Experienced-Paradise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$214.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.23K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-24 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% 0% $-120

Politics

9% 100% +$13

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb troy nebr 2026 03 19	3	$43.3K	21,920	21,911	+9	open	—	03-19 18:50
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	1	$22.0K	22,097	0	+22,097	open	—	03-19 18:51
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	1	$17.9K	18,204	0	+18,204	open	—	03-20 23:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$15.1K	15,265	0	+15,265	open	—	03-25 04:40
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$14.8K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-20 12:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$14.7K	14,909	0	+14,909	open	—	04-16 11:08
cbb howrd mich 2026 03 19	1	$10.0K	10,223	0	+10,223	open	—	03-20 00:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	15	$8.7K	6,000	4,000	+2,000	open	—	03-26 02:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$8.4K	4,444	4,444	+0	open	—	04-15 23:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	10	$7.8K	8,235	0	+8,235	open	—	04-17 13:31
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	1	$7.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	03-22 01:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$7.6K	4,717	4,717	+0	open	—	04-14 02:05
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	1	$7.5K	7,591	0	+7,591	open	—	03-29 19:40
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$6.7K	4,348	4,348	+0	open	—	04-15 13:20
cbb idaho hou 2026 03 19	8	$5.9K	6,018	0	+6,018	open	—	03-20 02:46
cbb queen pur 2026 03 20	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-20 19:38
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	1	$1.4K	1,417	0	+1,417	open	—	07-24 02:12
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$1.2K	1,461	0	+1,461	open	—	04-13 17:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-04 20:27
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	5	$1.1K	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	05-27 21:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$990	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-16 13:15
cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	1	$940	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-20 03:34
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	1	$475	500	0	+500	open	—	07-06 20:21
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	4	$350	379	0	+379	open	—	04-14 02:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$320	400	0	+400	open	—	05-23 21:25
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	10	$282	421	0	+421	open	—	04-22 19:38
next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	1	$258	300	0	+300	open	—	07-09 14:59
ufc tre3 aza3 2026 04 04	1	$250	288	0	+288	open	—	04-04 18:55
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	4	$248	383	0	+383	open	—	03-27 01:15
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	3	$191	200	0	+200	open	—	07-17 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:12:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1,417	99¢	$1,400	0x549f2c…
07-23 22:39:13	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	86¢	$149	0xc69603…
07-23 18:11:09	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0xda15b5…
07-17 12:25:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x9c938b…
07-17 11:28:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x026949…
07-17 11:23:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xbe65fa…
07-10 10:05:44	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x3a64f1…
07-10 09:22:46	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x896b58…
07-10 09:22:43	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1c68f6…
07-10 09:22:41	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9baf07…
07-10 09:22:41	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x18f866…
07-10 09:22:38	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf484e0…
07-09 14:59:50	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xee9559…
07-09 02:27:08	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x932ff7…
07-09 02:27:05	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x98a818…
07-09 02:27:05	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x064f16…
07-09 02:27:04	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xdf5ddc…
07-09 02:27:02	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1bcc1c…
07-07 03:38:47	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xcde96e…
07-07 03:38:46	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7ee1cf…
07-07 03:38:46	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x514a58…
07-07 03:38:44	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfbc9dd…
07-07 03:38:41	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x195430…
07-06 21:29:43	will spy reach 780 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x01ae53…
07-06 20:21:04	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xe083f1…
07-04 20:27:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xe57e1b…
06-25 02:08:20	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 24	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x782ed1…
06-18 21:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0x55d128…
06-18 12:17:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	192	27¢	$52	0x839329…
06-17 17:22:53	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x3ab934…
06-17 17:22:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6720d1…
06-16 13:15:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0xc028d4…
06-15 02:51:51	will donald trump dance on june 14 2026 20260602150034337	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x440062…
06-15 00:28:55	will donald trump dance on june 14 2026 20260602150034337	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x69942b…
