Earnest-Variability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

231

Trades

2,332

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-07 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$250	361	0	+361	open	—	05-20 21:47
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$245	411	0	+411	open	—	05-19 17:10
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$200	413	0	+413	open	—	05-20 21:51
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	10	$169	110	110	+0	open	—	05-20 18:09
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$150	319	0	+319	open	—	05-18 17:45
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$147	88	88	+0	open	—	05-19 17:49
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$105	243	0	+243	open	—	05-19 17:07
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$104	66	66	+0	open	—	05-22 17:44
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$100	270	0	+270	open	—	05-22 20:30
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	168	0	+168	open	—	05-20 21:41
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$100	270	0	+270	open	—	05-20 20:10
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$100	281	0	+281	open	—	05-20 21:27
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$97	97	95	+2	open	—	05-19 19:14
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$94	206	0	+206	open	—	05-14 21:03
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$86	56	56	+0	open	—	05-19 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$80	142	142	+0	open	—	05-27 19:32
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$80	133	30	+103	open	—	05-20 17:43
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$73	101	20	+81	open	—	05-19 17:02
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$73	49	49	+0	open	—	05-20 18:30
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$73	77	77	+0	open	—	05-18 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$70	147	0	+147	Down	$-70	05-10 18:56
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$66	72	0	+72	open	—	05-14 17:32
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$65	42	42	+0	open	—	05-18 19:04
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$64	41	41	+0	open	—	05-22 20:05
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$64	95	95	+0	open	—	05-20 17:39
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$64	88	0	+88	open	—	05-17 19:40
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$64	98	0	+98	Up	+$34	05-13 21:12
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$62	67	31	+36	open	—	05-14 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$60	41	41	+0	open	—	05-25 13:13
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$58	105	0	+105	open	—	05-16 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 11:28:46	xrp updown 5m 1780831500	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3e21c1…
06-07 11:27:18	xrp updown 5m 1780831500	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8471a6…
06-07 11:19:03	xrp updown 5m 1780830900	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8aad02…
06-07 11:16:00	xrp updown 5m 1780830900	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x53437e…
06-07 07:36:01	xrp updown 5m 1780817700	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1cdd4b…
06-07 07:34:51	xrp updown 5m 1780817400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x41fb53…
06-07 07:32:06	xrp updown 5m 1780817400	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1d73cb…
06-07 07:28:54	xrp updown 5m 1780817100	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xaa4e8b…
06-07 07:25:22	xrp updown 5m 1780817100	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0e5b85…
06-07 07:24:46	xrp updown 5m 1780816800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x573027…
06-07 07:20:51	xrp updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x326d9d…
06-07 07:17:10	xrp updown 5m 1780816500	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb31b62…
06-07 07:09:45	xrp updown 5m 1780816200	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2d64a1…
06-06 19:51:34	xrp updown 5m 1780775400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x19665f…
06-06 19:46:58	xrp updown 5m 1780775100	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xefe9e6…
06-06 19:42:36	xrp updown 5m 1780774800	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc52425…
06-06 19:41:40	xrp updown 5m 1780774800	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7b921d…
06-06 19:40:54	xrp updown 5m 1780774800	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xb50461…
06-06 19:40:16	xrp updown 5m 1780774800	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa6b859…
06-06 19:23:12	xrp updown 5m 1780773600	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2b2ad6…
06-06 19:20:52	xrp updown 5m 1780773600	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xde02ca…
06-06 19:20:01	xrp updown 5m 1780773300	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa63663…
06-06 19:16:01	xrp updown 5m 1780773300	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x617999…
06-06 19:03:21	xrp updown 5m 1780772400	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x7faf29…
06-06 19:02:55	xrp updown 5m 1780772400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x93424d…
06-06 19:01:39	xrp updown 5m 1780772400	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa500b1…
06-06 18:59:07	xrp updown 5m 1780772100	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7e64a1…
06-06 18:58:06	xrp updown 5m 1780772100	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x650e4f…
06-06 18:51:09	xrp updown 5m 1780771800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x14c845…
06-06 18:44:37	xrp updown 5m 1780771500	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc839fc…
06-06 18:43:40	xrp updown 5m 1780771500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87f4fe…
06-06 18:25:40	xrp updown 5m 1780770300	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc878f2…
06-06 17:10:58	xrp updown 5m 1780765800	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc90ce2…
06-06 17:09:25	xrp updown 5m 1780765500	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x862a07…
