Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

199

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$282

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-08 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

86% 56% +$23

Politics

12% 50% -$2

Tech

2% 33% -$3

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+4	$2	97¢	$4	+$1	08-18 17:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$5	11	+11	No	-$1	08-09 02:20
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 01:00
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 23:16
spx up or down on september 15 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-15 01:42
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 23:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-19 23:08
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-14 13:40
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-24 00:07
will tsla dip to 360 by august 31 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-01 05:29
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-22 15:28
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 07:41
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-20 22:39
will xauusd dip to 4350 by september 7 2026 from september 9	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-10 02:13
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 21:38
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-16 05:47
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-09 06:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 14?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	09-14 05:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	09-15 09:44
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	09-23 07:56
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-17 10:46
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-22 07:17
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-30 13:14
will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-10 15:05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-07 17:48
will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-17 23:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-25 21:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$5	09-02 19:27
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-09 10:22
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-19 03:01
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 04:53:40	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1a5232…
11-07 20:47:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5c6512…
11-07 12:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe876b1…
11-07 03:25:40	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5e7a9d…
11-05 02:59:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x243377…
11-04 18:59:28	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x083df0…
11-04 09:27:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4d22ef…
11-04 01:25:51	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x282187…
11-03 17:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc17c22…
11-03 09:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb61258…
11-02 13:15:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc29e6f…
11-02 05:15:06	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3f0c1…
11-01 21:14:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b99d3…
11-01 12:12:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ebec0…
10-31 19:50:09	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe1e29f…
10-30 20:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf8c22b…
10-29 20:24:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x49b7eb…
10-29 11:09:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcb39d6…
10-29 03:08:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x91e284…
10-28 15:26:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3972ab…
10-28 07:24:44	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x06e904…
10-27 23:24:23	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3de587…
10-27 14:31:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5758b6…
10-27 06:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdb5966…
10-27 06:18:27	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcdc0ee…
10-25 09:46:42	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x262d31…
10-25 01:46:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x087e9e…
10-24 15:25:33	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb84d58…
10-24 06:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf7851c…
10-24 05:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x954ee5…
10-23 18:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2c2243…
10-23 10:33:20	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1a14f6…
10-23 02:33:14	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3680cf…
10-22 18:32:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2c5d1e…
10-22 10:27:23	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd4ef6f…
10-21 23:46:59	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x37ebab…
10-21 15:43:42	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x384831…
10-21 07:32:41	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbd8ae0…
10-21 07:32:39	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x66a03d…
10-20 23:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc569eb…
10-20 15:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4c2926…
10-20 07:30:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x345eb4…
10-19 23:30:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x702fe1…
10-19 15:29:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x80b4a1…
10-19 06:55:15	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfa50a4…
10-19 06:55:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeaa1e7…
10-18 22:55:06	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xae4710…
10-18 14:52:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0b53b3…
10-18 06:51:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7e7835…
10-17 20:02:17	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x975701…
10-17 12:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd99ca3…
10-16 21:29:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x93b868…
10-16 13:02:36	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x85ca36…
10-16 05:01:16	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x349d6f…
10-15 21:00:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x208ef9…
10-15 12:49:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc681bc…
10-15 04:49:14	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6cbfa…
10-14 20:49:06	will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd58aa9…
10-14 12:37:41	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbb5604…
10-14 04:37:01	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e7634…
10-12 08:21:45	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x445378…
10-11 23:49:06	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb8e82b…
10-11 23:48:57	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb69bfe…
10-11 15:48:51	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x885c8e…
10-11 07:34:25	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8de9ec…
10-10 23:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x766095…
10-10 14:53:48	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xab3b0e…
10-10 06:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9a6703…
10-09 19:22:46	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa7479a…
10-09 11:14:28	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x647c7d…
10-09 03:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x1c85fb…
10-08 19:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x25e9f6…
10-08 11:09:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9525d9…
10-08 11:08:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe4980b…
10-08 03:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x450001…
10-07 14:44:25	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe64ac3…
10-07 14:09:34	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa56615…
10-06 15:50:54	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc0bed3…
10-06 11:40:09	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x891681…
10-06 07:48:22	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe9f2e9…
10-05 13:09:05	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x68b8ee…
10-04 20:00:29	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd4661d…
10-04 15:32:01	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc66615…
10-04 09:01:14	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd08c53…
10-04 09:01:11	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x30080e…
10-04 08:25:41	Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbb482b…
10-04 08:25:38	San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4072ed…
10-04 07:48:16	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa7eada…
10-04 07:48:13	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x098679…
10-04 07:13:49	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa62446…
10-04 06:38:02	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x929259…
10-04 06:37:59	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xefd5e8…
10-04 05:56:13	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd0f178…
10-04 05:56:10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb322d9…
10-04 05:17:23	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x71fb1a…
10-03 15:02:21	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe4907f…
10-03 15:02:18	CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6e8afe…
10-03 12:30:20	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x52aac2…
10-03 11:58:44	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3b609d…
10-03 11:24:18	Leyton Orient FC vs. Plymouth Argyle FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe81804…