Likely-Water — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-31 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$15

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd reach 4500 by july 6 2026	2	$210	105	105	+0	No	+$0	07-09 11:39
will open reach 5 50 by july 27 2026	3	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$1	07-31 18:16
will xauusd reach 4450 by july 13 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-16 15:21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	2	$187	98	98	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 08:11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	06-03 01:55
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	06-28 06:10
nvda above 175 on june 19 2026	1	$102	102	0	+102	Yes	+$0	06-18 03:35
nvda above 240 on june 26 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-24 03:37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$97	97	0	+97	No	+$0	05-06 04:44
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	2	$96	96	0	+96	No	+$0	04-28 03:01
nvda above 165 on april 17 2026	1	$90	91	0	+91	Yes	+$1	04-14 09:25
nvda above 145 on april 10 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	Yes	+$0	04-08 03:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,150 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-23 13:17
will xauusd dip to 4250 by march 30 2026	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	04-03 14:15
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	03-25 03:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $190?	1	$72	72	0	+72	Yes	+$0	05-13 03:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	03-07 02:17
msft above 350 on march 13 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:50
will nvda dip to 188 by may 25 2026	1	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	05-25 10:31
nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	1	$55	56	0	+56	Yes	+$1	02-08 08:30
nvda above 150 on march 20 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	03-14 09:18
nhl stl col 2025 12 31	1	$50	50	0	+50	Avalanche	+$0	01-01 03:39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 25 2026?	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$1	05-25 10:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	02-21 07:45
msft above 470 on march 20 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	03-18 02:13
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	02-21 07:45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $185?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:51
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-04 11:49
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-27 08:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-02 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 18:16:39	will open reach 5 50 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x85b218…
07-30 03:49:26	will open reach 5 50 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x2c95fd…
07-25 04:00:25	will open reach 5 50 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb11b59…
07-16 15:21:44	will xauusd reach 4450 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x912001…
07-14 03:45:07	will xauusd reach 4450 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6456ef…
07-09 11:39:49	will xauusd reach 4500 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x7836e7…
07-08 13:49:50	will xauusd reach 4500 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe08903…
06-28 06:10:11	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x51ed59…
06-24 03:37:29	nvda above 240 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x21ade0…
06-18 03:35:34	nvda above 175 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6cf1e7…
06-03 01:55:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x38a8f9…
05-25 10:32:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x577956…
05-25 10:31:38	will nvda dip to 188 by may 25 2026	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x87bcba…
05-21 08:11:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	Yes	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x020a48…
05-18 08:37:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	Yes	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0xcda453…
05-13 03:33:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $190?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xaa65a0…
05-12 10:51:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $185?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xda2292…
05-06 04:44:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$97	0xe7c3b6…
04-28 03:01:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1bcc9b…
04-28 03:00:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7f538c…
04-23 13:17:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,150 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x308134…
04-14 09:25:19	nvda above 165 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x45841d…
04-08 03:25:15	nvda above 145 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xddb64e…
04-03 14:15:55	will xauusd dip to 4250 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2e3d26…
03-25 03:22:11	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x86dcd1…
03-18 02:13:35	msft above 470 on march 20 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x236c9b…
03-14 09:18:19	nvda above 150 on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xce7a19…
03-11 08:50:03	msft above 350 on march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x08789d…
03-07 02:17:23	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x60cd4d…
02-21 07:45:24	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd0bb05…
02-21 07:45:06	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90f8e1…
02-21 07:44:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xeeaa83…
02-08 08:30:55	nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x1063f2…
02-02 13:50:24	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2094b7…
01-27 08:23:37	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36fafa…
01-04 11:49:33	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6e431a…
01-01 03:39:41	nhl stl col 2025 12 31	Avalanche	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe2cd18…