Gleeful-Harbour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$353

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-10 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

74% 44% -$191

Crypto

25% 61% -$162

Other

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$577	364	364	+0	No	+$148	04-30 11:39
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$467	295	295	+0	Yes	+$107	03-22 07:06
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	4	$458	362	362	+0	No	+$53	05-09 10:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$429	258	258	+0	No	+$29	03-24 11:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$293	389	221	+168	Yes	+$8	04-07 22:40
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$283	175	175	+0	No	+$3	03-15 08:04
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$265	310	310	+0	Yes	-$135	04-01 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$200	248	0	+248	Up	-$200	05-09 10:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$188	152	152	+0	Yes	-$12	04-07 22:39
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$186	562	562	+0	No	-$151	04-15 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:30 UTC	2	$143	93	93	+0	Up	+$41	04-15 17:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$114	709	709	+0	No	-$86	05-07 08:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$106	621	621	+0	No	-$68	04-02 07:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	1	$100	152	0	+152	No	-$100	03-24 18:00
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	2	$99	97	97	+0	No	-$1	03-14 20:47
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	1	$92	182	0	+182	Yes	+$90	04-16 14:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$81	43	43	+0	No	+$1	03-15 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:20 UTC	2	$76	52	52	+0	Down	+$26	04-15 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:25 UTC	2	$72	43	42	+0	Down	+$13	03-15 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:55 UTC	2	$70	51	51	+1	Down	+$31	03-14 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$59	40	40	+0	Up	+$19	05-09 09:54
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	2	$58	238	238	+0	No	-$22	03-16 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC	2	$56	57	56	+1	Down	-$3	03-14 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:00 UTC	3	$55	34	34	+0	Down	+$13	04-15 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:50 UTC	2	$51	32	31	+0	Down	+$11	03-14 20:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$49	329	329	+0	No	-$43	03-31 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$41	30	30	+0	Up	+$18	05-07 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$40	95	0	+95	Up	-$40	05-07 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$40	71	0	+71	Down	-$40	05-09 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:55 UTC	2	$39	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	04-15 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 07:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x5b51fe…
05-09 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x3ff01a…
05-09 10:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	248	81¢	$200	0x272300…
05-09 10:01:40	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	362	71¢	$256	0x2ea30d…
05-09 09:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xe7c82e…
05-09 09:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x18054c…
05-09 09:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x85df16…
05-07 09:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xca4f03…
05-07 09:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe48aaf…
05-07 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x27a419…
05-07 09:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x7dcc37…
05-07 08:14:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	709	2¢	$14	0x8b90ff…
05-05 13:55:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	709	14¢	$100	0x5652b0…
04-30 12:54:08	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x7a8501…
04-30 12:28:48	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	184	56¢	$103	0xf093c6…
04-30 12:20:40	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	152	56¢	$85	0xc2bf4e…
04-30 11:39:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$362	0x9eadcd…
04-19 00:26:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x929321…
04-19 00:23:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xcb5107…
04-18 20:42:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	337	59¢	$199	0x4ce943…
04-16 14:34:26	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	51¢	$92	0x89d0e0…
04-15 17:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xf3d899…
04-15 17:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	93	55¢	$51	0x5e6882…
04-15 17:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xf0f114…
04-15 17:24:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x50b13d…
04-15 17:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xbcb24a…
04-15 17:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x29e893…
04-15 17:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4f060f…
04-15 17:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x594032…
04-15 16:56:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x847143…
04-15 12:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x0a904e…
04-15 12:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xbcb615…
04-15 12:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x3190cd…
04-15 12:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x085f4b…
04-15 11:57:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x2d2c52…
04-15 11:56:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	562	3¢	$18	0x4c5e30…
04-13 05:08:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	562	30¢	$169	0xc831bf…
04-08 09:28:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x0c24a8…
04-07 22:40:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	168	84¢	$141	0x3ad85b…
04-07 22:39:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	152	58¢	$88	0xe12c45…
04-07 22:37:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xf339cc…
04-03 09:03:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0xdf915b…
04-02 07:30:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	SELL	621	3¢	$19	0xf01d06…
04-01 21:24:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	621	14¢	$87	0x85a427…
04-01 13:51:31	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	310	21¢	$65	0x6f4a1b…
03-31 14:45:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	329	1¢	$3	0x8da997…
03-28 17:18:25	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	310	65¢	$200	0xe433fb…
03-24 18:00:59	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x77e56b…
03-24 11:41:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	329	14¢	$46	0xe18a6d…
03-24 11:38:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	221	30¢	$66	0xd74261…
03-24 11:38:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	258	89¢	$229	0x22f273…
03-23 12:46:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	221	39¢	$86	0x3f3c58…
03-23 11:22:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	258	78¢	$200	0xdd6b84…
03-22 07:06:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	295	97¢	$287	0x3faefb…
03-16 18:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xa563d7…
03-16 18:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6b3f77…
03-16 18:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x87b245…
03-16 18:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xb14c1a…
03-16 18:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x293f09…
03-16 18:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xf5be58…
03-16 17:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xc5e950…
03-16 17:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x631f19…
03-16 17:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x984e25…
03-16 17:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf16046…
03-16 17:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4979a6…
03-16 17:46:29	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	238	8¢	$18	0x0eaab6…
03-15 19:12:53	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	238	17¢	$40	0x76f494…
03-15 19:12:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0xb0878e…
03-15 10:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfb4286…
03-15 10:16:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x653615…
03-15 08:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x923c41…
03-15 08:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x635da2…
03-15 08:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbe51cd…
03-15 08:13:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x83d11b…
03-15 08:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5de8a6…
03-15 08:05:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	295	61¢	$180	0xf08e4d…
03-15 08:04:55	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	175	82¢	$143	0x09ca2a…
03-14 20:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xd3aad8…
03-14 20:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x084bb0…
03-14 20:49:39	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	175	80¢	$140	0xeb9227…
03-14 20:47:59	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	SELL	97	50¢	$49	0xce3edd…
03-14 20:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	56	47¢	$26	0x6aa7c6…
03-14 20:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xcd280c…
03-14 20:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x1985ae…
03-14 19:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb57081…
03-14 19:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe4221b…
03-14 19:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6c05ae…
03-14 19:34:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x82a878…
03-14 19:27:23	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0x22722e…