Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$162

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 10-22 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

80% 21% -$131

Politics

15% 50% -$31

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	23	$239	415	415	+0	No	+$2	10-07 07:31
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	6	$228	170	170	+0	Yes	-$3	10-07 04:44
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?	6	$123	153	71	+82	Yes	+$7	10-05 23:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	59	$120	165	140	+25	No	-$4	10-07 16:30
will jynxzi ron and los beat the minecraft challenge by october 13 20261004	12	$115	194	121	+73	Yes	-$19	10-05 22:50
next gemini argon released by december 31 2026	6	$102	107	53	+53	open	—	10-16 13:46
will jynxzi ron and los beat the minecraft challenge by october 14 20261004	8	$96	124	50	+73	Yes	-$16	10-05 23:50
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	9	$89	121	71	+50	Yes	+$2	10-08 14:35
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	5	$84	77	75	+2	Yes	-$5	10-09 01:44
Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$82	77	77	+0	open	—	10-18 01:33
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?	6	$82	91	91	+0	Yes	-$26	10-07 16:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	6	$77	77	77	+0	open	—	10-07 09:16
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	8	$72	76	75	+1	open	—	10-12 20:47
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	5	$71	61	61	+0	open	—	10-10 12:23
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?	21	$61	84	60	+23	No	-$32	10-07 16:31
will the birthday gift be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	5	$53	72	18	+54	open	—	10-19 00:15
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	7	$47	72	32	+40	Yes	-$3	10-20 11:28
Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	3	$45	27	27	+0	No	+$3	10-16 01:17
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	9	$38	73	29	+43	open	—	10-12 17:05
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	6	$38	42	31	+11	Yes	+$4	10-12 21:56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	2	$38	27	27	+0	No	+$1	10-14 04:05
will xavi hernandez attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	2	$38	27	27	+0	No	-$5	10-19 01:53
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	10-19 09:37
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	3	$37	35	35	+0	open	—	10-07 04:01
claude fable 5pt2 output token price debut at least 60	2	$36	27	27	+0	open	—	10-14 20:08
Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	10-14 13:28
will kaka attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	2	$33	27	27	+0	No	-$7	10-20 21:11
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	4	$33	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	10-10 01:17
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	7	$31	53	50	+3	open	—	10-21 07:32
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	3	$30	27	27	+0	Yes	-$3	10-09 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:20:35	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xaae6ff…
10-22 13:20:35	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x860707…
10-22 08:55:03	Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x739287…
10-22 06:10:31	Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x36f362…
10-21 12:53:53	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	47	16¢	$8	0x22fe5a…
10-21 07:32:59	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x91e645…
10-21 04:22:53	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xe10b1e…
10-21 01:53:21	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf9eee6…
10-21 01:17:53	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6cbf61…
10-21 01:17:47	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xbdde88…
10-20 21:11:32	Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x771c78…
10-20 13:31:27	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x83a5ec…
10-20 11:42:59	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0x1e2fee…
10-20 11:28:20	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xe9fec1…
10-20 11:28:20	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x6d8712…
10-20 11:28:18	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xb1903e…
10-20 10:46:20	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x442a5e…
10-20 09:53:20	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x69fcf9…
10-20 09:49:09	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x2d81c6…
10-19 15:53:17	Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xec1314…
10-19 10:06:24	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x03f767…
10-19 09:37:48	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0x1c548c…
10-19 01:53:53	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	27	61¢	$16	0x659eab…
10-19 00:20:09	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x0d1530…
10-19 00:18:33	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xe6f901…
10-19 00:15:11	Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0xcd7e9d…
10-18 01:33:26	Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	70	48¢	$33	0xcbf0af…
10-18 00:52:56	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x1a922c…
10-17 02:34:26	will kaka attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x88d57e…
10-17 01:35:29	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	26	48¢	$13	0x350ea7…
10-17 01:33:00	cl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 30 2026 0pt96	No	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0x49035b…
10-17 01:10:06	will lionel messi attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xfee1e5…
10-17 01:05:18	will zinedine zidane attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	Yes	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x530a90…
10-17 00:32:47	Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x05c231…
10-17 00:32:00	will xavi hernandez attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	No	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x5a054c…
