Full-Chainstay-Spring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

1,909

Trades

2,076

lifetime

Volume

$821

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-24 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 5% -$22

Other

45% 90% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-21 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-21 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	05-21 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-21 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-21 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	05-21 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	05-21 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-21 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-21 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-21 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Up	-$2	05-26 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	08-05 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	08-05 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	08-05 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-19 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 20?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-20 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 8?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	08-07 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 39°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 03:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:00 UTC	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	-$1	06-07 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	08-19 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	08-07 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	08-07 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 8?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	08-07 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-21 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 14?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-12 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 10:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3bb57e…
08-24 10:24:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2c855a…
08-24 09:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9ed150…
08-24 09:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbd9319…
08-24 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91939e…
08-24 01:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdd9ddb…
08-24 01:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xefd681…
08-24 00:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b7ebf…
08-24 00:04:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x76e622…
08-23 17:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b65dd…
08-23 16:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4adbb3…
08-23 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x877396…
08-23 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6bee1e…
08-23 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1aa6e8…
08-23 16:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x185923…
08-23 11:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x344486…
08-23 04:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6151b4…
08-23 01:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x350e41…
08-23 00:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd849df…
08-23 00:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x738548…
08-23 00:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6fb5be…
08-22 18:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf8912…
08-22 18:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79e05e…
08-22 17:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6247b8…
08-22 16:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe641e8…
08-22 16:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbeba90…
08-22 16:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfcc8d1…
08-22 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9b0fa…
08-22 15:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbcbcf4…
08-22 14:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc514e5…
08-22 12:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x99402a…
08-22 11:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3a68a4…
08-22 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f5203…
08-22 03:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9925ff…
08-22 00:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfdd2b7…
08-21 18:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc28779…
08-21 16:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d99cd…
08-21 16:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6cf182…
08-21 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x138e2e…
08-21 11:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x03b854…
08-21 05:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x167284…
08-21 01:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd582aa…
08-20 16:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd9a14…
08-20 16:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x08f57f…
08-20 15:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x129f28…
08-20 13:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4f6800…
08-20 10:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf09c0f…
08-20 08:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe1ead1…
08-20 07:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 20?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xc07e04…
08-20 01:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xabbd62…
08-20 01:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x97be1b…
08-19 19:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x153f5f…
08-19 19:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc83abb…
08-19 19:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf20964…
08-19 19:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc6a454…
08-19 15:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf69787…
08-19 12:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xd63faa…
08-19 11:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45cfb1…
08-19 11:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x218276…
08-19 08:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x747e1b…
08-19 02:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa71828…
08-19 00:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc6ccbf…
08-19 00:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x55f020…
08-19 00:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xde09d4…
08-19 00:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x807b3e…
08-19 00:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc077c…
08-19 00:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x858b70…
08-19 00:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c9a9f…
08-18 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9ac427…
08-18 15:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x683ba2…
08-18 13:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x31a140…
08-18 12:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe9c077…
08-18 11:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x67a2b9…
08-18 09:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9df97e…
08-18 01:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x998fa0…
08-18 00:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd12d25…
08-17 23:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7bc11d…
08-17 23:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8a5680…
08-17 23:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc1690…
08-17 23:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x234244…
08-17 22:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc1e18e…
08-17 22:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdfb1af…
08-17 21:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd5abe3…
08-17 20:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd3d87a…
08-17 19:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd4633c…
08-17 17:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x747192…
08-17 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b37a3…
08-17 15:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa3a822…
08-17 15:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd4bd36…
08-16 09:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7b49fa…
08-16 08:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcdeafe…
08-16 05:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcbebc4…
08-15 23:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcae118…
08-15 23:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43f15b…
08-15 23:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x92600e…
08-15 22:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a6b28…
08-15 22:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3bce1…
08-15 22:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe97269…
08-15 22:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb1dc71…
08-15 21:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a189c…