Capital-Cohort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$96

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

1,391

Trades

3,897

lifetime

Volume

$795.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

$1.43K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Other

82% 92% +$5,056

Sports

18% 90% +$789

Politics

0% 83% +$25

Crypto

0% 80% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+2,188	$896	41¢	$896	-$1	10-31 03:21
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+14,734	$442	4¢	$538	+$96	10-31 01:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals youri tielemans gte1	19	$19.2K	10,658	8,962	+1,695	No	+$406	07-10 20:10
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals kevin de bruyne gte2	4	$18.6K	9,314	9,314	+0	No	+$28	07-01 22:18
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?	6	$14.9K	7,819	7,114	+705	No	+$35	06-29 22:55
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot	58	$14.6K	17,820	15,498	+2,322	cancelled	+$2,040	05-28 00:13
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	14	$12.3K	6,199	6,199	+0	Yes	+$49	07-18 22:37
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?	2	$11.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$54	08-23 20:15
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet	15	$11.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	Dane Sweeny	+$151	09-01 21:41
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	55	$11.0K	5,531	5,531	+0	No	+$50	07-04 00:05
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$45	07-03 19:58
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	4	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$45	06-23 00:03
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	33	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Brazil	+$100	06-29 18:58
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	5	$9.9K	5,015	5,015	+0	Under	+$149	07-07 22:04
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	4	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Over	+$129	07-06 20:41
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	4	$9.8K	4,942	4,942	+0	No	+$44	07-15 21:01
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901?	3	$9.3K	9,600	0	+9,600	No	+$332	08-23 20:27
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?	16	$8.9K	8,963	0	+8,963	No	+$30	06-29 23:08
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	15	$8.8K	8,786	0	+8,786	Yes	+$9	09-26 12:53
Iraq leading at halftime?	20	$8.8K	8,771	0	+8,771	No	+$11	06-16 23:53
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	2	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Over	+$196	07-07 21:54
wta jacquem frech 2026 09 30	43	$7.7K	7,578	233	+7,346	Magdalena Frech	-$11	09-30 15:06
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	4	$7.4K	7,800	250	+7,550	Marta Kostyuk	-$214	06-02 12:21
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?	9	$7.2K	4,372	2,904	+1,468	No	+$31	07-04 00:38
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	5	$7.2K	5,000	2,184	+2,816	No	+$5	06-14 17:44
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	32	$7.0K	6,960	0	+6,960	Yes	+$7	10-11 14:40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	4	$6.6K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	+$6	06-29 23:04
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	17	$6.4K	3,234	3,234	+0	No	+$28	07-04 17:57
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	5	$6.4K	3,180	3,180	+0	No	+$0	08-23 20:27
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte2	25	$6.1K	4,063	2,032	+2,032	Yes	+$39	06-23 00:21
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	10	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$13	07-04 00:30
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte2	16	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$27	07-18 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:21:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,836	41¢	$753	0xefb94a…
10-31 03:09:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	164	41¢	$67	0x9f2eaa…
10-31 01:54:28	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	400	48¢	$192	0xbe6fec…
10-31 01:17:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	989	5¢	$51	0x761090…
10-31 01:11:04	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$26	0x167b89…
10-31 01:03:10	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,362	3¢	$300	0x0b8dec…
10-31 00:51:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x68d47c…
10-31 00:33:37	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xab4401…
10-31 00:23:52	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$19	0xd39902…
10-31 00:23:15	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x6bb43a…
10-31 00:23:15	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0x006c7d…
10-31 00:23:13	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	87	33¢	$29	0x390235…
10-30 23:13:36	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,223	3¢	$199	0xe6faf1…
10-30 22:35:34	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0xc194d0…
10-30 22:27:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x572444…
10-30 22:25:16	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x187ee1…
10-28 00:56:14	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x08f0ed…
10-28 00:11:35	Kings vs. Spurs	Kings	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x8741f1…
10-27 22:41:30	Sioux Falls: Timo Legout vs Valentin Royer	Valentin Royer	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0xec4ba9…
10-26 19:41:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xc963dc…
10-25 23:17:20	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$98	0x5b0f23…
10-25 23:15:59	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	902	99¢	$896	0xdaf7f4…
10-25 23:08:12	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	617	100¢	$615	0x19081e…
10-25 22:54:24	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xabe976…
