf6ab8…
06-28 17:35:04	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	214	78¢	$168	0xe5e232…
06-28 12:39:44	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	192	85¢	$163	0x3b85b6…
06-23 15:42:26	btc updown 15m 1782228600	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x96f61a…
06-23 15:42:26	btc updown 15m 1782228600	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x407744…
06-23 15:42:26	btc updown 15m 1782228600	Up	SELL	192	52¢	$101	0x2ba3e1…
06-23 15:36:35	btc updown 15m 1782228600	Up	BUY	199	91¢	$181	0x24c306…
06-22 22:51:46	btc updown 15m 1782168300	Up	BUY	197	90¢	$177	0x742169…
06-22 03:23:44	btc updown 15m 1782098100	Up	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0x0c9746…
06-19 05:52:46	btc updown 15m 1781847900	Up	BUY	193	89¢	$172	0xe35959…
06-19 00:36:14	btc updown 15m 1781829000	Up	BUY	248	82¢	$203	0xbeed15…
06-18 10:51:25	btc updown 15m 1781779500	Up	BUY	242	87¢	$211	0x1512ea…
06-18 09:25:13	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	SELL	272	28¢	$76	0x3909f8…
06-18 09:23:50	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x157f01…
06-18 09:23:47	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x622154…
06-18 09:23:41	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf8ceb1…
06-18 09:23:41	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf445a9…
06-18 09:23:41	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf0ea72…
06-18 09:23:41	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4afbb7…
06-18 09:23:41	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x06d26b…
06-18 09:21:17	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9f4f1d…
06-18 09:21:14	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdf0abb…
06-18 09:21:14	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xdbf979…
06-18 09:21:14	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	155	82¢	$127	0x5dd3ef…
06-18 06:36:14	btc updown 15m 1781764200	Up	BUY	264	82¢	$216	0x501634…
06-18 01:05:25	btc updown 15m 1781744400	Up	BUY	195	90¢	$176	0x964666…
06-17 22:52:14	btc updown 15m 1781736300	Up	BUY	252	85¢	$214	0xf10050…
06-17 01:50:44	btc updown 15m 1781660700	Up	BUY	186	91¢	$169	0x60aa64…
06-15 19:05:45	btc updown 15m 1781550000	Up	BUY	274	84¢	$230	0x46e740…
06-15 18:52:12	btc updown 15m 1781549100	Up	SELL	216	56¢	$121	0x42d1c7…
06-15 15:08:45	btc updown 15m 1781535600	Up	BUY	212	85¢	$180	0x013e82…
06-14 08:20:25	btc updown 15m 1781424900	Up	BUY	133	92¢	$123	0xae5193…
06-13 23:27:10	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xbfef12…
06-13 23:27:10	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xafba15…
06-13 23:27:10	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x40c5dd…
06-13 23:27:07	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x3f67cf…
06-13 23:27:06	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x3d5987…
06-13 23:27:04	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x892b9f…
06-13 23:27:01	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	SELL	105	60¢	$63	0x2298d8…
06-13 23:23:15	btc updown 15m 1781392500	Up	BUY	210	91¢	$192	0xe6a2ff…
06-13 03:05:25	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfd048b…
06-13 03:05:25	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xe95e07…
06-13 03:05:25	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	63	90¢	$56	0x50f778…
06-13 03:05:24	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf3668…
06-13 03:05:22	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3131ba…
06-13 03:05:22	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2d144d…
06-13 03:05:21	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x7bb6dc…
06-12 22:05:15	btc updown 15m 1781301600	Up	BUY	266	82¢	$219	0x25513f…
06-12 02:06:57	btc updown 15m 1781229600	Up	BUY	196	90¢	$176	0x4f9e03…
06-12 01:57:30	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Up	SELL	345	57¢	$196	0xa0ac1e…
06-12 01:50:16	btc updown 15m 1781228700	Up	BUY	345	74¢	$255	0xb33012…
06-11 23:36:46	btc updown 15m 1781220600	Up	BUY	202	89¢	$180	0x7bec6c…
06-11 13:20:15	btc updown 15m 1781183700	Up	BUY	216	88¢	$190	0x79c341…
06-11 04:50:57	btc updown 15m 1781153100	Up	BUY	144	92¢	$132	0xbb576b…
06-11 04:50:57	btc updown 15m 1781153100	Up	BUY	69	92¢	$64	0xb8c50f…
06-10 19:35:46	btc updown 15m 1781119800	Up	BUY	276	86¢	$238	0x66f822…
06-10 09:36:25	btc updown 15m 1781083800	Up	BUY	203	88¢	$179	0xa954ae…
06-02 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	215	88¢	$189	0xd7e24b…
06-01 10:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	245	91¢	$222	0x388d9d…
06-01 09:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	241	88¢	$211	0x95226c…
05-28 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	253	48¢	$121	0xa73dda…
05-28 19:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	253	86¢	$219	0x76ac48…
05-28 18:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	249	87¢	$217	0x8ecd72…
05-27 20:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	246	92¢	$227	0x167828…
05-27 11:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	265	46¢	$121	0x685cdf…
05-27 11:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	265	88¢	$234	0x6843f2…
05-26 18:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	343	85¢	$291	0xba6ece…
05-26 18:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	457	60¢	$276	0xc3a2be…
05-26 18:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	457	81¢	$371	0xe33d50…
05-26 06:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	270	91¢	$245	0xb7927d…
05-26 05:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	267	92¢	$245	0x3f1ee6…
05-25 16:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	284	56¢	$160	0x69a3da…
05-25 16:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	284	91¢	$258	0x614ae1…
05-25 08:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	279	91¢	$253	0x33eb77…
05-24 23:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	275	88¢	$243	0x823758…
05-24 22:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xa3ff7e…
05-24 22:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x74e279…
05-24 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	221	87¢	$192	0x450046…
05-24 20:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$39	0x50fd2e…
05-24 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0673e0…
05-24 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x562cca…
05-24 20:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x8a27d5…
05-24 20:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	193	92¢	$177	0x44b7de…
05-24 12:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	391	42¢	$165	0x18e73c…
05-24 12:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	391	83¢	$325	0x0a4e6d…
05-24 01:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	379	83¢	$316	0x117ed6…