Curvy-Ironclad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

3,012

Trades

10,002

lifetime

Volume

$61.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$71

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-29 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 57% +$2,119

Other

7% 55% +$69

Sports

3% 52% -$208

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5	Under	—	+53	$25	68¢	$36	+$11	10-29 03:02
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis		+66	$35	52¢	$34	-$1	10-29 00:13
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder		+23	$11	2¢	$0	-$11	10-29 01:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	8	$299	197	197	+0	Up	+$91	05-19 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$298	209	209	+0	Down	+$116	05-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	11	$251	171	171	+0	Up	+$46	05-24 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	12	$229	173	150	+23	Down	+$78	05-27 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	13	$200	137	135	+1	Up	+$69	05-09 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$194	119	119	+0	Up	+$34	05-27 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	16	$190	159	142	+16	Down	+$47	05-05 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	17	$189	286	120	+166	Down	+$21	05-16 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$182	116	116	+0	Down	+$48	05-16 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	17	$177	145	145	+0	Down	+$30	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	8	$167	124	124	+0	Down	+$7	05-02 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$165	104	104	+0	Up	+$34	05-20 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$160	146	146	+0	Up	$0	05-08 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$159	170	75	+95	Down	+$14	05-17 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$157	114	110	+4	Up	+$64	05-17 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	13	$153	134	134	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	11	$151	104	103	+0	Up	+$54	05-09 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:10 UTC	10	$145	107	80	+27	Down	+$38	06-14 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	9	$141	89	89	+0	Up	+$32	05-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	12	$140	197	0	+197	Down	+$58	05-25 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$136	90	90	+0	Up	+$18	05-17 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	6	$129	118	56	+62	Up	-$30	05-16 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	13	$129	82	82	+0	Up	+$34	05-15 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:05 UTC	5	$127	268	0	+268	Up	+$28	06-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	16	$125	208	0	+208	Down	-$10	05-30 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	9	$124	89	89	+0	Down	+$53	05-13 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	7	$123	75	75	+0	Up	+$23	05-17 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	11	$122	217	0	+217	Down	-$122	05-19 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$121	75	75	+0	Down	+$25	05-24 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:02:41	Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x292abd…
10-29 01:43:04	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0x048270…
10-29 00:31:41	Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 199.5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1892f3…
10-29 00:13:05	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x39cfca…
10-29 00:12:50	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc493c3…
10-29 00:11:43	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x5408b0…
10-29 00:09:23	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x22df0e…
10-29 00:06:11	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0xa32aeb…
10-29 00:04:26	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	58	58¢	$34	0x6c5891…
10-28 23:58:34	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xc6982c…
10-28 23:46:16	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x763d5c…
10-28 23:46:02	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x75dc64…
10-28 23:39:05	Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x4faa7f…
10-28 23:29:04	Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0xe9d219…
10-28 22:23:26	Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Heat	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0xb96806…
10-28 19:42:25	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1b26cb…
10-28 19:37:34	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xfe86e7…
10-28 05:13:07	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x216efd…
10-28 05:10:41	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0xef24d7…
10-28 03:47:21	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xaf6445…
10-28 02:57:45	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xea49a1…
10-28 02:55:57	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0bf994…
10-28 02:54:21	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6c791d…
10-28 02:42:59	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9d812b…
10-28 02:38:44	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5a3f19…
10-28 01:27:32	Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5	Over	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x7a3f32…
10-28 00:11:36	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xe16bcf…
10-27 19:41:36	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	SV Werder Bremen	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x31e40d…
10-27 19:30:11	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	SV Werder Bremen	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x3310b2…
10-27 16:43:03	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs HOTU (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	HOTU	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x842a7a…
10-27 15:51:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xab3e06…
10-27 15:51:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x0adcd9…
10-27 15:51:05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0x194843…
10-27 15:51:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb33ec7…
10-27 05:08:09	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	Alliance	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0x96abd7…
10-27 04:03:59	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x89488a…
10-27 03:18:38	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xa2577f…
10-27 02:23:41	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Jazz	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x2b3905…
10-27 02:22:59	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Jazz	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x232c33…
10-27 00:48:47	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa2c79e…
10-27 00:48:02	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xeb48c8…
10-27 00:47:26	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x716a50…
10-27 00:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe951a3…
10-27 00:09:33	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x778ee8…
10-27 00:05:35	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x80e63b…
10-26 23:59:23	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x36c4df…
10-26 23:49:18	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x0424f0…
10-26 23:41:50	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x107fd9…
10-25 21:05:23	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x504a9d…
10-25 21:00:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9ab3f0…
10-25 20:59:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9ae7d5…
10-25 19:12:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	76	22¢	$17	0x37803c…
10-25 03:09:18	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x832f55…
10-25 02:51:59	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5	Over	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x5b10cb…
10-25 02:51:42	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5	Over	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xab31af…
10-25 00:29:42	Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0xca10a5…
10-24 23:41:32	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	Bucks	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xb0c10e…
10-24 23:37:06	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x303924…
10-24 23:36:05	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x7927e5…
10-24 23:29:39	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	76ers	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xb4b7b3…
10-24 23:21:27	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9fb2fc…
10-24 23:20:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x757ec5…
10-24 23:16:48	Spread: 76ers (-12.5)	76ers	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0x2aa66b…
10-24 21:26:41	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x4ef61a…
10-24 21:19:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x62bef7…
10-24 21:18:35	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xe05e2e…
10-24 20:14:11	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xc6ac85…
10-24 19:08:29	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x15f0f2…
10-24 18:43:17	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xdb5bd6…
10-24 17:57:59	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd0a2ed…
10-24 16:58:29	Miami (OH) vs. Central Michigan	Miami (OH)	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x57c502…
10-24 16:58:26	Miami (OH) vs. Central Michigan	Miami (OH)	BUY	39	60¢	$23	0x9ac5be…
10-24 16:50:41	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x45d7ef…
10-24 15:57:00	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0xb41bf0…
10-24 13:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x66e73a…
10-23 22:30:26	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x847706…
10-23 22:28:14	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x951c52…
10-23 20:18:56	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x43be04…
10-23 00:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaec655…
10-23 00:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x530cba…
10-17 20:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2c20d9…
10-17 20:43:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xbc9af1…
10-17 20:39:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5d25cd…
10-17 20:00:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4c1c68…
10-17 20:00:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xc25c60…
10-17 20:00:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1d1cee…
10-17 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8980dd…
10-17 18:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb67795…
10-17 18:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9c2e08…
10-17 18:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7dbbb7…
10-17 18:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x0e8836…
10-17 18:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x25a719…
10-17 10:58:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x145fef…
10-17 09:14:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x239359…
10-12 02:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb86a06…
10-12 01:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x6205f4…
10-12 01:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf4774a…
10-12 01:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaabc54…
10-12 01:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4fb2c0…
10-12 01:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3da374…