Unfit-Prophet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-31 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$2

Politics

18% 93% -$5

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	05-28 08:42
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:18
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 18:54
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 07:30
will trumps remarks not air 888	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-06 13:41
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-26 20:24
Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-19 20:59
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 19:08
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	06-12 01:58
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 16:01
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	04-24 10:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-16 02:43
will abnb dip to 132 by june 29 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-02 16:09
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 05:16
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	06-19 23:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-03 17:44
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 18:38
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 10:22
highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 11c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-15 02:35
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-11 12:24
highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 88 89f	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-15 05:41
highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 4c	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-12 18:38
will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-13 16:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 5	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-12 00:15
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:52
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-13 05:08
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	06-24 23:55
white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 200plus	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-09 16:00
highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 13c	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-13 11:23
highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 13c	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-11 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:00:42	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a47bd…
08-31 04:16:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x292126…
07-05 20:15:35	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xeeb553…
07-05 00:00:11	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xff8e22…
07-02 16:09:20	will abnb dip to 132 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf5258f…
06-25 13:15:47	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x981b5b…
06-24 23:55:26	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5a64f3…
06-19 23:09:34	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8ccf67…
06-18 21:11:50	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xe81790…
06-15 10:22:33	Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x039035…
06-12 01:58:30	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5213d3…
06-11 17:31:40	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x71b45e…
06-08 18:38:37	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb4dbb4…
06-07 13:53:33	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xf6d0f9…
06-03 17:44:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb5ce7a…
06-02 06:40:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x8953b7…
05-31 05:16:08	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0d0252…
05-30 18:11:34	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x64a1b7…
05-28 08:42:37	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xdad0cf…
05-26 20:24:33	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x888784…
05-26 10:53:40	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x083922…
05-22 16:01:31	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc0fb7d…
05-22 08:16:10	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x921229…
05-19 20:59:15	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x86da89…
05-18 06:17:18	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xe0a453…
05-15 07:30:31	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x660de1…
05-15 01:40:45	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x8241a5…
05-09 10:18:39	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4b85f2…
05-08 20:29:47	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xd56b48…
05-05 18:54:12	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb8638f…
05-04 23:41:22	Will Craig Haggard be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8da6df…
05-04 00:24:06	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x28f078…
04-27 20:16:00	Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa1acfb…
04-24 10:30:18	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xeadc5d…
04-23 01:43:56	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf170c2…
04-20 19:08:34	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9497b1…
04-19 14:29:58	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x383935…
04-16 02:43:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x056227…
04-14 18:54:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xd0bdfd…
04-09 16:00:47	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 200plus	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x10f488…
04-08 15:35:51	will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x64137b…
04-07 15:35:19	will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7a408d…
04-06 13:41:23	will trumps remarks not air 888	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x16e97b…
04-05 04:29:57	will trumps remarks not air 888	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xf608a9…
03-15 05:41:31	highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb3ed49…
03-15 02:35:29	highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 11c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x60ebc3…
03-15 01:52:31	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 15 2026 26corbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa72faa…
03-14 12:00:31	highest temperature in miami on march 15 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf17d59…
03-14 12:00:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xcc122c…
03-14 12:00:29	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 15 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8b0da4…
03-14 12:00:29	highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 11c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6a2cf8…
03-13 23:01:31	highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 38c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x287900…
03-13 20:47:09	highest temperature in munich on march 14 2026 7corbelow	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc7a067…
03-13 16:17:01	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb71f1d…
03-13 16:00:11	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3feff1…
03-13 13:52:39	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6325f3…
03-13 13:07:17	highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 38c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d4b0a…
03-13 13:02:39	highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 14corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x264ca7…
03-13 11:23:29	highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 13c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x866d72…
03-13 05:56:31	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xc9b672…
03-13 05:08:19	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6d5d3b…
03-12 23:47:19	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0a8525…
03-12 21:32:17	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x44bf2c…
03-12 18:38:17	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 4c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x226a4c…
03-12 17:02:37	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x941e27…
03-12 15:55:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x3ffc76…
03-12 13:16:47	highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 13c	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf8e597…
03-12 11:28:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x17b457…
03-12 04:11:49	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 4c	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0baed2…
03-12 00:15:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 5	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe57775…
03-11 18:55:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 5	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x94c3b9…
03-11 12:24:31	highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf226cb…
03-11 11:42:53	highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xed6e8b…
03-11 09:53:33	highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 13c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x21938d…
03-11 09:26:01	highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 13c	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x5393d6…
03-10 02:39:31	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 10 2026 31c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe39006…
03-09 18:42:47	highest temperature in dallas on march 9 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x48b00e…
03-09 18:25:21	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 10 2026 31c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x192162…
03-08 12:19:13	highest temperature in dallas on march 9 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x570ab6…
03-08 07:53:37	highest temperature in paris on march 8 2026 20c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x64f45f…
03-07 21:00:51	will medina win melodifestivalen 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3c4b37…
03-07 16:44:45	highest temperature in paris on march 8 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xff175b…
03-07 10:57:07	highest temperature in lucknow on march 7 2026 41c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x78cb50…
03-07 10:51:17	highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 5c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcf77a9…
03-07 00:06:35	highest temperature in lucknow on march 7 2026 41c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd714bd…
03-06 12:30:45	highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 5c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x55bf26…
03-06 05:00:53	highest temperature in toronto on march 6 2026 1c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xed93f3…
03-06 00:01:05	will medina win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xea2029…
03-05 20:55:51	highest temperature in seattle on march 5 2026 46 47f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8b365…
03-05 15:31:49	highest temperature in toronto on march 6 2026 1c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x713f42…
03-05 14:55:39	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6baac1…
03-05 10:30:59	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x555a59…
03-05 10:12:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf7e898…
03-05 04:36:29	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1abd80…
03-05 02:29:15	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 8c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe9dbe3…
03-05 00:40:33	highest temperature in seattle on march 5 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1d4779…
03-04 19:32:41	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 8c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9aa372…
03-04 16:08:29	highest temperature in munich on march 5 2026 9corbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdbfcb1…
03-04 13:49:47	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 16c	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x844145…
03-04 11:42:15	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 16c	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x523a1b…