Costly-Alien — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

20.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-09 07:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

90% 67% +$17

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	+10	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-04 13:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+11	$10	93¢	$10	$-0	06-09 07:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+6	$5	82¢	$5	$-0	06-09 07:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$400	200	200	+0	Spurs	+$0	05-13 03:10
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$227	117	117	+0	open	—	05-18 04:41
Spurs vs. Thunder	11	$117	120	22	+97	open	—	05-31 02:42
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-23 03:12
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	5	$95	92	17	+75	open	—	06-09 03:23
Thunder vs. Lakers	5	$60	73	0	+73	Thunder	+$13	05-10 02:24
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	4	$50	56	56	+0	open	—	05-20 02:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-31 05:42
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	5	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	05-24 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-18 01:54
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$44	24	24	+0	Thunder	+$4	05-12 05:42
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-22 02:26
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	05-29 02:17
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 03:39
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	05-27 02:54
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-26 01:32
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$22	31	25	+6	open	—	06-06 03:05
Thunder vs. Spurs	4	$21	107	0	+107	open	—	05-25 01:58
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	06-03 01:42
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-31 05:42
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-21 02:50
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-04 13:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 07:15
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-03 08:17
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-04 05:34
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-04 05:34
will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-04 05:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-09 07:15
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-03 01:42
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:15:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x460539…
06-09 07:15:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x778693…
06-09 03:23:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x5ae2b4…
06-09 01:50:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x850d62…
06-09 01:47:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x50c399…
06-09 01:47:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x60b90c…
06-09 01:47:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x9fec07…
06-07 11:55:54	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x81fd17…
06-06 03:05:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8d00c2…
06-06 02:40:33	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xebad94…
06-06 02:19:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6ed0c3…
06-04 13:14:34	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4db5a1…
06-04 05:34:21	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4433b8…
06-04 05:34:12	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd17077…
06-04 05:34:12	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e910f…
06-04 01:29:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x988c7b…
06-03 08:17:38	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbdb962…
06-03 01:42:22	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9df86a…
06-03 01:42:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9ca2b3…
05-31 05:42:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9704a5…
05-31 05:42:49	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x70fef1…
05-31 05:42:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc884e5…
05-31 02:42:52	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x61012e…
05-31 02:41:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x9835fe…
05-31 02:41:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc640cf…
05-31 02:38:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf7c136…
05-31 02:29:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb56486…
05-31 02:24:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9d0d4e…
05-31 02:20:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfe7054…
05-31 02:19:46	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0x7db9c4…
05-31 01:55:58	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x19d2dd…
05-31 01:55:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x56a7df…
05-30 18:26:16	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x319513…
05-29 02:17:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe37007…
05-29 02:04:28	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf256e0…
05-29 01:44:45	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd71719…
05-27 02:54:59	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x85a1bd…
05-27 02:51:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xedac72…
05-27 02:21:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x89c360…
05-26 01:32:27	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8a485c…
05-26 01:32:13	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x117072…
05-26 00:56:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb8a386…
05-25 01:58:25	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7b3e15…
05-25 01:51:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4d67d3…
05-25 01:45:35	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc2697e…
05-25 01:19:22	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x2ff8b8…
05-24 02:25:42	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x96e288…
05-24 02:18:44	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc103cc…
05-24 02:05:55	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xff891e…
05-24 02:02:08	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0f22f0…
05-24 01:54:21	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xfd710f…
05-23 03:12:31	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x643e29…
05-23 03:03:46	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf4a039…
05-23 03:00:23	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdc7559…
05-23 02:58:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbe9f68…
05-23 02:46:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe13a54…
05-22 02:26:20	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xd60797…
05-21 02:50:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaa1d8a…
05-21 02:03:08	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb7119e…
05-20 02:49:26	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x67d2bf…
05-20 02:30:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf7e72d…
05-20 02:17:26	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc581b0…
05-20 02:04:43	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x7565d9…
05-19 03:39:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x58a09a…
05-19 03:38:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb2eb89…
05-19 03:36:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x511cba…
05-19 03:36:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb538e1…
05-19 03:32:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xe9ac70…
05-19 03:29:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa82c47…
05-18 04:41:27	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x7a37de…
05-18 02:00:17	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x658cf6…
05-18 01:55:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xdacdcf…
05-18 01:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdca044…
05-18 01:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf5c3da…
05-13 03:10:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x7ec1bd…
05-13 02:28:00	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x565fdc…
05-13 02:26:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0252f6…
05-12 05:42:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4ca12c…
05-12 03:19:34	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x780054…
05-12 02:51:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8ffe43…
05-10 02:24:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe4e796…
05-10 02:11:52	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x09bd28…
05-10 02:10:48	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa1a4f5…
05-10 01:59:39	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x919f65…
05-10 01:54:14	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x38fb30…