Trustworthy-Modeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

546

Trades

1,237

lifetime

Volume

$7.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 08-25 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

46% 62% +$9

Crypto

41% 80% -$61

Sports

13% 63% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-30?	2	$255	132	132	+0	Yes	+$5	06-01 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$168	85	85	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 08:29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	6	$149	103	102	+1	Yes	+$29	04-25 16:10
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$130	86	86	+0	LGD Gaming	+$30	04-30 11:25
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$129	68	68	+0	T1	+$5	04-26 09:30
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	8	$122	70	70	+0	Raptors	+$17	05-02 02:30
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	10	$115	89	31	+58	Over	+$2	05-26 02:22
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	13	$109	100	100	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$7	04-30 05:13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	6	$100	149	0	+149	No	-$100	05-02 14:15
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5	2	$97	85	85	+0	Over	-$3	05-03 00:03
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5	5	$95	50	50	+0	Under	+$0	04-28 02:56
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	2	$95	50	50	+0	Dplus KIA	+$4	04-30 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:40 UTC	3	$93	64	33	+31	Up	+$0	04-23 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$90	91	0	+91	Up	+$1	04-26 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$89	92	0	+92	Up	+$3	04-27 03:44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	3	$88	50	50	+0	Top Esports	+$4	05-02 10:39
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$85	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	04-28 19:31
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?	2	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	+$1	05-30 09:15
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5	4	$74	92	92	+0	Under	-$18	04-30 03:59
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24?	4	$73	39	39	+0	Yes	+$3	05-24 14:58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	5	$66	104	100	+4	No	+$14	04-29 20:47
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	2	$65	35	35	+0	Over	+$5	04-29 02:48
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	5	$65	38	38	+0	EDward Gaming	-$1	04-30 14:29
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$63	39	39	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$9	04-29 11:40
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	4	$62	40	40	+0	Under	-$2	05-01 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:25 UTC	2	$60	51	50	+2	Up	+$2	04-23 23:29
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	2	$58	33	33	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$8	05-01 09:30
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	3	$57	32	32	+0	Yes	+$7	05-02 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:00 UTC	1	$55	56	0	+56	Down	+$1	04-24 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	9	$55	59	0	+59	Down	+$2	05-23 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 02:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x744ce0…
08-25 02:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x52a2ac…
08-25 02:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3b7083…
08-25 02:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x54ba11…
06-26 00:53:14	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x13b7cb…
06-13 15:46:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x88db25…
06-13 15:45:10	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x7f885b…
06-13 15:31:37	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x67680a…
06-13 15:31:18	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x4b8fb2…
06-09 02:05:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8dea06…
06-09 02:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xca6a97…
06-08 01:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x407773…
06-06 04:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x73ee54…
06-04 06:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcb2ee1…
06-04 06:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbdc18b…
06-04 06:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9edd87…
06-04 06:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb281d1…
06-04 06:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b9b1a…
06-04 06:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb7b422…
06-02 10:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2d369f…
06-02 03:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60f68a…
06-02 03:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67280c…
06-02 01:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28f7d5…
06-02 01:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb29c4f…
06-02 01:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0f4ab…
06-02 01:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1e849e…
06-01 10:38:11	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	Team WE	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8b840a…
06-01 09:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2eefbc…
06-01 08:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfcd33b…
06-01 08:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3c518…
06-01 08:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xddf89a…
06-01 05:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdc1d43…
06-01 05:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x4eeea3…
06-01 04:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ee646…
06-01 03:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb718ca…
06-01 02:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb23e4…
06-01 02:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51d5f6…
06-01 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8ad986…
06-01 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6df854…
06-01 02:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x65f826…
06-01 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf92c8b…
06-01 01:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7eba7f…
06-01 01:28:39	Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x544c50…
06-01 01:25:35	Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0x1249f9…
06-01 01:06:03	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0x0a7f55…
06-01 00:58:10	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xd5e94c…
06-01 00:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe083ae…
05-31 10:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x18f477…
05-31 10:30:56	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x76ad0f…
05-31 10:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x13de2a…
05-31 10:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x53e029…
05-31 10:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf5cde5…
05-31 09:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x374f60…
05-31 09:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf8a135…
05-31 06:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xebc9be…
05-31 06:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9a282d…
05-31 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8e3414…
05-31 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ef21e…
05-31 05:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x986b89…
05-31 05:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf7a524…
05-31 05:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc79dbc…
05-31 05:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3713fa…
05-31 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf7cb2…
05-31 04:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbc301e…
05-31 04:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa89aeb…
05-31 04:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x292b3d…
05-31 03:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3207e…
05-31 03:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcb8cac…
05-31 03:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1155e4…
05-31 01:49:33	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xe7ce79…
05-31 01:48:52	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x39854c…
05-31 01:48:24	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x443e2d…
05-31 01:30:40	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x098853…
05-31 01:27:54	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2534a6…
05-31 01:27:52	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x7290c6…
05-31 01:24:36	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x963adb…
05-30 17:57:59	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbe0bdd…
05-30 17:23:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x061034…
05-30 17:15:43	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdbb621…
05-30 17:00:28	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfd5542…
05-30 16:58:13	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x27d9bc…
05-30 16:27:55	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6903ca…
05-30 16:16:34	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb7104a…
05-30 16:13:42	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x979074…
05-30 16:12:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3ed0c3…
05-30 16:12:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9873f1…
05-30 15:52:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8f6b2b…
05-30 15:52:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9912bb…
05-30 15:51:57	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff4e03…
05-30 12:18:06	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2b1bc4…
05-30 11:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x241f5f…
05-30 11:43:50	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x0ec4f7…
05-30 11:30:21	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2239f1…
05-30 11:26:20	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x285249…
05-30 11:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3150da…
05-30 11:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa8a3d2…
05-30 10:59:40	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x464ca5…
05-30 10:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb530aa…
05-30 10:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbe20b4…
05-30 10:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x42310b…