10-25 22:22:56	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	346	99¢	$344	0xc5a214…
10-25 22:13:41	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48edc0…
10-25 22:11:42	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xeccc46…
10-25 22:10:36	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xbdb023…
10-25 22:10:33	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x613158…
10-25 22:09:47	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	909	100¢	$908	0xd0e8e5…
10-25 22:09:38	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5c7bba…
10-25 22:08:11	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$257	0xd7edf3…
10-25 20:55:35	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	678	90¢	$610	0x219f61…
10-25 20:55:21	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9070dc…
10-25 20:48:18	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c2ce2…
10-25 20:48:17	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	242	99¢	$239	0x0decc7…
10-25 20:46:51	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe1d089…
10-25 20:46:41	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x607901…
10-25 20:46:23	Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0x2f90c5…
10-25 17:22:44	AJ Auxerre vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x26bd33…
10-25 17:21:48	AJ Auxerre vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0xc7fbe1…
10-25 13:21:11	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x96b28f…
10-24 22:55:29	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20a813…
10-24 22:55:21	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe1c804…
10-24 22:55:15	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48f880…
10-24 22:55:11	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xce1023…
10-24 22:47:50	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf2ede…
10-24 22:38:45	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0x26a95c…
10-24 22:31:02	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x37c5c4…
10-24 22:29:53	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x495c8e…
10-24 22:29:11	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3df2d5…
10-24 22:28:00	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x795257…
10-24 22:26:15	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ca108…
10-24 22:26:08	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacca49…
10-24 22:25:59	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fddf9…
10-24 22:25:50	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffbfaa…
10-24 22:25:18	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeed046…
10-24 22:25:18	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xaa8de4…
10-24 22:24:39	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6087c7…
10-24 22:23:56	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x663b09…
10-24 22:23:45	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf9939…
10-24 22:23:35	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ca65e…
10-24 22:23:24	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36ff8d…
10-24 22:23:15	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eac59…
10-24 22:23:08	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb03086…
10-24 22:23:03	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	896	87¢	$779	0x460434…
10-24 22:23:02	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e24f4…
10-24 22:22:53	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd171ec…
10-24 22:22:45	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x584b11…
10-24 22:22:35	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49ab7d…
10-24 22:22:27	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x874bfa…
10-24 22:22:03	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x05e54b…
10-24 22:21:39	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x34efba…
10-24 22:21:23	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc5134c…
10-24 22:20:32	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd5196c…
10-24 22:15:05	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	BUY	104	87¢	$91	0x069f4e…
10-24 22:14:29	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x946aa0…
10-24 22:14:11	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x46738d…
10-24 22:13:47	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9c7192…
10-24 22:13:26	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x744c38…
10-24 22:13:18	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x73673b…
10-24 22:09:41	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7331eb…
10-24 22:09:38	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3aae38…
10-24 22:09:33	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x455963…
10-24 22:04:33	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0fac9a…
10-24 22:04:15	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0x0de7cb…
10-24 22:03:45	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x622ce6…
10-24 22:03:26	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7372ee…
10-24 22:02:12	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xb81785…
10-24 22:01:53	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$116	0x96fb72…
10-22 18:30:35	Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x040c07…
10-20 22:46:41	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	146	12¢	$17	0x6fbdc1…
10-20 22:44:56	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9a17e…
10-20 21:45:53	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	299	12¢	$35	0xcc9c0a…
10-20 17:38:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xace1a8…
10-20 14:43:20	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xbed8f4…
10-20 03:26:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x0d5990…
10-19 16:41:05	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x10de94…
10-14 18:58:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0xd62ee1…
10-14 04:22:07	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	800	32¢	$256	0xd2ff82…