06-06 17:07:28	xrp updown 5m 1780765500	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x643388…
06-06 17:04:22	xrp updown 5m 1780765200	Up	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x280a58…
06-06 17:01:36	xrp updown 5m 1780765200	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd9672e…
06-06 16:55:36	xrp updown 5m 1780764900	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x49385a…
06-05 21:51:18	xrp updown 5m 1780696200	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf4cfcd…
06-05 21:49:51	xrp updown 5m 1780695900	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x92bb2c…
06-05 21:46:13	xrp updown 5m 1780695900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8067d4…
06-05 21:41:18	xrp updown 5m 1780695600	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf90a0d…
06-05 21:36:07	xrp updown 5m 1780695300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc1c931…
06-05 21:32:45	xrp updown 5m 1780695000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf1db4e…
06-05 21:28:10	xrp updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x2b2199…
06-05 21:26:07	xrp updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84778e…
06-05 21:25:22	xrp updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x03a534…
06-05 21:24:43	xrp updown 5m 1780694400	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x02217f…
06-05 21:24:04	xrp updown 5m 1780694400	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x3609f7…
06-05 21:23:42	xrp updown 5m 1780694400	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x014cc2…
06-05 21:20:58	xrp updown 5m 1780694400	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaaf36f…
06-05 21:18:52	xrp updown 5m 1780694100	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xaec25a…
06-05 21:17:57	xrp updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8be407…
06-05 21:16:19	xrp updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe9fe7a…
06-05 21:12:16	xrp updown 5m 1780693800	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb6360a…
06-05 21:04:45	xrp updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6222a5…
06-05 21:02:49	xrp updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4bd693…
06-05 21:01:15	xrp updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc2b90c…
06-05 21:00:40	xrp updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdd380a…
06-05 20:54:58	xrp updown 5m 1780692600	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8534b6…
06-05 20:53:01	xrp updown 5m 1780692600	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa3de1f…
06-05 20:50:00	xrp updown 5m 1780692300	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x260073…
06-05 20:47:34	xrp updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xea0699…
06-05 20:45:39	xrp updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xba2d1c…
06-05 20:44:54	xrp updown 5m 1780692000	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeb6fd8…
06-05 20:39:57	xrp updown 5m 1780692000	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc5c86d…
06-05 20:37:40	xrp updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc08238…
06-05 20:36:55	xrp updown 5m 1780691700	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x82002d…
06-05 20:36:19	xrp updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x938e3b…
06-05 20:35:49	xrp updown 5m 1780691700	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe86bce…
06-05 20:34:13	xrp updown 5m 1780691400	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x188cfd…
06-05 20:33:54	xrp updown 5m 1780691400	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe50909…
06-05 20:31:10	xrp updown 5m 1780691400	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xde61c6…
06-05 20:26:01	xrp updown 5m 1780691100	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf2e0a2…
06-05 20:21:34	xrp updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe346a2…
06-05 20:21:04	xrp updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8aca68…
06-05 20:17:49	xrp updown 5m 1780690500	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x19bf02…
06-05 20:17:12	xrp updown 5m 1780690500	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa30371…
06-05 20:11:57	xrp updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcaed2a…
06-05 20:11:25	xrp updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x679f34…
06-05 20:10:03	xrp updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xca415d…
06-05 20:05:21	xrp updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x97da71…
06-05 20:01:37	xrp updown 5m 1780689600	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf02064…
06-05 19:58:52	xrp updown 5m 1780689300	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x260060…
06-05 19:56:40	xrp updown 5m 1780689300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e5415…
06-05 19:50:55	xrp updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7e6831…
06-05 19:50:19	xrp updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab39c9…
06-05 19:43:57	xrp updown 5m 1780688400	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc8b727…
06-05 19:42:49	xrp updown 5m 1780688400	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x49e2ef…
06-05 19:42:13	xrp updown 5m 1780688400	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x051108…
06-05 19:36:12	xrp updown 5m 1780688100	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2d119f…
06-05 19:35:25	xrp updown 5m 1780688100	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb6b8fc…
06-05 19:31:45	xrp updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc72098…
06-05 19:30:24	xrp updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc09667…
06-05 19:28:01	xrp updown 5m 1780687500	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x85e2fa…
06-05 19:27:09	xrp updown 5m 1780687500	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xca8b99…
06-05 19:26:18	xrp updown 5m 1780687500	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2720dc…
06-05 19:23:03	xrp updown 5m 1780687200	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5dfd3a…
06-05 19:21:34	xrp updown 5m 1780687200	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xb1b62b…
06-05 19:20:54	xrp updown 5m 1780687200	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb9753e…