06-13 21:11:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 points og anunoby 18pt5	No	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0xc427e9…
06-12 20:07:39	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0xe535ee…
06-12 19:42:28	will the announcers say qatar during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955345	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1fcacb…
06-08 17:47:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x5edb9c…
06-06 20:29:21	will trump say jerome or powell this week	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x643206…
06-06 20:29:12	will trump say jerome or powell this week	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xd1b050…
06-06 20:03:22	will trump say jerome or powell this week	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x2fd052…
06-06 19:18:19	will trump say jerome or powell this week	Yes	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0xdc1620…
06-06 18:49:40	will trump say jerome or powell this week	Yes	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x15b969…
06-05 20:02:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 assists jalen brunson 6pt5	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x16997c…
06-05 20:00:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 assists jalen brunson 6pt5	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe45f54…
06-03 18:16:49	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x38b081…
06-01 20:28:18	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa59254…
05-27 21:04:13	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0xd8bf4d…
05-27 21:03:31	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbc14a8…
05-27 21:02:30	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc7a32a…
05-27 21:01:53	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdfbba4…
05-27 21:01:14	Claude 4.8 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb20b7e…
05-27 20:14:50	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xee27bb…
05-27 20:07:43	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe8eb90…
05-27 20:07:05	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8834dc…
05-27 19:14:40	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x74f9d0…
05-27 18:58:43	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	91	65¢	$59	0x160d7e…
05-27 18:58:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xa2d4ec…
05-24 02:32:16	Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)	Los Angeles Sparks	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x72a078…
05-23 22:33:56	Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x8ac8cb…
05-23 21:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	219	80¢	$175	0x927b48…
05-23 21:21:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	181	80¢	$145	0xf46b56…
05-10 19:54:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x236944…
05-01 03:26:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	574	2¢	$10	0x5e2c74…
04-24 21:39:24	Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x35fd40…
04-24 21:37:20	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0xe716b2…
04-22 19:38:36	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x9377bb…
04-22 19:38:30	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x16df9f…
04-22 19:37:54	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x2c8555…
04-22 19:37:42	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xe196e0…
04-22 19:37:36	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xd11ec0…
04-22 19:37:26	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x035772…
04-22 19:36:14	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7e8c71…
04-20 19:32:10	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xc964f9…
04-20 19:25:28	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x13de5f…
04-20 17:49:56	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xac4886…
04-17 13:31:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,873	97¢	$1,820	0x6ea079…
04-17 13:30:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	516	97¢	$500	0x492be4…
04-16 11:42:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,030	97¢	$1,000	0xac5a2b…
04-16 11:08:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$984	0xd11912…
04-15 23:52:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	4,444	100¢	$4,427	0x6f73db…
04-15 13:28:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	817	96¢	$784	0xd852f1…
04-15 13:20:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	2,261	35¢	$784	0x04da3b…
04-15 03:00:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	13,909	98¢	$13,701	0xecadbd…
04-15 01:29:02	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	411	39¢	$160	0x7f855d…
04-15 01:26:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	90¢	$78	0xeadf7e…
04-14 02:45:29	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8dd526…
04-14 02:05:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3,538	75¢	$2,653	0xea39cb…
04-13 17:46:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x3fdfbf…
04-13 17:32:23	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xb1dbc1…
04-13 17:13:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,179	79¢	$937	0x695cab…
04-13 16:47:11	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0x4b8d70…
04-13 16:41:55	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	1,087	89¢	$969	0x78d244…
04-13 14:08:15	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x9d7d92…
04-13 02:24:53	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe28ba7…
04-12 02:02:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4,717	85¢	$4,000	0xc94821…
04-12 01:53:21	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	4,348	92¢	$4,000	0x49a272…
04-12 01:52:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	4,444	90¢	$4,000	0x0cf583…
04-09 14:00:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x863133…
04-09 13:45:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xeabf93…