10-17 00:24:50	Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9abca5…
10-17 00:12:05	will vinicius junior attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x1d5431…
10-16 13:46:13	Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	72¢	$19	0x8e9c2c…
10-16 08:37:27	will the birthday gift be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x40890a…
10-16 07:15:18	will the birthday gift be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xadfb1c…
10-16 05:07:13	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xaab5dd…
10-16 01:44:54	will jynxzi reach unreal rank in fortnite by october 19 2026 copy	No	BUY	27	77¢	$20	0x750174…
10-16 01:40:51	will spilled milk be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1f0271…
10-16 01:17:27	Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x22b9c0…
10-16 01:09:37	will the birthday gift be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xb9152c…
10-16 00:14:54	will openrouter process 195t or more tokens the week of october 19	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe2643d…
10-16 00:14:54	will openrouter process 195t or more tokens the week of october 19	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x6fd71e…
10-16 00:14:54	will openrouter process 195t or more tokens the week of october 19	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x2beec6…
10-16 00:14:30	will the birthday gift be nominated for best live action short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1d73f5…
10-15 18:02:16	Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x5a0d06…
10-15 15:24:20	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x0f4cdc…
10-15 11:56:26	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc8e5fc…
10-15 11:56:26	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x975b7c…
10-15 10:25:01	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc9c216…
10-15 10:24:52	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x6c6858…
10-15 06:38:52	will dune part three be nominated for best original score at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x00a9a8…
10-15 06:38:11	will dune part three be nominated for best original score at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xce4a37…
10-15 04:07:11	dwts 35 week 6 elimination tylcam	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x80e88b…
10-15 04:07:10	dwts 35 week 6 elimination tylcam	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfccaa0…
10-15 04:04:28	next gemini argon released by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x992266…
10-15 03:52:29	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x9721cb…
10-15 03:12:01	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x9b8f9a…
10-15 02:54:08	next gemini argon released by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x5ab95c…
10-15 02:27:55	dwts 35 week 6 elimination jendew	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xcef714…
10-15 00:42:05	next gemini argon released by december 31 2026	No	SELL	27	70¢	$19	0xe2d2ec…
10-15 00:12:37	next gemini argon released by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x1fd0b6…
10-14 20:08:36	claude fable 5pt2 output token price debut at least 60	No	SELL	27	64¢	$17	0xcc6973…
10-14 13:28:51	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xe4c8de…
10-14 12:46:17	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x37e312…
10-14 12:04:32	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xa087ba…
10-14 04:05:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	73¢	$19	0x2493a7…
10-14 02:59:16	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x54412e…
10-14 01:43:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x18e289…
10-14 00:56:57	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3a5339…
10-13 01:48:50	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xc77f5c…
10-13 01:48:50	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xc5008f…
10-13 01:43:41	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by october 31	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xfdc6fd…
10-13 01:07:18	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf3e154…
10-13 01:07:18	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x98e868…
10-13 00:18:29	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x76fd1c…
10-13 00:13:02	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x862d05…
10-12 22:40:42	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x40c306…
10-12 21:56:54	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x88e816…
10-12 21:56:54	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x30d9fb…
10-12 20:47:29	Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	No	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0xc361c9…
10-12 19:16:50	Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	Yes	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xdc1db0…
10-12 17:05:42	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xee1cc8…
10-12 17:05:29	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x33e63f…
10-12 13:49:20	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x82a0e6…
10-12 11:40:45	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xc2a997…
10-12 07:27:19	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x75af25…
10-12 07:16:19	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x0872ae…
10-12 07:16:16	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdcf095…
10-12 03:06:00	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x0081fd…
10-12 03:04:33	Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xba5f14…
10-12 02:01:21	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xcefad7…
10-12 01:50:35	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x084753…
10-11 21:36:29	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1ce23b…
10-11 21:18:13	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x91b64a…
10-11 20:04:49	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xf9ee22…